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Ridiculously absurd MLB System!

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Posts: 2223

neilsy25

Rookie

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 818

Posted: Apr. 12, 2014 - 11:03 PM ET #826

Quote Originally Posted by m0rtgageguy:

It's even better when the records and units are made up and when the losing plays are ignored. Make me happy knowing some systems clown has to suck some fat person to pay his bookie while dragging other suckers down with him.

mortgage guy,.. i am as little a fan of jeffs "look at me i am the greatest" sh*t as you are..but at least make sense if you are going to bash..a chase loss is not a loss until all 5 games lose..otherwise it is not a loss..it is still in progress..chases absolutely can be profitable..just not this one...

Bart_

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 3549

Posted: Apr. 12, 2014 - 11:13 PM ET #827

Quote Originally Posted by m0rtgageguy:

(C) * plays

It's actually a (B) play on Sunday.

And a chase system does not take a loss until all games in a series lose. In this case it's 5 games. Until (E) loses, the record will stay undefeated.

Bart_

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 3549

Posted: Apr. 12, 2014 - 11:13 PM ET #828

Quote Originally Posted by neilsy25:

ya..always nice to beat the Laffs, but i think neither of us are to pleased with this season

..teenage girl ?..i said to much coors, not to much palm bay !!

Coors or Coors Light?

neilsy25

Rookie

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 818

Posted: Apr. 12, 2014 - 11:19 PM ET #829

just coors man...brewed in golden colorado with 100% Rocky Mountain water for a legendary taste...

m0rtgageguy

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2014

Posts: 1283

Posted: Apr. 12, 2014 - 11:22 PM ET #830

If the record is 100-1 after 101 chases, the system is losing money big time! That's what people fail to understand

Bart_

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 3549

Posted: Apr. 12, 2014 - 11:50 PM ET #831

But it's not 100-1. It's 500-0.

MR_31_FLAVERZ

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 74

Posted: Apr. 12, 2014 - 11:58 PM ET #832

So you take the 1st rotation number and has to be a NL game? For A and is B a NL game as well or what's next in rotation.

Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

Thats what you call a bullseye!

Jochem7

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2013

Posts: 2009

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 12:09 AM ET #833

m0rtgage, your mommy or anyone that 'created' you should've hold a pillow on your face when they had the chance. Never, ever, seen a greater retard on any forum than you. Leave. You're useless. Seriously.

down4betting

Rookie

Joined: May, 2011

Posts: 981

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 12:50 AM ET #834

"If the record is 100-1 after 101 chases, the system is losing money big time! That's what people fail to understand"

I'm coming in late on this discussion and I want to get understanding what you're stating. I've seen other chase systems, so I hope to gain a little more perspective as well.

To my understanding, isn't one of the ways to mitigate this issue is by resetting your starting wager after the series is over? If you have a controlled wager amount that you stick to and build a bankroll, the higher percentage of wins should cover the rare sweep right?

This also comes with the notion that you're picking a fairly successful team that can avoid most sweeps during the season.

But in this model I noticed that The Hat is picking teams based off whatever method he developed right?

m0rtgageguy

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2014

Posts: 1283

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 1:24 AM ET #835

down4betting; You are correct. The odds of losing 5 plays that are heavily juiced, in a row, are something <1.0%. The only thing is you need to be able to risk 100 to 200 units just to chase that 1 unit. TheHat doesn't mention the odds he lays. TheHat also doesn't count losses towards the system, he just makes it unofficial. And most of all, the teams he's picking don't fall into any "successful" factor. He merely picks at random based on the time the game starts at.

The 500-0 is absolute BS. He has yet to answer any of my intelligent questions.

down4betting

Rookie

Joined: May, 2011

Posts: 981

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 1:30 AM ET #836

Okay, well that's clear enough for me. I wish a good night to everyone and best of luck on your future wagers.

m0rtgageguy

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2014

Posts: 1283

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 1:31 AM ET #837

Quote Originally Posted by Jochem7:

m0rtgage, your mommy or anyone that 'created' you should've hold a pillow on your face when they had the chance. Never, ever, seen a greater retard on any forum than you. Leave. You're useless. Seriously.

