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Quote Originally Posted by MagnumThin: Some more rules that you should abide by; Never play totals for the full game. Totals are manipulated by the refs. Always watch out for key numbers such as 3, or 6. Always by the hook on 6.5, that number is key in basketball. Always bet same amount. Never lay points on the road. Don't think of how much you will win, I rather bet 1100 on okc money line and win, then lose 1100 win they win by a bucket. I don't worry about how much I made until June 29. When nba season is over. Everything up to that, is in play. Has he explained what to watch for about 3 and 6? |
MagnumThin | 132 |
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Thanks so much!
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si1ly | 29 |
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Today's Predictions: NO 95 - LAL 98 CLE 93 - NY 102 ATL 97 - PHI 91 CHA 89 - DET 83 MEM 95 - MIL 103 IND 98 - SA 105 NJ 90 - SAC 106 UTA 99 - LAC 96 I'll be playing NO +12.5, CHA +7, IND +8, SAC -6.5, UTA +5, NO/LA OVER 186, ATL/PHI OVER 177.5, NJ/SAC UNDER 209.5 BEST OF LUCK GUYS! |
nguyen7421 | 2 |
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8-11-1
Fuck... Today has setup written all over it... I was bad yesterday... Down big for the week... my pics went 8-11-1... Good call by Tone on Bos... but yesterday was all fucking... the spreads looked too easy to predict, so they all went sour... Anyways... it's TNT Thursday... y'all know what that means right? Notorious for Underdog today... But looking at the spread it seems too easy to predict... After IND just smashed MIA who wouldn't take them to win WAS... and WAS has been doing pretty shitty as well... My numbers gave me WAS 92 to IND 100... 10.5 on WAS looks like a solid bet... but with my luck lately... I'm probably going to ride with my prediction and bet on WAS but I will probably leave the O/U alone because even though I predicted under my initial instinct was to bet over on this one. MIA has been doing pretty bad, but they are back in South Beach. Lebron has been doing poorly in the last couple games and with talk of his dislocated ring finger on his non-shooting hand, this could be the setup that Mike loves! My numbers predict a SU victory for Dallas which I'm sure is what Tone was talking about. I have it at DAL 97 to MIA 94. I want to fade myself on this one and take the Heat. The stories are building up for good game but my gut is saying MIA is going to smash. I'm still questionable on this game but most likely I will play the Over on this one. NO has had success on the road, but the Rose Garden is one of the harder arena's to play in. Does it make sense that Portland is giving up -8.5 points? It doesn't to me. My numbers have this game at NO 95 to POR 93, which makes this the easiest bet to place. I don't see how POR can cover 9 points on anyone. Most recently at home they've played GS and MEM beating them by 3 and 4 points respectively but have lost to OKC and MIL. It's debatable if GS (without Curry) is a better team than NO. But it seems as though they are making the spread much to easy for people to jump on NO. Maybe being in the red is causing me to second guess things. My gut says NO and my numbers say the same, so I will trust myself one "LAST" time and play NO on this game. I like the Under but my numbers say Over... so I won't be touching the O/U on this game. Finally the biggest setup of all, just kidding... My numbers have OKC beating the Lakers 102 - 99... People may even be swayed to take OKC more because of the drama that has emerged from Coach Brown's benching and Bynum's insistence on improving his perimeter game... This is the Underdog game of the night in my opinion and will be take LA +1 and O200 Good Luck! |
nguyen7421 | 5 |
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I have 2 accounts... and I've been playing all my picks on one account and picking the ones with the biggest variance on the other... I've actually been winning on the one where I play everything and let's not discuss the other one lol
for example last night the games with the biggest variance in my system were... CLE, MIN and I played DAL because my system totalled them to be equal so my trend has been to take the Favorite... I lost 2... where the account where I played everything... I only lost the juice... lol |
nguyen7421 | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by plchris: Do you use a system? Yeah my own creation lol |
nguyen7421 | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by hyvong: Do you keep track side and total separately? GL Yup... for March I am 73-58-2 ATS and 61-52-2 O/U |
nguyen7421 | 9 |
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https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101307022
