TD21

What I took yesterday and have so far:

Week 4:

Illinois +4.5 -110 (1u) & Lookahead from last week Illinois +4.5 -104 (1u) (2u overall)

Wyoming / Colorado Under 46.5 -110 (1.5u)

USC -13.5 -110 (1u)

Iowa / Rutgers Under 46.5 -110 (0.5u)

Tennessee -37.5 -112 (0.5u)

And not recommended now, but Lookahead from two weeks ago that I have to deal with:

Florida +4.5 -105 (1.3u) ouch

@bookieassassin

Dilfer with 31 points at the half puts up a goose egg in the 2nd half.  smh as I think about that some more.  Just faded him this week.  Heupel off a loss should take it to UAB.

Nothing like waking up at dawn for a fall baseball game after a very, very humbling Saturday of college football wagering.  I'll have to double check it later today, but first pass of my spreadsheet is -19.4 units for the week, which puts me at -7.8u for the college football season.  Unfamiliar territory; when you're playing from ahead, its a different mindset.  I will obviously need to be more selective moving forward.  Sorry to any of you that played some of these.  It's not a good feeling to get your @ss kicked so badly like that.  A couple swing games didn't go my way, but also a lot of bad calls.

Week 4: only opener last night was USC -13.5 -110 (1u)

Sorry all, New Haven playing really well so far tonight.  Surprised by that, I guess the high variance comment is coming true.

Week 3 Locked In:

New Mexico +14.5 -110 (3u) & New Mexico +15.5 -110 (1u) -- (4u overall)  WIN

Buffalo -22.5 -110 (2.5u) & -21.5 -110 (0.5u) -- (3u overall)

Temple +26.5 -110 (1u) & +27.5 -115 (1.5u)  -- (2.5u overall)

Central Michigan at Michigan Under 42.5 -110 (2.5u)

Penn State -47.5 -110 (2.5u)

Richmond / North Carolina Under 46.5 -105 (1.7u) & U 47.5 -110 (0.8u)  (2.5u overall)

UAB -8.5 -110 vs. Akron  (0.5u) & UAB -9.5 -146 (2.19u to win 1.5u) & UAB -10 -130 (to win 0.4u). (to win 2.4u overall)

South Florida +17.5 -110 (2u)

Wyoming +24 -110 (2u)

Houston -3 -115 (1.5u)  WIN

Ole Miss -9.5 -110 vs. Arkansas (1.5u)

Indiana -41.5 -110 (1u)  WIN

Missouri -23.5 -110 (1u)

Georgia State -28 -130 (1u) 

Texas State +14.5 -115 (0.75u)

Northwestern/Oregon Under 52.5 -110 (0.75u)

New Hampshire / Ball State Under 24.5 -120 1st Half (0.7u)

Georgia -6.5 -110 (0.4u)

Baylor -47.5 -110 (0.3u)

Baylor / Samford Over 58.5 -110 (0.3u)

FCS Week 3:

Albany -17 -120 (5.25u)

Tennessee Tech -38.5 -110 (2u) & -37.5 -110 (0.7u) (2.7u overall)

Southern Illinois -4.5 -110 (1u) &  -3.5 (0.75u) &  -2.5 -114 (0.5u)  (2.25u overall)

Wofford / Mercer Under 45.5 -110 (2u)

San Diego +24.5 -110 (1u) & +31.5 -110 (1u) (2u overall)

Western Illinois -6.5 -110 (1.5u)

North Dakota +4.5 -110 (1.5u)

Holy Cross +7.5 -110 (1.3u)

Northern Iowa -6.5 -110 (1u)

Elon -6.5 -110 (1u)

NDSU -32.5 -110 (0.75u)

Tarleton State -9.5 -110 (0.75u)

Added:  Drake / South Dakota State Under 48.5 -110 (0.75u)

@MudPhud3

 No problem, enjoy the games today!  

@MudPhud3

I watched New Haven play in Week 1 vs. Marist because I had a live bet.  The team's move up to FCS from D2 was not something that the head coach and the school's administration agreed on, so he resigned and then they also had a mass exodus of players from last years team leave the program.  The new QB and one WR are good and they can throw the ball some, but both lines, entire defense really, and special teams were downright terrible.  The Albany result vs. Delaware State helps some with the line IMO.  Albany with some guys back in the Secondary, so the only way that New Haven can move the ball is a decent matchup for Albany.  I make the line -38, which is probably too aggressive on my #s like usual, but even if it "should" be -28, its well more than the -14.5 to -17.5 that are out there.  New Haven could turn out to be a high variance team, but so far I think you fade them every chance you get with how their offseason transition to FCS has been.

Been waiting for this one.  Didn't have access to -14.5 or -16.5 available elsewhere.