Thank you for your intelligent post.

Welp, off ya go

m0rtgageguy

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2014

Posts: 1283

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 1:33 AM ET #838

Quote Originally Posted by down4betting:

Okay, well that's clear enough for me. I wish a good night to everyone and best of luck on your future wagers.

m0rtgageguy

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2014

Posts: 1283

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 2:07 AM ET #839

Quote Originally Posted by neilsy25:

mortgage guy,.. i am as little a fan of jeffs "look at me i am the greatest" sh*t as you are..but at least make sense if you are going to bash..a chase loss is not a loss until all 5 games lose..otherwise it is not a loss..it is still in progress..chases absolutely can be profitable..just not this one...

Lol for a second I read "jerkoff". Haha I could image the OP being a broke jagoff tout. It's a classic system to the likes of "bet on both sides and you'll win money unless it's a tie after 9 innings". It usually wins but when it doesn't you end up losing tons of units. JERKOFF's system goes five levels deep of accumulated juice

JEFFTHEHAT

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2010

Posts: 3843

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 2:24 AM ET #840

Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

Tracking plays:

Record 7-0

A) 6

B) 1

Today we have:

BAL (B)

KC (B)

OAK (B)

Tracking plays:

Today BAL (B) win and OAK (B) win

Record 9-0

A) 6

B) 3

Sunday's play

KC (C)

bud7

Prospect

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 319

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 2:30 AM ET #841

Quote Originally Posted by RodWoman:

I will try to be intellectual for you, cause you sound like a brilliant man. How do you figure that a bettor that quits at the E game "would still come out as a winner at this point". Can you explain that?

Sorry buddy, yeah, your right. If one were to chase to a losing E wager, all profits up to this point would be lost. I am mostly trying to remind people of the fact that no one is forcing anyone to use this system and although it may fail next week or in five years, right now it is working great. You can always choose to back out of any chase if you feel you are giving too much back.

Mortgage, Hat as mentioned several times that there is a system using the lowest Rotation number for the AL dog. he has also stated that this system has only been back checked for a year. This is not the system that he has boasted about and that he is currently following. That is why he refers to it as the unofficial system and has warned people to follow it with their own discretion. I really cannot understand how so many people can voice such bitter criticisms towards someone that is simply trying to share a system they feel works.

bud7

Prospect

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 319

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 2:33 AM ET #842

Jeff, I am confused about the tracking plays, if you get a second..., thanks

JEFFTHEHAT

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2010

Posts: 3843

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 2:38 AM ET #843

Quote Originally Posted by bud7:

Jeff, I am confused about the tracking plays, if you get a second..., thanks

The tracking plays are or a system I'm back checking as we speak. This system is a 3 game chase and will have some losses. So far my predictions are a 500-600 unit a season system after any losses. Very time consuming to check will have 1st years results sometime next week.

bud7

Prospect

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 319

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 2:47 AM ET #844

Thanks Jeff! Good luck and I look forward to hearing more about this system when your done. Have a good night and thanks again for sharing info.

MR_31_FLAVERZ

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 74

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 2:50 AM ET #845

@The hat...

Do you just take the 1st rotation underdog +1.5?

BoozinB

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 156

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 2:52 AM ET #846

Jeff, thanks for all your hard work. Ignore the haters. For every hater, there are several followers that appreciate you creating and tracking this system. Can't wait for May 2nd when your other system begins!

JEFFTHEHAT

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2010

Posts: 3843

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 2:52 AM ET #847

Quote Originally Posted by MR_31_FLAVERZ:

@The hat...

Do you just take the 1st rotation underdog +1.5?

Yes

JEFFTHEHAT

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2010

Posts: 3843

Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 2:54 AM ET #848

Quote Originally Posted by BoozinB:

Jeff, thanks for all your hard work. Ignore the haters. For every hater, there are several followers that appreciate you creating and tracking this system. Can't wait for May 2nd when your other system begins!

Thx

Read post #843 it's another system waiting to be born.