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The Rockets have an implied moneyline win probability of 65.2% in this matchup. Houston has a record of 28-9 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -187 or shorter (winning 75.7%). Golden State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston. Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games. Dunkel's Pick: Golden State (+4.5) |
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Sea -205 ml....to the bank |
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The Padres have an implied victory probability of 48.5 percent according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. This season, San Diego has been victorious four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline. San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against San Diego. San Diego is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the National League. Dunkel's Pick: San Diego (+108) |
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The Cavaliers have an implied victory probability of 78.9?cording to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. This season, the Cavaliers have come away with a win 33 times in 37 chances when named as a favorite of at least -375 or better on the moneyline. The Heat have been underdogs by 8.5 points or more seven times this season and are 4-2-1 ATS in those matchups. Miami is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games. Dunkel's Pick: Miami (+8.5) |
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Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 44.1% chance of pulling out a win. The Nationals have been underdogs in 21 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (47.6%) in those contests. New York is 7-7 SU on the road this season. Washington is 8-6 SU at home. Dunkel's Pick: Washington (+125) |
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Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Celtics have an implied win probability of 74.1%. When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -286 or shorter, Boston has a record of 45-11 (80.4% win percentage). The Magic have entered the game as underdogs 36 times this season and won 10, or 27.8%, of those games. Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games played on a Sunday. Dunkel's Pick: Boston (-7) |
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The Nuggets have a 33.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Denver has a record of 4-2 when it is set as the underdog by +203 or more by sportsbooks this season. Denver is 13-7 SU in its last 20 games played on a Saturday. Dunkel's Pick: Denver (+6) |
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The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 63.9% .Boston has entered six games this season favored by -177 or more and is 4-2 in those contests. Seattle has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +148. Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against Boston. Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: Boston (-172) |
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The Pistons have a 49.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Detroit has a record of 16-22, a 42.1% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +101 or more by sportsbooks this season. Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Division. New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Detroit. Dunkel's Pick: Detroit (+1) |
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Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Clippers' implied win probability is 54.3%. Los Angeles has a record of 37-11 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -119 or shorter (winning 77.1%). Denver has a record of 9-9, a 50% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by -100 or more by bookmakers this season. LA is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road. Denver is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: LA Clippers (-1.5) |
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The Astros have a 58.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Houston has a record of 3-3 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -139 on the moneyline. The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 15 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (46.7%) in those games. Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston. Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: Houston (-140) |
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Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Clippers' implied win probability is 54.3%. Los Angeles has a record of 37-11 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -119 or shorter (winning 77.1%). Denver has a record of 9-9, a 50% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by -100 or more by bookmakers this season. LA is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road. Denver is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: LA Clippers (-1.5) |
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I like the Warriors in this matchup. Golden State’s top two players are Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler III. Both players have a wealth of playoff experience to draw from, and both players excel at creating their own shot when everything breaks down. Curry and Butler combined to score 75 points in the Warriors’ 121-116 Play-In Tournament win over the Grizzlies last Tuesday. I could see Golden State’s dynamic duo putting on another show in Houston on Sunday night. This has all the makings of a potentially long series, and I think both teams will win on the other’s home court at some point. I truly believe the Warriors are good enough to open this series with a road win against the Rockets on Sunday night. The pick is Golden State +1 point over Houston at Bovada.lv. |
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The Celtics have a 90.9% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. Boston has a record of 13-3 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -1000 or shorter (winning 81.2%). This season, the Magic have been the underdog 36 times and won 10, or 27.8%, of those games. Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Division. Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games played on a Sunday. Dunkel's Pick: Boston (-13.5) |
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The Knicks have a 74.0% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. New York has a record of 24-10 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -285 or shorter (winning 70.6%). This season, Detroit has won four of its 14 games, or 28.6%, when it is the underdog by at least +231 on the moneyline. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. The Knicks are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference. Dunkel's Pick: New York (-7) |
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The Giants have a 56.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. This season San Francisco has won three of its five games when favored by at least -132 on the moneyline. San Francisco is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games against an opponent in the American League. The Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing as the underdog. Dunkel's Pick: San Francisco (-132) |
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BOSTON ML -203....TO THE BANK |
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The implied probability of a win from the Grizzlies, based on the moneyline, is 72.1%. The Grizzlies have a win-loss record of 18-2 when favored by -265 or better by bookmakers this year. When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +220 or longer, the Mavericks have a record of 5-13 (27.8%). The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 17-8 in their 25 games as a favorite of 6 points or more so far this season. The Mavericks have been underdogs by 6 points or more 23 times this year and are 10-13 ATS in those contests. Dunkel's Pick: Memphis (-6). |
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The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 50.7% chance of a victory for the Heat. The Heat have entered the game as underdogs 36 times this season and won 10, or 27.8%, of those games. Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road. The Heat are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games overall. Chicago is 18-23 SU at home this season. Dunkel's Pick: Miami (+1) |
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Based on this game’s moneyline, the Thunder’s implied win probability is 78.3%. Oklahoma City has gone 35-7 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -360 or shorter (winning 83.3%). The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home. Oklahoma City is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games overall. Dunkel's Pick: Oklahoma City (-13.5). |
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