The Kansas City Chiefs have surpassed the Buffalo Bills and are the Super Bowl favorite for the first time in 2025.
Key Takeaways
- The Chiefs have gone from +800 in the preseason to +500 favorites by Week 8.
- Kansas City has been to five of the last six Super Bowls, winning three.
- The Lions also saw their odds shorten after a big win over the Bucs.
The Chiefs have won three of the last six Super Bowls and lost two others in that span, yet it took until Week 8 and a hot run for Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes to reach that status.
“Since starting 0-2, the Chiefs are the most-bet team to win the Super Bowl,” BetMGM senior manager Christian Cipollini said. “Kansas City is now the favorite to lift the Lombardi Trophy after winning four of (its) last five games.”
That slow start hasn’t deterred bettors at ESPN BET, where the Chiefs are also a favorite for the first time this season. They were tied with the Bills, who had the week off, heading into Sunday’s Week 7.
After a dominant 31-0 victory over the Raiders in Week 7, Kansas City moved from Super Bowl odds of +650 to +500 at BetMGM.
The Bills are the most-bet team since the start of the season at ESPN BET with 13.1% of the bets and 25.2% of the handle. Overall, the Chiefs have taken 14.5% of the money in the Super Bowl winner market and 9.2% of the tickets.
Shift at the top
The Bills, Philadelphia Eagles, and Detroit Lions have all received more wagers, but none have seen more money bet. At BetMGM, the Chiefs (+500) are fifth in wagers and money.
They were +800 heading into the regular season, behind the Bills, Baltimore Ravens, and Philadelphia Eagles, and Kansas City’s odds got as long as +1,400. Buffalo was a co-favorite with Baltimore and took over sole possession of first place in Super Bowl odds by Week 2.
However, the Bills have suffered two consecutive losses, and oddsmakers have adjusted to Kansas City’s heavy action and winning ways. The Bills are getting 13% of bets and 12.8% of the handle at ESPN BET, second-most money behind the Chiefs, and fell from +600 to +700 without playing a game.
The AFC rivals meet in Week 9.
Other lurkers
There’s an NFC team lurking near the top that could make a move toward the favorite. The Lions went from +750 last week to +650 to win the Super Bowl on Tuesday after a 24-9 victory over the Buccaneers on Monday night.
Detroit is getting a market-leading 10.7% of the tickets at BetMGM and the second-most handle (11.1%).
The Washington Commanders, who are getting the eighth-most tickets in BetMGM’s Super Bowl market, saw their odds grow from +2,200 to +5,000 after a Week 7 44-22 loss to the Cowboys. Washington quarterback Jayden Daniels left the game with a hamstring injury as well.
The Packers (+800) and Eagles (+1,000) held their respective odds after Week 7 wins.
