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#1
Yesterday I gave out some games.I am trying to figure out how the spread involving Detroit and New Jersey was listed a s a pick em game but was at -8 Det .Covers when they do not list a spread leaves the point spread area blank. Yesterday they used a 0 for the spread. I thought that was peculiar and did not question it. They had always used the pickem symbol before that. As it turned out it never was a pick em game. I think they meant the game was in question since it was unknown if Iverson was eligible. My value line had Detroit at -10. If the game was a pick em game it was a 10 unit play. The actual spread was -8 Det therefore the difference of 2 units made it a non play. My plays and unit strength are determined by unit difference. Unit strength is not to be confused with how much the spread is off ,but how stable a play is. I will use the following chart in the future.Unit strength is determined by adding the base spread + added value points then subtracting the difference. The difference is the strength of the unit play. I therefore am relieved of the duty of figuring out what the unit play is a tthe time I give out the game. The viewer need only compare with his own line with the value line.
I urge anybody looking at my plays to use it in the following way. All dogs unless they are a public team should be played late. All favorites that have a better record than their opponent should be played immediately provided they have a winning record . This formula works 75% of the time. If there are any line changes you will benefit in the long run. I will be giving out the unit strength but that is dependent on the final line when using this formula on dogs but not favorites with a winning record since I urge those games to be played asap.
Here is how I am setting up my chart.
Todays games
teams&spr base added value value spread diff
Ind -8 NJ -2 1/2Ind +6 Ind -8 1/2 Indy +1/2 Indy
Orl--9 1/2 Was -6Orl +1 Orl +7 1/2Wash +2 1/2Wa
New Orl-11Mia -8 +5Mia +3Miami +8 Mia
Chi Cle-2 -1 Cle +1 Cle -2Cle none
Mil Phoe-5 1/2 -3 Phoe + 3Ph -6Ph +1/2 Ph
Min Port-8 -8 1/2 +2 Port -10 1/2 +2 1/2Po
There is one play .Miami is at +11. The base spread should be 8 and the value added points are 5. Therefore Miami is at +3 using our value line. If Port and Wash move in the right direction they are a play at 3 units. Yesterday Sacr. started as a 4 unit play. The line moved 1 in their favor. By using the formula I gave, you should have waited and Sac became a 5unit play late. On the other hand Utah moved by 1 in the wrong direction. The formula says they should have been played early on.
I think what I willing be giving out will be clear in the future by using this chart. Detroit was not a play yesterday obviously because they were -8 but would have been a play as a pick em game. Utah blew a 29 point lead at half time to the league's weakest team and at home. Wow! I had that counted as a winner.They will be on a 5 game road trip and without a key player that got injured yesterday. Look for them to go bad. I am ahead for the year and should win 200+ units by years end.
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Thanks 
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