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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    nhl top parlay ?

    heart222
    jhudd70
    Lippsman
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    heart222
    heart222
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2009 - 8:31 AM ET #1

    Hi I have a simple system I take the top 2 favorites in the NHL and parlay them. Currently aheas about 14 units. Sometimes I play them PL but no real system for that part. Am looking for something similar in the NBA? any thoughts? thanks
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    Hi I have a simple system I take the top 2 favorites in the NHL and parlay them. Currently aheas about 14 units. Sometimes I play them PL but no real system for that part. Am looking for something similar in the NBA? any thoughts? thanks
     
    jhudd70
    jhudd70
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    Posts: 328
    Posted: Jan. 12, 2009 - 3:47 AM ET #2

     From back tracking this system here are the numbers from this NHL season:  
     
    42 parlays won
    51 parlays lost
         (38 times, 1 leg lost, 13 times, both legs lost.
     
    So your at 45% betting the top 2 favs every nite. So it all depends on the prices your getting. For instance if your top 2 favs are priced at -240, and -240, your parlay will get you even money. You'll have the occasional nites when a small card will get you a decent price, but this seems like a grind it out strategy. Noticed some long losing streaks early in the year, so i'm thinking a progressive style of betting could be disasterous. Seems like this system sucks early, but gets better as the year goes on. Some numbers from the 07-08 season:
     
    parlays won: 81
    parlays lost: 107 ...43%
     
    BOL, if your numbers are different, please show some evidence. The numbers could be skewed, depending on the book and where your lines are coming from.
     
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     From back tracking this system here are the numbers from this NHL season:  
     
    42 parlays won
    51 parlays lost
         (38 times, 1 leg lost, 13 times, both legs lost.
     
    So your at 45% betting the top 2 favs every nite. So it all depends on the prices your getting. For instance if your top 2 favs are priced at -240, and -240, your parlay will get you even money. You'll have the occasional nites when a small card will get you a decent price, but this seems like a grind it out strategy. Noticed some long losing streaks early in the year, so i'm thinking a progressive style of betting could be disasterous. Seems like this system sucks early, but gets better as the year goes on. Some numbers from the 07-08 season:
     
    parlays won: 81
    parlays lost: 107 ...43%
     
    BOL, if your numbers are different, please show some evidence. The numbers could be skewed, depending on the book and where your lines are coming from.
     
     
    jhudd70
    jhudd70
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2009 - 3:49 AM ET #3

    Don't think thid would work for NBA...too much juice. MLB however...
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    Don't think thid would work for NBA...too much juice. MLB however...
     
    Lippsman
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2009 - 9:52 AM ET #4

    Look to do this at the end of Feb.  At this time the basement teams have pretty much given it up. 
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    Look to do this at the end of Feb.  At this time the basement teams have pretty much given it up. 
     
    heart222
    heart222
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2009 - 4:36 PM ET #5

    Hi Thanks for the data. I do not bet games unless at least one team is -175 or more and the other has to be over 1.50. I am ahead around 17 units ty. even betting no martingales. as a result of the mininum number there are somedays no bets. what is happening is the odds have been going up in Jan so where I was getting 13-10 now I get 11-10 or sometimes less. San J was 380 the other night. some night where there is a say 250 and then 2 200 teams i split it and make 2 parlays 1/2 unit each. regards bob
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    Hi Thanks for the data. I do not bet games unless at least one team is -175 or more and the other has to be over 1.50. I am ahead around 17 units ty. even betting no martingales. as a result of the mininum number there are somedays no bets. what is happening is the odds have been going up in Jan so where I was getting 13-10 now I get 11-10 or sometimes less. San J was 380 the other night. some night where there is a say 250 and then 2 200 teams i split it and make 2 parlays 1/2 unit each. regards bob
     
     
    heart222
    heart222
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2009 - 4:38 PM ET #6

    noticed comment about MLB it seems to work later rather than earlier. I am thinking of for MLB to bet the first 5 innings on teh idea that the stud pitchers should do well early and i dont have to worry about the bullpen I think Halliday for toronto had several losses due to the bullpen type thing. regards heart222
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    noticed comment about MLB it seems to work later rather than earlier. I am thinking of for MLB to bet the first 5 innings on teh idea that the stud pitchers should do well early and i dont have to worry about the bullpen I think Halliday for toronto had several losses due to the bullpen type thing. regards heart222
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