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    All Forums | Tennis

    Outrights Grand Slam - Value bets?

    Bjorn_Borg
    sandique
    Buzz44
    KiwiSportsFan
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    Bjorn_Borg
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    Posted: May. 9, 2025 - 5:36 PM ET #1

    Wimbledon 

     

    Draper 10/1

    Mussetti 22/1

     

    Keys 25/1

     

    Frech Open

    Ostapenko 25/1

     

    Feels like you can get these now and sell them at the second week. 

    Thoughts? 

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Wimbledon 

     

    Draper 10/1

    Mussetti 22/1

     

    Keys 25/1

     

    Frech Open

    Ostapenko 25/1

     

    Feels like you can get these now and sell them at the second week. 

    Thoughts? 

     
    Bjorn_Borg
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    Posted: May. 9, 2025 - 5:40 PM ET #2

    Draper - Sinner 1-1 (Draper won 2-0 on grass their only meeting)

    Draper - Carlos 2-3 (Draper won 2-0 on grass their only meeting)

     

    I can't see Draper go deep in French open, so he will have lot's of time to prepare for the grass season back in UK. 

    Reply

    Draper - Sinner 1-1 (Draper won 2-0 on grass their only meeting)

    Draper - Carlos 2-3 (Draper won 2-0 on grass their only meeting)

     

    I can't see Draper go deep in French open, so he will have lot's of time to prepare for the grass season back in UK. 

     
    Bjorn_Borg
    Bjorn_Borg
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    Posted: May. 9, 2025 - 5:43 PM ET #3

    Draper - Sinner 1-1 (Draper won 2-0 on grass their only meeting)

    Draper - Carlos 2-3 (Draper won 2-0 on grass their only meeting)

     

    I can't see Draper go deep in French open, so he will have lot's of time to prepare for the grass season back in UK. 

    Musetti reaches semi last year, and final in Queens. He has improved his game a lot in the last year.

     

    Keys always good on grass, and she's having her best seasons so far at 30.

    Ostapenko who won French open back in 2017 is now having a great run on clay, already beat Sabalenka and Iga (6-0 H2H!) this year.

    Reply

    Draper - Sinner 1-1 (Draper won 2-0 on grass their only meeting)

    Draper - Carlos 2-3 (Draper won 2-0 on grass their only meeting)

     

    I can't see Draper go deep in French open, so he will have lot's of time to prepare for the grass season back in UK. 

    Musetti reaches semi last year, and final in Queens. He has improved his game a lot in the last year.

     

    Keys always good on grass, and she's having her best seasons so far at 30.

    Ostapenko who won French open back in 2017 is now having a great run on clay, already beat Sabalenka and Iga (6-0 H2H!) this year.

     
    Bjorn_Borg
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    Posted: May. 9, 2025 - 5:45 PM ET #4

    Not saying they will win apart from Draper, but great value and would play these in small bets instead of one chunk, so you can sell them one by one day my day the second week. 

    Reply

    Not saying they will win apart from Draper, but great value and would play these in small bets instead of one chunk, so you can sell them one by one day my day the second week. 

     
    Bjorn_Borg
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2025 - 2:00 PM ET #5

    Bublik locked 80/1 to win Wimbledon, if Kyrigos can reach the final why not Bulik. 

     

    We won't see this odds for long

    Reply

    Bublik locked 80/1 to win Wimbledon, if Kyrigos can reach the final why not Bulik. 

     

    We won't see this odds for long

     
    Bjorn_Borg
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2025 - 2:01 PM ET #6

    So far I have

     

    Drape to win 10/1

    Zverev to win 13/1

    Musetti 22/1

    Bublik 80/1

    Reply

    So far I have

     

    Drape to win 10/1

    Zverev to win 13/1

    Musetti 22/1

    Bublik 80/1

     
    Bjorn_Borg
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    Posted: Jun. 20, 2025 - 4:26 AM ET #7

    Bublik now 50/1, still value. Might add some more before the draw, as long he makes it to the second week we should be able to sell in good profit.

     

     

    tips is to place small bets on future so you can sell them one at the time. 

    Reply

    Bublik now 50/1, still value. Might add some more before the draw, as long he makes it to the second week we should be able to sell in good profit.

     

     

    tips is to place small bets on future so you can sell them one at the time. 

     
    sandique
    sandique
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    Posted: Jun. 21, 2025 - 8:06 AM ET #8

    Vondrousova is a serious threat for Wimbledon. She's not been physically run-down by any elongated clay court season shenanigans (& in playing her first tennis at the top level in 3 months only lost at the French in a 3rd set vs Pegula, recent US Open finalist). None of the world's top 10 represent a stone cold threat on grass, and looking at the winners of the last 3 Slams (Keys & Gauff) neither have ever won a quarter-final at Wimbledon never mind a final, whereas the Czech won it just 2 years back. Neither of last year's finalists will repeat their efforts, and the tubby Tunisian will need an extremely good draw to repeat her effort of 2 & 3 years back (on grass she can still beat most on a 'good day', but 5-6-7 'good days' in a row? Not happening).

