NutinButtLove

Of course this week they drop a TD 1st drive and then 14 plays for 3 points smh

Only consolation is you are way better off, if you can build a big lead, doing it 2nd half because otherwise they take the foot off the gas too early like Texas did

I like them too esp after the upset USF pulled

Definitely Chargering. Hampton what a moron. And Herbert missed a throw too, plus they got a gazillion penalties moving them back.

Even a 10 point lead is usually not good enough vs the Chiefs, they erase those in playoff games, super bowls, any game. And they let them cut it to 7.

They're gonna need to either score a TD on this 1st drive of 2H or force a turnover or the Chiefs will come back and win, no doubt in my mind

I'm not playing this game but if I was I would probably take the Over. Despite both teams having good defenses and the Chargers actually being the top defense last year and it being a division game, I just think it will go back and forth and be a lot of passing. I think the Packers Eagles game in Brazil was high scoring, have to look that up.

For the side it really would have to be a gun to the head job and if it was I would take KC. I never go against a team that owns another team until the team that can't beat them breaks that streak. And KC hasn't lost to LA in a long time.

On the flip side, Harbaugh is 5-0 in season openers and Super Bowl loser teams are usually bad ATS next year. Still, if I was the oddsmakers I would only have LAC as +3 if they were at home, not on a neutral field. So that gives me pause.

Especially since i think not getting the threepeat is even more deflating than a normal SB loss, and the way they got dominated in the Super Bowl it was like some end of an era type sh-

So it's a coin flip, i keep going back and forth as to who i like. KC didn't actually have great stats in a lot of things last year. Is Kelce focused on football? Who knows. Also i really like the rookie RB for LAC.

But, every year everyone says the Chargers are gonna be good this year and they never are. They bring back Keenan Allen, why? Has there ever been an injury report that he wasn't on?

I think I read most of these games have been decided in the last 2 minutes recently. International game, i see that happening again.

Besides the over the only other things i might do for fun are a few small as hell money prop bets on OT = yes, Hampton anytime TD scorer, and Mahomes to throw a pick because he has had that problem lately and the Chargers have a good defense 

@bigred84

 The bet wasn't for the spread if you read it properly 

2-0 start let's goooooooo

So your biggest wager was going against one of the best QBs ever on a night he would be fired up vs the most penalized team of the last 40 years.

2nd is against the most dominant super bowl winners in recent memory who beat a team going for a 3 peat without the game even being close, with the best RB and o line in the NFL vs a team that can't stop the run, is rebuilding and has a QB coming off an injury and just lost their best player on the whole team to a trade. And who nobody has seen play yet this season.

You sure pick weird spots to go heavy.

My other play is a player prop which, unlike most modern (ahem, noob) bettors I tend to stay away from completely.

But I will take a pop here on Jalen Hurts longest completion over 35.5 yards -115

The Cowboys say they need to stop the run and they do. But, they traded their best pass rusher. Without having to account for Parsons, and with the Boys so focused on stopping the run (kinda have to be when Saquon is in the house anyway) that should open up plenty of opportunities for big plays in the pass game. And the Eagles have guys who are fast enough to make house calls and physical to make large yards after contact.

Id rather bet on one big play happening though, then take the over passing total because they didn't pass for a ton last year as i said in the above post.

I realize thinking there is a lot of scope for big pass plays would think that above play being tied to the Under makes no sense. Maybe it doesn't but I think i could still hit both bets and not likely to lose both and if i split i don't mind because like i said I'm really watching this one just for fun, plenty of football to go and I'm 3-0 in college so far, makes me a bit cautious when NFL starts lol.

GO BIRDS!!!!

I'm just playing two small plays as I really just wanna enjoy watching my hometown champs beat the Boys in the best rivalry in the NFL.

Will they cover? I dunno. Super Bowl champs week 1 you are not getting value as the line is inflated. But do you want to bet the Boys in a rivalry they suck at lately with a QB coming back rusty, who can't stop the run vs the best running team and RB, with an excellent defense?

I wouldn't. But still, rather than lay 8.5 i found this bet:

Eagles ML and Under 47.5 +125

Just a 1 unit play 

The Eagles are gonna run, it's the Cowboys weakness  and their strength. It's an early season game after the SB win, practically preseason because starters don't even play preseason now. So it's possible this victory could be workmanlike, the usual kinks being worked out, penalties etc. They have explosive pass catchers but still ranked last in passing. They can chew clock running and keep their better plays for bigger games. I think it will be quite vanilla and Dallas will look like they still have a lot of work to do to stop the run and that will keep their offense from doing much 

KCs couldn't do much on that d and I don't care they lost a couple guys, there is little chance in my mind that the team that overwhelmed the Chiefs basically from start to finish (the only way that exists to beat them in a playoff game) loses SU to this team in transition that absolutely sucked last year.

