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    All Forums | Tennis

    WIMBLEDON 2014 PICKS with short reasoning

    123 ... 101112 Next Last»
    lsu-saints4ever
    Jailbait7127
    ewickz
    Straightwager13
    rzagza
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 29887
    Posts: 296
    123 ... 101112 Next Last»
     
    lsu-saints4ever
    lsu-saints4ever
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    Posted: Jun. 21, 2014 - 12:53 AM ET #1

    Will try my best to follow suit from French Open...Gonna be a tough act to follow...At 1st most plays will be big favs but that's just the way it is..but most I will guarantee 
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Will try my best to follow suit from French Open...Gonna be a tough act to follow...At 1st most plays will be big favs but that's just the way it is..but most I will guarantee 
     
    Jailbait7127
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    Posted: Jun. 21, 2014 - 2:00 AM ET #2

     been waiting!!!!!
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     been waiting!!!!!
     
    ewickz
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    Posted: Jun. 21, 2014 - 11:44 PM ET #3

    whom would you pick for outright mens and womes?

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    whom would you pick for outright mens and womes?

     
    Straightwager13
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2014 - 12:10 AM ET #4

    Lol
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    Lol
     
    rzagza
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2014 - 1:09 AM ET #5

    Big faves did well last yr

    Federer lost as a -11,000
    Sharapova as a -6000
    Nadal as a -7000

    But. Yeah. Pound those faves.
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    Big faves did well last yr

    Federer lost as a -11,000
    Sharapova as a -6000
    Nadal as a -7000

    But. Yeah. Pound those faves.
     
    rzagza
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2014 - 1:10 AM ET #6

    This ain't hardcourts. A lot of top guys are absolutely dreadful on grass. Namely Wawrinka, Raonic. And obviously Nadal looks like he's forgotten how to play on it as well.

    Be careful. Understand the surface.
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    This ain't hardcourts. A lot of top guys are absolutely dreadful on grass. Namely Wawrinka, Raonic. And obviously Nadal looks like he's forgotten how to play on it as well.

    Be careful. Understand the surface.
     
    jefff
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2014 - 6:54 AM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by rzagza:

    This ain't hardcourts. A lot of top guys are absolutely dreadful on grass. Namely Wawrinka, Raonic. And obviously Nadal looks like he's forgotten how to play on it as well.

    Be careful. Understand the surface.


    agree.  some folks dont bother with grass and it shows.  homework is very important for Wimbledon. 

    and the players you mention show why the lower half of the men's draw is wiiiiiiiiide open.  If Fed plays well he has a walk to the finals.

    LSU has been smart about the big chalk he picks.   Has been very impressive

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    Quote Originally Posted by rzagza:

    This ain't hardcourts. A lot of top guys are absolutely dreadful on grass. Namely Wawrinka, Raonic. And obviously Nadal looks like he's forgotten how to play on it as well.

    Be careful. Understand the surface.


    agree.  some folks dont bother with grass and it shows.  homework is very important for Wimbledon. 

    and the players you mention show why the lower half of the men's draw is wiiiiiiiiide open.  If Fed plays well he has a walk to the finals.

    LSU has been smart about the big chalk he picks.   Has been very impressive

     
    dickritchie
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2014 - 7:44 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by rzagza:

    Big faves did well last yr

    Federer lost as a -11,000
    Sharapova as a -6000
    Nadal as a -7000

    But. Yeah. Pound those faves.

    LSU is like 25-3.  do u really think he needs your sarcastic advice?
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    Quote Originally Posted by rzagza:

    Big faves did well last yr

    Federer lost as a -11,000
    Sharapova as a -6000
    Nadal as a -7000

    But. Yeah. Pound those faves.

    LSU is like 25-3.  do u really think he needs your sarcastic advice?
     
