Trying a different angle for 2009.

 

There are 30 teams in ML each playing 162 regular season games. The total games played in a season is 4,860 games. I plan to do utilize 2 strategies based on not on handicapping individual games, but seeking out situational trends. Filters will include how bad a team is (eg Wash, Pitt, Seattle, SD, etc), losing streaks, and home or away.

 

I also plan to spot fade typically overvalued teams such as NYY, Boston, Cubs, Dodgers, and this year Tampa and Philadelphia. If they win all 100 games that still leaves 62 games at an Underdog majority.

 

Looking forward to Opening Day.

 

 

Dunno, I pasted this from another site - I think its from 2007

 

Baseball Favorites to Avoid Betting

The public loves betting favorites because they win. They win at about a 58% clip in baseball. The problem is that the money line odds for them are against you because you are betting with the public. Blindly betting you would much rather bet on the underdogs instead of favorites because of the value inherent in betting them.

Regardless, there are some favorites in baseball to avoid betting. I always avoid betting on favorites that play on the road against division rivals. Home dogs are the best thing since sliced bread so I try to avoid betting against them. Thus, avoid the road favorites in the game.

Another type of favorite to avoid is one that is in a slump. For example, betting against favorites that have less than 4 wins L10 has had profitable seasons in 4 of the past 5 years. During that span, blindly betting against these favorites have been +36 units.

Favorites that I commonly avoid are the ones in the American League. The American League is stacked with many great offenses and the pitching advantage is not as strong in the AL because of the DH. Therefore I try to avoid American League favorites. In fact, betting against American League favorites playing division rivals would have won you +63 units over the past 3 seasons. 

Sorry but there are 2 teams involved in every game, so there's ONLY 2430 games per season in MLB.  Although to me it seems like 10000 most seasons