LIV Golf Andalucia Picks & Odds: Rahm Shines in Home Country

Jon Rahm will headline the field as LIV heads to his home country of Spain for this week's Andalucia event at Real Club Valderrama.

Chris Gregory - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Gregory • Betting Analyst
Jul 8, 2025 • 12:58 ET • 4 min read
Jon Rahm LIV Golf Andalucia
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The 10th event of the LIV Golf season sees the field heading to Real Club Valderrama for LIV Golf Andalucia.

The top of the board is familiar, with Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, and Tyrrell Hatton headlining the field this week.

Best LIV Golf Andalucia picks

  • Rahm to win outright (+650)
  • Garcia to win outright (+2200)
  • Smith over Tringale (-125)

Picks made on 7-8.

LIV Golf Andalucia odds

Player DraftKings
Jon Rahm +500
Byrson DeChambeau +550
Tyrrell Hatton +850
Joaquin Niemann +900
Patrick Reed +1600
Sergio Garcia +1800
David Puig +2000
Sebastian Munoz +2200
Carlos Ortiz +2200
Paul Casey +2800
Cameron Smith +3000

Odds as of 7-8.

LIV Golf Andalucia picks and predictions

Outright pick: Jon Rahm
+650 at bet365

A trip to Valderrama last summer kick-started the absolute heater Jon Rahm has been on for the past calendar year. He’s won twice and added another 17 Top-10 finishes across the 22-event run while pacing this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green.

Rahm’s last win also came at the LIV Chicago event last September, so he’s been knocking on victory’s door without storming through despite the consistent elite play. A hometown win ahead of The Open Championship shouldn’t surprise.

Outright pick: Sergio Garcia
+2200 at Caesars

Throw the current form out the window because Sergio Garcia has been a mess dating back to missing the cut at the Masters in April, and he just missed the cut at the BMW International Open last week.

Still, he’s the defending champion at Valderrama, and the 45-year-old Spaniard has also picked up three more wins with another three Top 10s right here at his “favorite course”.

Matchup pick: Cameron Smith over Cameron Tringale
-125 at bet365

Cameron Smith has topped Cameron Tringale in four of the past five LIV Golf events, and the Aussie was also far better in the 2024 LIV Andalucia tournament.

Smith is the superior player and finally gained true strokes on approach at LIV Dallas for just the second time in 12 events this season. With The Open ahead next week, I’m anticipating Smith dialing in his game and topping Tringale again this week.

LIV Golf recent winners and odds history

Here are the recent LIV Golf winners and their closing odds to win:

Event Golfer Closing odds
Dallas (June 2025) Patrick Reed +2000
Virginia (June 2025) Joaquin Niemann +800
Korea (May 2025) Bryson DeChambeau +600
Mexico City (May 2025) Joaquin Niemann +1000
Miami (April 2025) March Leishman +5000
Singapore (March 2025) Joaquin Niemann +800
Hong Kong (March 2025) Sergio Garcia +2000
Adelaide (Feb. 2025) Joaquin Niemann +1000
Ridyah (Feb. 2025) Adrian Meronk +10000

Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.

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Chris Gregory Covers.com
Betting Analyst

In his three years on the Covers editorial team, Chris Gregory has helped bolster the site’s PGA Tour and college football coverage, though his love for Rory McIlroy and the Buckeyes is often met with disappointment. He brings a journalism and marketing background to his work as a Publishing Editor and has appeared on Jason Logan’s Sharp 600 to talk about the Masters and golf’s other majors.

His best betting advice? Stay away from betting your favorite teams; it’ll only make the hurt worse.

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