Week 3 Locked In:

New Mexico +14.5 -110 (3u) & New Mexico +15.5 -110 (1u) -- (4u overall)  WIN

Buffalo -22.5 -110 (2.5u) & -21.5 -110 (0.5u) -- (3u overall)

Temple +26.5 -110 (1u) & +27.5 -115 (1.5u)  -- (2.5u overall)

Central Michigan at Michigan Under 42.5 -110 (2.5u)

Penn State -47.5 -110 (2.5u)

Richmond / North Carolina Under 46.5 -105 (1.7u) & U 47.5 -110 (0.8u)  (2.5u overall)

UAB -8.5 -110 vs. Akron  (0.5u) & UAB -9.5 -146 (2.19u to win 1.5u) & UAB -10 -130 (to win 0.4u). (to win 2.4u overall)

South Florida +17.5 -110 (2u)

Wyoming +24 -110 (2u)

Houston -3 -115 (1.5u)  WIN

Ole Miss -9.5 -110 vs. Arkansas (1.5u)

Indiana -41.5 -110 (1u)  WIN

Missouri -23.5 -110 (1u)

Georgia State -28 -130 (1u) 

Texas State +14.5 -115 (0.75u)

Northwestern/Oregon Under 52.5 -110 (0.75u)

New Hampshire / Ball State Under 24.5 -120 1st Half (0.7u)

Georgia -6.5 -110 (0.4u)

Baylor -47.5 -110 (0.3u)

Baylor / Samford Over 58.5 -110 (0.3u)

FCS Week 3:

Added:  Albany -17 -120 Max Bet (5.25u)

Tennessee Tech -38.5 -110 (2u) & -37.5 -110 (0.7u) (2.7u overall)

Southern Illinois -4.5 -110 (1u) &  -3.5 (0.75u) &  -2.5 -114 (0.5u)  (2.25u overall)

Wofford / Mercer Under 45.5 -110 (2u)

San Diego +24.5 -110 (1u) & +31.5 -110 (1u) (2u overall)

Western Illinois -6.5 -110 (1.5u)

North Dakota +4.5 -110 (1.5u)

Holy Cross +7.5 -110 (1.3u)

Northern Iowa -6.5 -110 (1u)

Elon -6.5 -110 (1u)

NDSU -32.5 -110 (0.75u)

Tarleton State -9.5 -110 (0.75u)

Played Michigan/CMU Under 52.5 -118 (0.5u) (live)

@Laroja

 It's ugly.  Block the punt for great field position and then give it right back.  Unreal.  Obviously took them lightly.

@OneADayJ

 Yep, took it for another 0.5u.  

@bookieassassin

 Yep, seeing -9.5 live now.     ..... good to hear from you today!  Good luck on your plays and hope to see you snooping around.  

Buffalo -13.5 -114 (LIVE) (0.5u)

bgk, good luck to you today!    

Joe is the man, let's get it!    Good luck to you today!  

Week 3 Locked In:

New Mexico +14.5 -110 (3u) & New Mexico +15.5 -110 (1u) -- (4u overall)  WIN

Buffalo -22.5 -110 (2.5u) & -21.5 -110 (0.5u) -- (3u overall)

Temple +26.5 -110 (1u) & +27.5 -115 (1.5u)  -- (2.5u overall)

Central Michigan at Michigan Under 42.5 -110 (2.5u)

Penn State -47.5 -110 (2.5u)

Richmond / North Carolina Under 46.5 -105 (1.7u) & U 47.5 -110 (0.8u)  (2.5u overall)

UAB -8.5 -110 vs. Akron  (0.5u) & UAB -9.5 -146 (2.19u to win 1.5u) & UAB -10 -130 (to win 0.4u). (to win 2.4u overall)

South Florida +17.5 -110 (2u)

Wyoming +24 -110 (2u)

Houston -3 -115 (1.5u)  WIN

Ole Miss -9.5 -110 vs. Arkansas (1.5u)

Indiana -41.5 -110 (1u)  WIN

Missouri -23.5 -110 (1u)

Georgia State -28 -130 (1u) 

Texas State +14.5 -115 (0.75u)

Northwestern/Oregon Under 52.5 -110 (0.75u)

Added:  New Hampshire / Ball State Under 24.5 -120 1st Half (0.7u)

Georgia -6.5 -110 (0.4u)

Baylor -47.5 -110 (0.3u)

Baylor / Samford Over 58.5 -110 (0.3u)

FCS Week 3:

Tennessee Tech -38.5 -110 (2u) & -37.5 -110 (0.7u) (2.7u overall)

Southern Illinois -4.5 -110 (1u) &  -3.5 (0.75u) &  -2.5 -114 (0.5u)  (2.25u overall)

Wofford / Mercer Under 45.5 -110 (2u)

San Diego +24.5 -110 (1u) & +31.5 -110 (1u) (2u overall)

Western Illinois -6.5 -110 (1.5u)

North Dakota +4.5 -110 (1.5u)

Holy Cross +7.5 -110 (1.3u)

Northern Iowa -6.5 -110 (1u)

Elon -6.5 -110 (1u)

NDSU -32.5 -110 (0.75u)

Tarleton State -9.5 -110 (0.75u)

Week 3 Locked In:

