I want to learn about anything and everything that is sports handicapping. Strategies, Systems, Sharp Betting, Tips, Money Management, or anything else that will help. Any information gained in this thread will be a positive. Share some knowledge with the Rookies trying to make it. Thanks in advance.
Some of my thoughts on capping:
-Bet 1-2 units per play , Manage Management
-Do Not play parlays or teasers
-Look for value in the underdogs(especially Home 'dogs)
-Do not play the high chalk favorites on the Moneyline(use Point Spread)
-Read the Covers Matchup page and preview
-Look for recent trends and history
-Compare Matchups
-Situational Betting (teams switching time zones, back to back games, etc.)
-Keep updated with Injuries
-Fade teams with key injuries
-Pick Winners
Good Luck
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I want to learn about anything and everything that is sports handicapping. Strategies, Systems, Sharp Betting, Tips, Money Management, or anything else that will help. Any information gained in this thread will be a positive. Share some knowledge with the Rookies trying to make it. Thanks in advance.
Some of my thoughts on capping:
-Bet 1-2 units per play , Manage Management
-Do Not play parlays or teasers
-Look for value in the underdogs(especially Home 'dogs)
-Do not play the high chalk favorites on the Moneyline(use Point Spread)
-Read the Covers Matchup page and preview
-Look for recent trends and history
-Compare Matchups
-Situational Betting (teams switching time zones, back to back games, etc.)
-Bet 1-2 units per play , Manage Management Don't put a minimum or maximum on the number of plays you should play per day. Don't miss a good bet, and don't make a play for the sake of it
-Do Not play parlays or teasers Parlays should be used only when you have a fairly significant edge. at this point you do not know you have one. a teaser can be proitable, but I'm not passing along that secret
-Look for value in the underdogs(especially Home 'dogs) Value is value, whether they are dog or fave, home or road
-Do not play the high chalk favorites on the Moneyline(use Point Spread) Value is value, no matter what price.
-Read the Covers Matchup page and preview Use whatever tools you are comfortable with
-Look for recent trends and history Thats one factor
-Compare Matchups And another
-Situational Betting (teams switching time zones, back to back games, etc.) And another, there's plenty more
-Keep updated with Injuries Obviously
-Fade teams with key injuries Not necessarily. Teams playing injured teams tend to be over-bet, sometimes resulting in value in the injured team
-Pick Winners Overrated. Would you rather go 40% picking +200 team or 65% at -200?
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-Bet 1-2 units per play , Manage Management Don't put a minimum or maximum on the number of plays you should play per day. Don't miss a good bet, and don't make a play for the sake of it
-Do Not play parlays or teasers Parlays should be used only when you have a fairly significant edge. at this point you do not know you have one. a teaser can be proitable, but I'm not passing along that secret
-Look for value in the underdogs(especially Home 'dogs) Value is value, whether they are dog or fave, home or road
-Do not play the high chalk favorites on the Moneyline(use Point Spread) Value is value, no matter what price.
-Read the Covers Matchup page and preview Use whatever tools you are comfortable with
-Look for recent trends and history Thats one factor
-Compare Matchups And another
-Situational Betting (teams switching time zones, back to back games, etc.) And another, there's plenty more
-Keep updated with Injuries Obviously
-Fade teams with key injuries Not necessarily. Teams playing injured teams tend to be over-bet, sometimes resulting in value in the injured team
-Pick Winners Overrated. Would you rather go 40% picking +200 team or 65% at -200?
I don't believe Second was criticizing you at all. Just offering his opinions, constructive ones at that.
Anyway, I'll offer a couple of my own.
Money Management: sticking with 1-2 units per play is a great idea if your individual unit size is 1-2% of your total bankroll. If your unit size is $100, and your total bankroll is $1000, not such a good idea.
