Posted:
#1
An interesting trend has developed over the course of the first half of the NBA season. It appears that the East is good for the money. Indeed, when an Eastern Conference team visits a Western Conference team, and is an underdog, the East is 53-26 ATS (67.08%). Not bad. There's perhaps even more good news. In the first 40 matchups the East was 24-16 ATS (60.00%) but in the last 39 matchups they have been 29-10 ATS (74.35%). This is the FIRST reason why I believe that the trend will likely continue. The SECOND reason is that, in my opinion, the bottom half of the Eastern Conference is A LOT better than the bottom half of the Western Conference but the oddsmakers don't seem to agree. Oftentimes, when "bottom East" visits "bottom West" the Eastern team is getting points, and as I see it, I'll take the better team as well as the +3. Furthermore, I've noticed that the oddsmakers seem to treat all "bottom teams" the same when it comes to these teams visiting the "upper echelon" of the Western Conference. It seems they believe that both Sacramento and Charlotte should be 13 point dogs when visiting the Lakers. Well I'm here to tell you folks that we can take advantage of that oversight. I haven't laid a penny on this trend as of yet. I prefer to wait until mid-season in most sports before tailing a solid trend. But now is the time. Tomorrow (Monday) night it begins with 4 games that fit the bill (with their ATS records noted):
(2-3) NEW ORLEANS -8.5 Indiana (5-2)
(3-2) PORTLAND -6.5 Milwaukee (6-3)
(1-1) GOLDEN STATE -5 Washington (2-0)
(3-7) LA LAKERS -4.5 Cleveland (2-1)
Of course, the point spreads are subject to change.
It's interseting to note that Portland is the ONLY Western Conference team with a winning record (there are 3 other teams with .500 records). The Toronto Raptors (1-4) are the only sub .500 team in the Eatern Conference.
0
Hot Forum Topics