New Mexico +14.5 -110 (3u) & New Mexico +15.5 -110 (1u) -- (4u overall)  WIN

Buffalo -22.5 -110 (2.5u) & -21.5 -110 (0.5u) -- (3u overall)

Temple +26.5 -110 (1u) & +27.5 -115 (1.5u)  -- (2.5u overall)

Central Michigan at Michigan Under 42.5 -110 (2.5u)

Penn State -47.5 -110 (2.5u)

Richmond / North Carolina Under 46.5 -105 (1.7u) & U 47.5 -110 (0.8u)  

UAB -8.5 -110 vs. Akron  (0.5u) & UAB -9.5 -146 (2.19u to win 1.5u) & UAB -10 -130 (to win 0.4u). (to win 2.4u overall)

South Florida +17.5 -110 (2u)

Wyoming +24 -110 (2u)

Houston -3 -115 (1.5u)  WIN

Ole Miss -9.5 -110 vs. Arkansas (1.5u)

Indiana -41.5 -110 (1u)  WIN

Missouri -23.5 -110 (1u)

Added:  Georgia State -28 -130 (1u) .... had to go offshore to buy a point here.

Texas State +14.5 -115 (0.75u)

Northwestern/Oregon Under 52.5 -110 (0.75u)

Georgia -6.5 -110 (0.4u)

Baylor -47.5 -110 (0.3u)

Baylor / Samford Over 58.5 -110 (0.3u)

And to whoever keeps playing Tennessee Martin, what am I missing?  First home game yes, but they are way down this year IMO.

FCS Week 3:

Tennessee Tech -38.5 -110 (2u) & -37.5 -110 (0.7u) (2.7u overall)

Southern Illinois -4.5 -110 (1u) &  -3.5 (0.75u) & Added -2.5 -114 (0.5u)  (2.25u overall)

Wofford / Mercer Under 45.5 -110 (2u)

San Diego +24.5 -110 (1u) & +31.5 -110 (1u) (2u overall with line move; maybe go less if you’re just getting in on this)

Western Illinois -6.5 -110 (1.5u)

North Dakota +4.5 -110 (1.5u)

Holy Cross +7.5 -110 (1.3u)

Northern Iowa -6.5 -110 (1u)

Elon -6.5 -110 (1u)

NDSU -32.5 -110 (0.75u)

Tarleton State -9.5 -110 (0.75u)

@Bamaboy1119

 If I'm taking 26.5, then I'd say 24.5 is good if you can get the hook for the win.  Push at 24 probably ok too.  Bet what you can afford to lose as my old man would say.  

FCS Week 3:

Tennessee Tech -38.5 -110 (2u) & -37.5 -110 (0.7u) (2.7u overall)

Wofford / Mercer Under 45.5 -110 (2u)

San Diego +24.5 -110 (1u) & +31.5 -110 (1u) (2u overall with line move; maybe go less if you’re just getting in on this)

Southern Illinois -4.5 -110 (1u) & Added -3.5 (0.75u)  (1.75u overall)

Western Illinois -6.5 -110 (1.5u)

North Dakota +4.5 -110 (1.5u)

Holy Cross +7.5 -110 (1.3u)

Northern Iowa -6.5 -110 (1u)

Elon -6.5 -110 (1u)

NDSU -32.5 -110 (0.75u)

Tarleton State -9.5 -110 (0.75u)

Added two action plays…. I need the practice

And some corrections for cash out and replayed cases.  And 3rd UAB play never got listed here until now.

Week 3 Locked In:

New Mexico +14.5 -110 (3u) & New Mexico +15.5 -110 (1u) -- (4u overall)  WIN

Buffalo -22.5 -110 (2.5u) & -21.5 -110 (0.5u) -- (3u overall)

Temple +26.5 -110 (1u) & +27.5 -115 (1.5u)  -- (2.5u overall)

Central Michigan at Michigan Under 42.5 -110 (2.5u)

Penn State -47.5 -110 (2.5u)  corrected for cash out and replayed

Richmond / North Carolina Under 46.5 -105 (1.7u) & U 47.5 -110 (0.8u)  …..cashed out the original play at full value to improve this total by a point, then back in on U46.5 to keep units at 2.5u

UAB -8.5 -110 vs. Akron  (0.5u) & UAB -9.5 -146 (2.19u to win 1.5u) & UAB -10 -130 (to win 0.4u). (to win 2.4u overall)

South Florida +17.5 -110 (2u)

Wyoming +24 -110 (2u)

Houston -3 -115 (1.5u)  WIN

Ole Miss -9.5 -110 vs. Arkansas (1.5u)

Indiana -41.5 -110 (1u)  WIN

Missouri -23.5 -110 (1u)

Texas State +14.5 -115 (0.75u)

Northwestern/Oregon Under 52.5 -110 (0.75u)

Georgia -6.5 -110 (0.4u)

Added:  Baylor -47.5 -110 (0.3u)

Added:  Baylor / Samford Over 58.5 -110 (0.3u)