What methodology do you use to make your daily picks?

I've read people on the forum who make picks and state that they would have had this team favored or the line by this much.  It would be helpful to list how cappers come up with these picks, do they subscribe to a paid pick/or info service, (if so, how much they pay) and the majority of their bet types.

     For example, I subscribe to accuscore, which just started offering daily picks was mostly an info source for game predictions.  I paid $400 for a yearly sub, that includes sims for all major sports.   I would make by daily picks for point spread if they have a team with a simulated 59% or more winning pct.  Same with O/U, but I would go as low as 55%. 
     For ML bets, if the simulated winning percentage is higher than the actual break even pct, I would bet the ML on that game (ex MIA +300 ml, actual break even is 25% so sim would have to be higher than that).
     I mostly bet parlays for the big payday and straight bets to just try and get some money back.  2 team ML upset parlays can pay huge and with a lot of CBB games sometimes you need some guidance. 
     This system has been mildly successful as I back it up with posts by strong cappers here and also look at current trends.  I like to look st teams on streaks.  If a team has won 7 in  a row and is an underdog, I would favor them over the other team as a bet.  I like to check ATS ytd for point spread, o/u, home/road dichotomy. 
   

I use a paid service and John morrison system and two other systems.

vegasinsider combine with foxsheets