    Theone324
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2014 - 8:15 AM ET #9

    Rzaga you are such a clown post your picks in your own thread and shut up. GL LSU let's make some cash
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    Rzaga you are such a clown post your picks in your own thread and shut up. GL LSU let's make some cash
     
    lsu-saints4ever
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2014 - 1:28 PM ET #10

    Thiem -220
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    Thiem -220
     
    dickritchie
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2014 - 1:49 PM ET #11

    haha I've been printing money with thiem.  although he looks bad on grass.  whats the angle here
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    haha I've been printing money with thiem.  although he looks bad on grass.  whats the angle here
     
    dickritchie
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2014 - 1:51 PM ET #12

    i know saville was wimbledon juniors champ but he hasn't done anything as a pro 
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    i know saville was wimbledon juniors champ but he hasn't done anything as a pro 
     
    rzagza
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2014 - 5:16 PM ET #13

    TheOne, you're like the worst capper I've ever seen on here. Look at you history it's hilarious. Worry about your own terrible wagers.
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    TheOne, you're like the worst capper I've ever seen on here. Look at you history it's hilarious. Worry about your own terrible wagers.
     
    lsu-saints4ever
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2014 - 8:20 PM ET #14

    Keep let's do this gimme a few official picks to come...them was 1st glance pick gotta confirm in a few
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    Keep let's do this gimme a few official picks to come...them was 1st glance pick gotta confirm in a few
     
    Jailbait7127
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2014 - 11:12 PM ET #15

    Any more picks lsu. Or is thiem it? Let's get it.
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    Any more picks lsu. Or is thiem it? Let's get it.
     
    Amazatron
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2014 - 11:51 PM ET #16

    Thiem has played one grass match in his ATP career and got smoked by Goffin.  Saville has battled through qualies to earn his spot.  Very dangerous bet.
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    Thiem has played one grass match in his ATP career and got smoked by Goffin.  Saville has battled through qualies to earn his spot.  Very dangerous bet.
     
    lsu-saints4ever
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 2:09 AM ET #17

    Thiem is a no go...no time for write ups tonight.

    OFFICIAL PICKS:

    KVITOVA -700
    PENETTA -500
    CILIC -550
    BAUTISTA-AGUT -220
    DOLGOPOLOV -190

    PARLAY: DJOKOVIC, DMITROV, MURRAY, GULBIS, BERDYCH








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    Thiem is a no go...no time for write ups tonight.

    OFFICIAL PICKS:

    KVITOVA -700
    PENETTA -500
    CILIC -550
    BAUTISTA-AGUT -220
    DOLGOPOLOV -190

    PARLAY: DJOKOVIC, DMITROV, MURRAY, GULBIS, BERDYCH








     
    lsu-saints4ever
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 2:10 AM ET #18

    Other than the obvious parlay picks I'm GUARANTEEING CILIC!!
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    Other than the obvious parlay picks I'm GUARANTEEING CILIC!!
     
    lsu-saints4ever
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 2:12 AM ET #19

    Jailbait my bad just been real busy today
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    Jailbait my bad just been real busy today
     
    lsu-saints4ever
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 2:35 AM ET #20

    Had a little time so Adding 1:

    FLIPKENS -150 Both players good on grass, but Flipkens played much harder field..Odds should be -300 or so..
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    Had a little time so Adding 1:

    FLIPKENS -150 Both players good on grass, but Flipkens played much harder field..Odds should be -300 or so..
     
    lsu-saints4ever
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 3:30 AM ET #21

    Alright guys got some time now. . So yes grass is really tricky. .. More so than any other surface, I feel, you really have to know your stuff, especially with the short season. ...The bottom line is the courts play very fast,  the points are shorter, and the balls don't bounce as high...A good example of why this doesn't suit players like Wawrinka and Raonic:

    Wawrinka...He has a long backswing which requires more time..time he doesn't have on these fast courts.Also, Grass does not let the ball sit up with the high hop he needs to uncoil his more protracted swings

    Raonic..Like Isner, Raonic has had difficulties on grass. He has been eliminated in the second round all three times he has participated at Wimbledon. He needs time to set up for his defensive baseline game, and he is still a work in progress trying to finish at net. And he doesn't move well..not good on grass.

