Another system I found by accident

Was researching my system of betting the dogs in division rivalries and found this.

Bet any team that lost laying -200 or more in their previous game.

In 2008 this returned a 31-15 record for a profit of $336 at an average price of about -160. If you stop betting this August 1st this would give you a 13-4 record for a profit of $379.

More importantly for me it shows how to improve my numbers betting dogs in division rivalries.

I'm gonna run the numbers for all 1999-2007 sometime this week and see if this is an aberration or holds true through other seasons.

Almost forgot, those 4 losses mentioned above, they all won in their next outing.

This system requires laying big wood but might help the end numbers with a small profit.


Thoughts......

For most yes.

The fact that it takes me off some other plays though is where I find the most value.

On the other hand, $1700 wagered with a return of $379. 22% return on investment. Not bad. I'll try and run more past season and see what happens.

Seasonal REturns on this idea

2007  13-19   -$1116
2006   22-6      $677
2005   23-11    $250
2004   19-13   -$137
2003   49-25   $536
2002   29-11   $404

Looks like this is more of a help in picking teams not to play against. That's probably how I'll use it.
 

that seems like too much risk for such a minor profit IMO

if you roll with this I would bump the units up to say $500 a play then your profits increases bigtime....but again you gotta have the bankroll and be able to sustain the ups and downs ending in the final results...

Power

I never take opinion, criticism or suggestions as a knock.

Jhudd

I don't have the 1' lines in my database. However the record for 2008 went from 13-4 to 9-8. The runline is usually a 60 cent + improvement so there would be a slight profit.

I don't have the rest of the years handy and I'm gonna watch the end of the A's game instead of looking