Line Value: Shop for lines. And I don't mean getting an extra 1/2 point on a basketball total. Getting the best line is not nearly as important as getting the best price on that line. Reducing your commision costs (vig, juice) lowers your win percentage needed to profit, and increases profits overall. You can grind out a nice profit at 53.5% with an average lay price of -105.
You have an idea of the fundamentals. Stick to the basics. Discipline is key in maintaining and increasing your bankroll.
Good luck 1984
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I don't believe Second was criticizing you at all. Just offering his opinions, constructive ones at that.
Anyway, I'll offer a couple of my own.
Money Management: sticking with 1-2 units per play is a great idea if your individual unit size is 1-2% of your total bankroll. If your unit size is $100, and your total bankroll is $1000, not such a good idea.
Line Value: Shop for lines. And I don't mean getting an extra 1/2 point on a basketball total. Getting the best line is not nearly as important as getting the best price on that line. Reducing your commision costs (vig, juice) lowers your win percentage needed to profit, and increases profits overall. You can grind out a nice profit at 53.5% with an average lay price of -105.
You have an idea of the fundamentals. Stick to the basics. Discipline is key in maintaining and increasing your bankroll.
I want to learn new and different strategies from people. I am disappointed that the only post i got was to criticize half the stuff i wrote.
Anyhow, Good Luck
Sorry if you took this as criticism.
What you need to remember is that everybody is looking at the same information as you are. How you interpret it and the weighting you put to this information will determine if you profit or not. Finding a slight edge can add a few more winners per month to your record, and that will make a whole lot of difference to your bottom line.
Everybody is trying to find that spot, and trust me, it is factored into the line. If guys on Covers have found a spot, more then likely the books have found it to. Try and find an edge that very few people look at and exploit it. Find a trend rather then a coincidence. And there is no such thing as a trap game. Find out how and why books set their lines. Find out as much as you can on how books operate.
They is no magical way to do this. There are no right way to do this, but many wrong ways. Read up as much as you can. I have found that most of the U.S sites and books basically go over the same shit all the time. Try and find some British and European sites for information. Most of it is soccer and horse racing biased, but you will find much more useful information. The markets are much more mature over there. The most important aspect you need to understand is value. Value is subjective, but a lot of the information out there will help you understand it and find it.
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Quote Originally Posted by Gambler1984:
I want to learn new and different strategies from people. I am disappointed that the only post i got was to criticize half the stuff i wrote.
Anyhow, Good Luck
Sorry if you took this as criticism.
What you need to remember is that everybody is looking at the same information as you are. How you interpret it and the weighting you put to this information will determine if you profit or not. Finding a slight edge can add a few more winners per month to your record, and that will make a whole lot of difference to your bottom line.
Everybody is trying to find that spot, and trust me, it is factored into the line. If guys on Covers have found a spot, more then likely the books have found it to. Try and find an edge that very few people look at and exploit it. Find a trend rather then a coincidence. And there is no such thing as a trap game. Find out how and why books set their lines. Find out as much as you can on how books operate.
They is no magical way to do this. There are no right way to do this, but many wrong ways. Read up as much as you can. I have found that most of the U.S sites and books basically go over the same shit all the time. Try and find some British and European sites for information. Most of it is soccer and horse racing biased, but you will find much more useful information. The markets are much more mature over there. The most important aspect you need to understand is value. Value is subjective, but a lot of the information out there will help you understand it and find it.
Thanks for the honest comments, Jack and SecondAgain
I started this thread to gain as much knowledge as possible about sports betting. I am looking for different methods and strategies that people use. Whats your Strategy??? Handicapping does not have to be a individual investment. Working together with other smart bettors can only help all of our results. I just want to learn as much as possible about handicapping.
Good Luck to everybody.
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Thanks for the honest comments, Jack and SecondAgain
I started this thread to gain as much knowledge as possible about sports betting. I am looking for different methods and strategies that people use. Whats your Strategy??? Handicapping does not have to be a individual investment. Working together with other smart bettors can only help all of our results. I just want to learn as much as possible about handicapping.
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