Was researching my system of betting the dogs in division rivalries and found this.
Bet any team that lost laying -200 or more in their previous game.
In 2008 this returned a 31-15 record for a profit of $336 at an average price of about -160. If you stop betting this August 1st this would give you a 13-4 record for a profit of $379.
More importantly for me it shows how to improve my numbers betting dogs in division rivalries.
I'm gonna run the numbers for all 1999-2007 sometime this week and see if this is an aberration or holds true through other seasons.
Almost forgot, those 4 losses mentioned above, they all won in their next outing.
This system requires laying big wood but might help the end numbers with a small profit.
Thoughts......
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Was researching my system of betting the dogs in division rivalries and found this.
Bet any team that lost laying -200 or more in their previous game.
In 2008 this returned a 31-15 record for a profit of $336 at an average price of about -160. If you stop betting this August 1st this would give you a 13-4 record for a profit of $379.
More importantly for me it shows how to improve my numbers betting dogs in division rivalries.
I'm gonna run the numbers for all 1999-2007 sometime this week and see if this is an aberration or holds true through other seasons.
Almost forgot, those 4 losses mentioned above, they all won in their next outing.
This system requires laying big wood but might help the end numbers with a small profit.
The fact that it takes me off some other plays though is where I find the most value.
On the other hand, $1700 wagered with a return of $379. 22% return on investment. Not bad. I'll try and run more past season and see what happens.
that seems like too much risk for such a minor profit IMO
if you roll with this I would bump the units up to say $500 a play then your profits increases bigtime....but again you gotta have the bankroll and be able to sustain the ups and downs ending in the final results...
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Quote Originally Posted by kevnbs:
For most yes.
The fact that it takes me off some other plays though is where I find the most value.
On the other hand, $1700 wagered with a return of $379. 22% return on investment. Not bad. I'll try and run more past season and see what happens.
that seems like too much risk for such a minor profit IMO
if you roll with this I would bump the units up to say $500 a play then your profits increases bigtime....but again you gotta have the bankroll and be able to sustain the ups and downs ending in the final results...
I never take opinion, criticism or suggestions as a knock.
Jhudd
I don't have the 1' lines in my database. However the record for 2008 went from 13-4 to 9-8. The runline is usually a 60 cent + improvement so there would be a slight profit.
I don't have the rest of the years handy and I'm gonna watch the end of the A's game instead of looking
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Power
I never take opinion, criticism or suggestions as a knock.
Jhudd
I don't have the 1' lines in my database. However the record for 2008 went from 13-4 to 9-8. The runline is usually a 60 cent + improvement so there would be a slight profit.
I don't have the rest of the years handy and I'm gonna watch the end of the A's game instead of looking
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