good information nba

  One of my respected handicapping acquiantences says in baseball that it is a profitable play, to go against teams traveling a long distance after a weekend series at home and the team is playing Monday . I have noticed that Monday and Tuesdays are as a whole unfavorable to NBA favorites. Since traveling is common on Mondays there 2 things in play. , the anti- climax game factor and the travel factor. Though it is favorable when the team you want to lose is traveling a long distance it also is true that big games are played on the weekends thus making Monday games anti -climax in nature for the better team but not the lesser team. It is aslo true less important games are played on Mon. and Tues. This is when underdogs do their best. This past Monday all dogs covered. A great spot play was Toronto-Boston -8 or -8 1/2. Boston had a big game Sunday against Detroit. They travel back home and the Toronto game was an anti-climax game for Boston but not Toronto.This play is all the better when the good team is traveling a long distance , and still successful when traveling a moderately long distance as Boston was doing. In the other 4 games the home teamwas the better team and all 4 lost to the spread. I noticed when my method of play calls for a favorite at home to be played at home on Mon and or Tues it has a lesser profit margin in the long run.

  I have been giving out my plays for the year in the NBA. I am modestly ahead for the year but I do not make any plays until the season is roughly 10% old. The start of a season can be amazingly profitable but can also be very unstable. In the first week I used value lines as a guideline since there is not enough data to do anything else. Line makers especially at the beginning of the season make the spreads as many as 3-4 points out of line considering public teams and favorites, and then home teams for the remander. The naive public plays these catorgories . 70% of all money is played on these teams. Smart money is played more and more often as the season unfolds but not as much on public teams as good dogs . My value lines were extremely hot at the start of the season. Having said that they were much hotter than normal. However what is not doing well is my hot team and cold team play. It is only 11-12- 2 . It is pacing at 72 win units -93 1/2 losing units or 21 1/2 units behind. Combine this with my oher plays i am +9 units ahead for the year. The start of a season is unstable and I do not bother with plays until about now. This weekend will be my start since about 10% of the season has unfolded. My hot and cold team play hits 60%+ of the time. I use a value strength from 2 to 10 units. There are about 250 plays per year at  an average of about 7 units. What I do is mechanical so results for the past 15 years are valid since nothing subjective has been formulated in them. I will be giving out these plays for a while. Look at them keenly starting this Wednesday. The hot and cold team factor should kick in shortly. Sometimes it gos through long winning streaks. Teams go in predictable cycles when considering the hot and cold team factor.. 80% of all NBA teams will cooperate. When those teams that go against the grain show up I simply pass. Tonight their are 2 teams LaL and Dal that are playing each other. LAL is hot and Dal is cold. That might be a good game. Also Sac( G S is cold) and Minn is hot. Still in all I am waiting this weekend to start the NBA season.