Monday W

Valks -7.5 (.55u)

88-62 (+17.89u)

ML Parlizzle:

Valkyries  /Rybakina (tennis) 
 -129 odds (1u)

Cold lately but here is my analysis on this game. 

Big number to lay with GS but with Tina Charles out I like them. Charles has scored double digits 10/12 games. Besides Mabrey who’s scoring? GS needs this game desperately for the playoff hunt. They have been tough as nails at home 10-4 ATS and 6-0 ATS with the rest advantage. Conn 4th game on the road and you just played 3 tough teams and this is the 5th game in 9 nights on a B2B. I think they wear out 2H. I watched that Aces game and they put a lot of effort in 2H.

Looking at the last 7 games of Conn on the road and GS at home, GS is #1 in EFG% allowed and Conn #13 (also the same with PPG allowed). GS is #2 in paint FG allowed,  #1 in ATB3 fg% allowed, and Conn is 2nd to last in mid-range fg%. So if Conn can’t score 3s, in the paint, and mid range, and Tina is out…. how the fuq are they scoring lol? 

Only thing I can think of is Conn has been good creating turnovers where GS struggles and this spread is too high. Let’s see what happens…

Golden St 

2-0 (+1.28u)

should have nuked GS…beautiful spot