    (Ironically enough both these players have decent grass records comparitively i believe)

    There are some players at 1st glance that I feel, on grass, should do good this tournament:

    Federer, Djokovic, Venus and Serena Williams, Berdych, Cilic, Gulbis, Nishikori, Murray, Dolgopolov, Anderson, Dimitrov, Nishikori, Lopez, Stepanek...
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    Alright guys got some time now. . So yes grass is really tricky. .. More so than any other surface, I feel, you really have to know your stuff, especially with the short season. ...The bottom line is the courts play very fast,  the points are shorter, and the balls don't bounce as high...A good example of why this doesn't suit players like Wawrinka and Raonic:

    Wawrinka...He has a long backswing which requires more time..time he doesn't have on these fast courts.Also, Grass does not let the ball sit up with the high hop he needs to uncoil his more protracted swings

    Raonic..Like Isner, Raonic has had difficulties on grass. He has been eliminated in the second round all three times he has participated at Wimbledon. He needs time to set up for his defensive baseline game, and he is still a work in progress trying to finish at net. And he doesn't move well..not good on grass.

    (Ironically enough both these players have decent grass records comparitively i believe)

    There are some players at 1st glance that I feel, on grass, should do good this tournament:

    Federer, Djokovic, Venus and Serena Williams, Berdych, Cilic, Gulbis, Nishikori, Murray, Dolgopolov, Anderson, Dimitrov, Nishikori, Lopez, Stepanek...
     
    lsu-saints4ever
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 4:05 AM ET #22

    Although just noticing Dolgopolov injured
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    Although just noticing Dolgopolov injured
     
    xibeleli
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 5:53 AM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by lsu-saints4ever:

    Other than the obvious parlay picks I'm GUARANTEEING CILIC!!


    Impressive you're guaranteeing a -500 favourite. You got any other cheaper favourites that you can guarantee?
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    Quote Originally Posted by lsu-saints4ever:

    Other than the obvious parlay picks I'm GUARANTEEING CILIC!!


    Impressive you're guaranteeing a -500 favourite. You got any other cheaper favourites that you can guarantee?
     
    roger1000
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 10:10 AM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by lsu-saints4ever:

    Thiem is a no go...no time for write ups tonight.

    OFFICIAL PICKS:

    KVITOVA -700
    PENETTA -500
    CILIC -550
    BAUTISTA-AGUT -220
    DOLGOPOLOV -190

    PARLAY: DJOKOVIC, DMITROV, MURRAY, GULBIS, BERDYCH










    Hey LSU,
    Wondering why you're playing the ML rather than the ATS markets?

    Even though 5 Dimes is charging an ungodly thirty cents on the ATS, it still offers much better value than the ML for most of these matchups.

    For example, at -765/+533, your EV for the Kvitova bet is -31.10; while for the ATS at -112/-118, it's -7.29!

    Cilic at -515/+410 would be -16.68, and the ATS at -120/-110 would be -7.77.

    Bautista-Agut at -230/+190 is -9.23, vs. -7.93 for the -125/-105 ATS.

    Dolgopolov at -190/+165 is -5.99, and at -125/-105 is, again, -7.93 (i.e., you're better off playing the ML for this match).

    Just some food for thought...

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    Quote Originally Posted by lsu-saints4ever:

    Thiem is a no go...no time for write ups tonight.

    OFFICIAL PICKS:

    KVITOVA -700
    PENETTA -500
    CILIC -550
    BAUTISTA-AGUT -220
    DOLGOPOLOV -190

    PARLAY: DJOKOVIC, DMITROV, MURRAY, GULBIS, BERDYCH










    Hey LSU,
    Wondering why you're playing the ML rather than the ATS markets?

    Even though 5 Dimes is charging an ungodly thirty cents on the ATS, it still offers much better value than the ML for most of these matchups.

    For example, at -765/+533, your EV for the Kvitova bet is -31.10; while for the ATS at -112/-118, it's -7.29!

    Cilic at -515/+410 would be -16.68, and the ATS at -120/-110 would be -7.77.

    Bautista-Agut at -230/+190 is -9.23, vs. -7.93 for the -125/-105 ATS.

    Dolgopolov at -190/+165 is -5.99, and at -125/-105 is, again, -7.93 (i.e., you're better off playing the ML for this match).

    Just some food for thought...

     
     
    Jailbait7127
    Jailbait7127
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 11:02 AM ET #25

    if you want almost guaranteed winners, thats what he does... if you dont... then move on
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    if you want almost guaranteed winners, thats what he does... if you dont... then move on
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