This is what i was afraid of the belichick glazing party esp with jordan, roy williams and LT there it's like of course they have to be all creaming over UNC 

TCU -3.5 2 units 

I'm sure the media would love to see Belichik win his debut but this team is rebuilding big time. One of the highest number of transfers. New offensive coordinator and defensive coordinator too.

I just don't think it's easy for any coach even the great hoodie master to organize a bunch of college kids who haven't played together before.

Last season TCU was 15th in 1st quarter points scored and increased it from 7.8 to 11.5 the final 3 games. UNC was ranked 63rd and over the last 3 games went down from 5.5 to 2.3 1st q points.

Are those numbers going to improve for UNC now right away, with all new guys? Maybe. Gio is a good addition but i think it's more likley the frogs get the better start. They have a 2nd year defense coordinator and so they have their scheme set up now it should take a step forward. They have the same QB who was productive, tho they lost their best WR to the NFL.

Over the last 3 games the frogs allowed 0 third quarter points last season. The heels ranked 109th out of 134 teams in 4th quarter points allowed. So they don't finish games strong on defense, they don't really start them strong on offense. TCU is stiff in 3rd quarters.

I just don't see how you turn all that on its head with all new college kids. Even being at home it's just a total revamp situation and it's always best to fade these teams that haven't had any chance to play together and really gel yet which is a huge problem for college ball.

I'm in favor of this rule too much of that BS going on

3-0 start to the season that's the stuff 

Jayhawks -13.5

I hate laying 14 but i got 13.5 and I think Kansas St losing now we get Kansas winning they don't have to fly to Ireland and take on the conference runner up they are at home vs a team with a new coach and week 0 is hard for college kids to get organized even with the same coach due to transfers i don't see this being a hard game for the Jayhawks at home this feels like a rebuilding game for Fresno and while not a total cupcake i don't see an upset or a close game like we got last game. These teams are not on the same level really if we avoid 5he backdoor we should collect.

I don't wanna lay 30.5 pts in week 0 the way college is now with all the transfers guys aren't gelling yet but i haven't actually looked to see if there's many new pieces or coaches if so lean to the dog if not lean the fav

For a side, i see value in Iowa St. Why are they getting 3.5 on a neutral field, when they went to the Big 12 title game last year and K St lost a bunch of games at the end of the season?

Losing their top 2 WRs will hurt definitely, and last year's game the Cats ougained them and clones only won due to 2 fumbles a missed FG and safety. But theyve also kinda owned K St lately, and with Iowa St having the best pass defense last year and Johnson having a new coordinator i just don't think this game should be any more than a pk either way. OT would not surprise me tho i hope not since i have under

Starting to drizzle where i am, but it's not meant to rain heavily. Still, i like the under here. One team lost it's 2 best WRs, the other had a new o coordinator. Transfers of course, K state is missing the guy meant to be their best OL from Ohio St.

Iowa St had the best pass defense last year in the big 12 and has some key guys back. They were not good against the run. So with that in mind plus new playbook, i expect the wildcats to run the ball a lot and that chews the clock.

Last year both teams missed FGs in thus matchup too, and neither one lit it up through the air.

Early on you always get lots of false starts and holds too

Under 51.5 3 units 

Yeah i definitely think so. Especially with one QB missing his top 2 WRs from last year and the other has a new coordinator.

So early, all the transfers, college kids, probably a ton of procedures penalties.

@CJL1989

 How do you know the field conditions? I've been to every Ireland game the field is usually fine it hasn't been raining much here lately either it's been one of the best summers in recent memory. The Gaelic football final was played last month and the field was perfect.

I don't want any more Notre Dame crushing Navy every time id rather see a close game which i think this will be. Similar to when Penn St beat UCF here on a FG. OT wouldn't surprise me either.

That was actually fkin disgusting, 3 outs to go, 6-2 lead top of the 9th and this slob comes in and does just enough damage to ruin my run line bet yet still hang on for the win. I hate when they bring in some fat face brotha with diamond earrings and chains everywhere when they're on the mound, those guys are always absolutely useless.

If you watched the last game and think it was OKC running out of gas i dunno what to say