     

    Top 3 threats:

    Sabalenka (simply because she doesn't lose to nobodies these days, so a good draw and she could waltz to the title)

    Rybakina (her issue isn't to do with any given opponent, but her own consistency: when she's on on grass, she's unbeatable)

    Vondrousova (now that her Berlin semi-final showing has proven she's back for this year's event for real). 

    Reply

    Vondrousova is a serious threat for Wimbledon. She's not been physically run-down by any elongated clay court season shenanigans (& in playing her first tennis at the top level in 3 months only lost at the French in a 3rd set vs Pegula, recent US Open finalist). None of the world's top 10 represent a stone cold threat on grass, and looking at the winners of the last 3 Slams (Keys & Gauff) neither have ever won a quarter-final at Wimbledon never mind a final, whereas the Czech won it just 2 years back. Neither of last year's finalists will repeat their efforts, and the tubby Tunisian will need an extremely good draw to repeat her effort of 2 & 3 years back (on grass she can still beat most on a 'good day', but 5-6-7 'good days' in a row? Not happening).

     

    Top 3 threats:

    Sabalenka (simply because she doesn't lose to nobodies these days, so a good draw and she could waltz to the title)

    Rybakina (her issue isn't to do with any given opponent, but her own consistency: when she's on on grass, she's unbeatable)

    Vondrousova (now that her Berlin semi-final showing has proven she's back for this year's event for real). 

     
    Bjorn_Borg
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    Posted: Jun. 21, 2025 - 12:38 PM ET #9

    @sandique

     Agree! I will put some money her, her game suits grass and she’s is finding her form in the right time..

     

    Can’t wait for the draw.

     

     

    Reply

    @sandique

     Agree! I will put some money her, her game suits grass and she’s is finding her form in the right time..

     

    Can’t wait for the draw.

     

     

     
    Bjorn_Borg
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2025 - 6:42 AM ET #10

     

     

     

    Wang paying 145/1 ( Max $30) had to Take that, shes is playing great this week.

     

     

    Reply

     

     

     

    Wang paying 145/1 ( Max $30) had to Take that, shes is playing great this week.

     

     

     
    Buzz44
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2025 - 6:51 AM ET #11

    I agree...WANG is playing very well

    Reply

    I agree...WANG is playing very well

     
    KiwiSportsFan
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2025 - 7:06 AM ET #12

    Wang is carrying a physical injury (described as a "niggle") of such a nature that she was doubtful about even playing her semi-final against Samsonova, as related by the Chinese female commentator of this Berlin final. If a "niggle" is bad enough to have you doubting even showing for one of the biggest semis of your career to date, I doubt your lasting 2 full weeks at Wimbledon.

    Reply

    Wang is carrying a physical injury (described as a "niggle") of such a nature that she was doubtful about even playing her semi-final against Samsonova, as related by the Chinese female commentator of this Berlin final. If a "niggle" is bad enough to have you doubting even showing for one of the biggest semis of your career to date, I doubt your lasting 2 full weeks at Wimbledon.

     
    Bjorn_Borg
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2025 - 7:14 AM ET #13

    So the idea with the future bet is not keep them do 2 weeks, I’m sure Sinner or a Carlos will win in the end.

     

    just playing high odds now to sell the second week.

     

    the Bublik play for some weeks ago is already in profit. 

    Reply

    So the idea with the future bet is not keep them do 2 weeks, I’m sure Sinner or a Carlos will win in the end.

     

    just playing high odds now to sell the second week.

     

    the Bublik play for some weeks ago is already in profit. 

     
    KiwiSportsFan
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2025 - 8:16 AM ET #14

    @Bjorn_Borg

     Fair enough. After this Berlin effort I think she'll be overrated, and will look to fade her from R1 (draw dependent, of course). Last 2 years in Slams she's 3-3 in R2 matches & 1-2 in R3 matches. Add in her injury (presumably her strapped up leg) I don't see her reaching week 2.

    Reply

    @Bjorn_Borg

     Fair enough. After this Berlin effort I think she'll be overrated, and will look to fade her from R1 (draw dependent, of course). Last 2 years in Slams she's 3-3 in R2 matches & 1-2 in R3 matches. Add in her injury (presumably her strapped up leg) I don't see her reaching week 2.

     
     
    Bjorn_Borg
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    Posted: Jul. 3, 2025 - 5:44 AM ET #15

    lol almost everybody out just Draper left.

     

     

    But wang got her at 145/1 with Pegula out it looking really good.

     

    can sell her at 40/1 at the moment, I think she will win the next two so will wait a bit.

    Reply

    lol almost everybody out just Draper left.

     

     

    But wang got her at 145/1 with Pegula out it looking really good.

     

    can sell her at 40/1 at the moment, I think she will win the next two so will wait a bit.

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