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Ridiculously absurd MLB System!

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Prospect
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Joined: Apr, 2014
Posts: 20
Posted: #1151
Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:


Mets +1.5 are a tracking play 

Are the tracking plays two different systems? 3 game and 6 game chases combined???

Interested in following the 3 game chase system...

 
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Posted: #1152
Winner winner! Buffalo Chicken Pizza dinner!!

Let's go Braves!
 
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Posted: #1153
Quote Originally Posted by BamaTaxMan:

Winner winner! Buffalo Chicken Pizza dinner!!

Let's go Braves!

I prefer filet mignon with mushrooms, broccoli and baked potato. 
 
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Posts: 46
Posted: #1154
Quote Originally Posted by Baath887:

Hey Jeff,


I'm trying to analyze your system through probabilities... What do you think are the odds of each play winning separately? (On average?)

Let's say the odds of winning, A, B, C, D, or E (separately) on average are 70% each play. (Am I being a little too generous here?) This means that the probability of losing each play is 30%. Which means that the probability of incurring a system loss is (0.30)^5 = 00.24%. Which means there's around one chance in 500 that a system loss will occur, if there's a 70% chance of winning each play. Do you think I calculated this right?


Anyone could help me determine the odds of those plays winning, on average? I'm guessing the high juice on those plays mean that the odds of them winning are pretty high.
 
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Posted: #1155
Quit over thinking it.
 
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Posted: #1156
Yo Hat, what's tomorrow's play?
 
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Posted: #1157
ASTROS
 
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Posted: #1158
Quote Originally Posted by BamaTaxMan:

Yo Hat, what's tomorrow's play?

As of right now St.L but it might flip wait until morning. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1159
Quote Originally Posted by BamaTaxMan:

Quit over thinking it.


Not over thinking it, just trying to realistically translate our chances of incurring a system loss. I know the chances are slim, but still, it would be nice to estimate the probability of it happening.
 
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Posted: #1160
Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

Todays tracking plays:

All tracking plays have won on the (A) or (B) games, 2 different tracking systems both undefeated.

TEX (A) 
MIN +1.5 (A)
LAA +1.5 (A)
MIA (A)
OAK (A)
NYM (A)
CIN (A)

Not a bad day for tracking plays: 5 wins and 2 games going to (B)


TEX (A) win
LAA +1.5 (A) win
MIA (A) win
OAK (A) win
CIN +1.5 (A) win
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1161
Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:


Not a bad day for tracking plays: 5 wins and 2 games going to (B)


TEX (A) win
LAA +1.5 (A) win
MIA (A) win
OAK (A) win
CIN +1.5 (A) win

 

Hi Jeff-  Anyway I can get your email address or give you mine and you can send me a email? 

 
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Posted: #1162
Quote Originally Posted by drewblood:

 

Hi Jeff-  Anyway I can get your email address or give you mine and you can send me a email? 




I sent you a friend request give it to me there.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 52
Posted: #1163
jeff whats the tracking plays for tommorow?
 
Prospect
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Posts: 341
Posted: #1164
Jeff I love your style and plays  . Can you send me a friend request?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1165
Is it final, today's play is STL?
 
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Posted: #1166
Hi Jeff what are the plays for today?
 
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Posted: #1167
Can I get yur email address so I can receive your plays please?
 
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Posted: #1168
Quote Originally Posted by Spoilchild:

Can I get yur email address so I can receive your plays please?

He's not emailing plays. All plays are posted here. 

Official is: STL +1.5
 
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Posted: #1169
What is up with the email trolls -- why dudes, why?
 
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Posted: #1170
Apologies if this has been asked/answered. But if the A play loses, on the B play, are we betting to win back what we lost on A and break even, or betting to win 1 unit?

Exmaple. If I bet 150 to win 75 on A, and it loses, then on B do I bet to win 150 or bet to win 225?
 
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Posted: #1171
Hey Jeff, what's the B play today for your other tracking system? I took NYM yesterday.
 
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Posted: #1172
Quote Originally Posted by Thegoat5522:

Apologies if this has been asked/answered. But if the A play loses, on the B play, are we betting to win back what we lost on A and break even, or betting to win 1 unit?

Exmaple. If I bet 150 to win 75 on A, and it loses, then on B do I bet to win 150 or bet to win 225?

Bet to win back what you lost + 1 unit. 

In your example, bet to win 225
 
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Posted: #1173
St. Louie  + 1 1/2 --Jeff's official play???
 
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Posted: #1174
Quote Originally Posted by Bart_:


Bet to win back what you lost + 1 unit. 

In your example, bet to win 225

Thanks Bart
 
 
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Posted: #1175
Ok guys today we have St.L +1.5 (A)

Good luck

Tracking plays:

NYM +1.5 (B)
MIN +1.5 (B)

SF (A)
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