The Cincinnati Reds will try to make it two in a row at home tonight as they host the New York Mets at the Great American Ball Park.
Both pitchers are having rough years, but there’s more reason for hope with Kodai Senga, which is why I’m taking New York to win in my Mets vs. Reds predictions.
Keep reading to see why I like the Mets, and get the rest of my free MLB picks for Tuesday, June 16.
Who will win Mets vs Reds today: Mets moneyline (-124)
While both pitchers have struggled this season, I can envision New York Mets starter Kodai Senga having a strong outing.
Senga gets whiffs on 29% of swings, a necessary tool against a Cincinnati Reds lineup that barrels up balls 10.3% of the time, the second-best rate in the majors.
Reds starter Brady Singer has an xERA of 5.80, and is striking out just 16.7% of batters. He isn’t fooling anyone, getting batters to chase only 27.6% of the time.
Analytically, Singer has been among the worst starters in the majors this season.
I’m taking the Mets to win at -130 or better.
COVERS INTEL: Singer is allowing batters to barrel up his pitches a troubling 11.8% of the time, which won’t work against a New York lineup that has a top-10 barrel rate of 9.1%.
Mets vs Reds Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (-104)
Even in a disappointing season, Senga’s forkball does present a unique challenge, and the Reds have yet to face the pitch — which Senga throws 23% of the time — this season. Senga looked strong in his final minor league start, allowing just one run and one hit in six innings.
The Mets have struggled with Singer’s arsenal, hitting the sinker/slider combo that makes up 79% of his pitches for line drives just 20% of the time off righties.
These teams are well below league average in run production, and I’m happy to take the Under at 9 runs or more.
- ML/RL bets: 13-16, -3.84 units
- Over/Under bets: 10-17, -7.59 units
Mets vs Reds odds
- Moneyline: Mets -124 | Reds +106
- Run line: Mets -1.5 | Reds +1.5
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 | Under 9.5
Mets vs Reds trend
The Reds are 0-7 straight up in Singer’s last seven starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Reds.
How to watch Mets vs Reds and game info
| Location | Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati, OH |
| Date | Tuesday, June 16, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | SNY, Reds.TV |
| Mets starting pitcher | Kodai Senga (0-4, 9.00 ERA) |
| Reds starting pitcher | Brady Singer (2-6, 5.61 ERA) |
Mets vs Reds latest injuries
Mets vs Reds weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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