Bad day yesterday... went 7-7... Sucks when you lose juice... anyways... Let's hope today is more fruitful! DEN 101 - TOR 96 (DEN -3.5, U202) ORL 97 - NY 97 (ORL -1.5, O 188.5) MIN 102 - CHA 92 (MIN -5, U 200.5) DET 94 - CLE 95 (CLE +1.5, U191) UTA 102 - BOS 93 (UTA +3.5, O189.5) IND 99 - NJ 92 (IND -6, U195) CHI 94 - ATL 97 (ATL +4, O 181.5) SA 102 - SAC 102 (SA -3.5, U213.5) PHO 100 - LAC 94 (PHO +7, U194) NO 94 - GS 98 (GS -2.5, O 190) HOU/DAL Yesterday came up even... so like I said I began noticing a trend that when my numbers come up even to take the favorite rather than the underdog... will continue to test that theory today for ORL and SA BEST OF LUCK EVERYONE! |
nguyen7421 | 9 |
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https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101306234
Fucked up day yesterday... Rockets led most of the way and ended up losing by 7... Bucks were a bust as well... that 2nd half had Vegas written all over it... Went 8-7-2 so just enough to cover my juice LOL Here's my predictions for today! Good Luck! CLE 95 - PHI 94 (CLE +9, O185.5) ATL 99 - MIL 101 (MIL -2, O197.5) MIN 102 - MEM 101 (MIN +5.5, O201) HOU 98 - DAL 98 (DAL -7.5, O193.5) SA 100 - PHO 102 (PHO +1.5, U203.5) OKC 100 - POR 94 (OKC -5, U198) LAL 102 - GS 98 (GS +6.5, O198) If you are curious about why I am taking DAL -7.5 when I predicted the point totals to be the same... its because I've been noticing that whenever I predict the score to be the same... I've been betting the underdog... but like 80% of the time the Favorite ends up covering... so I am going to follow that trend now. BEST OF LUCK EVERYONE! |
nguyen7421 | 5 |
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Quote Originally Posted by vicky98: ORL 94 - TOR 95 what are number mean ? and where did you get them please ? The numbers are my predictions on the score... I got them through a system of statistics I've been using to calculate the outcome... so far it's been doing ok for me... |
nguyen7421 | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by hyvong: Nguyen, I have the same pick on Tor and Uta but can not bet on them yet due to Tor injuries and Uta 4OT last night. What do you think? Between those 2 I like TOR a lot more... I'm with you on UTA and the 4OT but will be gambling on them regardless... |
nguyen7421 | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by cashinsports: good luck tonight. What are you leaning on tonight Cashin? |
nguyen7421 | 9 |
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https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101303873
Went 14 - 8 last Friday... Didn't post Saturday or Sunday cause I was out of town but here goes my predictions for Today... BOL!!! ORL 94 - TOR 95 (TOR +6, OVER 182.5) DET 92 - WAS 89 (DET -2, UNDER 194) BOS 93 - CHA 90 (CHA +6.5, OVER 183) MIA 93 - IND 105 (Dont' agree with my numbers so I'm only playing Over 192.5) UTA 110 - NJ 98 (UTA +1.5, OVER 197.5) MIL 104 - NY 101 (MIL +5.5, UNDER 208) DEN 99 - CHI 99 (DEN +8, UNDER 199) SAC 104 - HOU 101 (SAC +6.5, UNDER 209.5) NO 93 - LAC 96 (NO +9.5, OVER 181.5) Games that I will be playing 3 units on are TOR, UTA, MIL and SAC |
nguyen7421 | 9 |
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https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101302941
Disappointing night last night... went 6 - 6... so my record for this week is 30 - 16... but I should've known... it was TNT Doggy Thursday! Anyways here are my predictions for today! Enjoy!!! NY 98 - TOR 95 (TOR +5.5, UNDER 194.5) MIL 105 - CHA 93 (MIL -7, UNDER 202.5) CLE 100 - ORL 93 (CLE +7, OVER 190.5) PHO 98 - IND 96 (PHO +3.5, UNDER 195.5) NJ 86 - ATL 95 (ATL -7, UNDER 188) MIA 94 - DET 97 (DET +9, UNDER 192) BOS 93 - PHI 93 (Switching it up PHI -6.5, OVER 177.5) MIN 101 - OKC 103 (MIN +10.5, UNDER 210) DAL 97 - SA 105 (SA -4, OVER 200.5) DEN 99 - UTA 101 (UTA -1.5, UNDER 207.5) POR 92 - LAL 98 (POR +9, UNDER 194.5) BOL Everyone! |
nguyen7421 | 4 |
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Cashin... I saw in the other thread for rlawson you asked about his take on the WAS/IND Under... Did you take it? Hoping you did cause we looking good on that one bro!
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cashinsports | 25 |
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Just for clarification on how I place my bets... I predicted WAS (underdog) to SU beat Indiana... So I placed 3 units on WAS and 2 units on the under
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nguyen7421 | 16 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Gizzmo808: Hey Nguyen. Are you gonna put a bet on all these picks? You got it bro... I've been playing 2 units on every bet... 3 if I predict a Dog to SU win... like last night for example I predicted NY and CLE to win SU... so I bet 3 units on those... NY won SU and CLE won ATS... but everything else I bet 2 units |
nguyen7421 | 16 |
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Quote Originally Posted by cashinsports: in my Vietnamese accent: du ma! bos/mi under. dat's duh good one. I'm new on here... but I know you are one of the vets, I even went to that forum you recommended rlawson to go to... just so there isn't any confusion, are you implying you don't think it's a good bet? |
nguyen7421 | 16 |
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https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101302374
Record this week: 24 -10 Here's what I have for you today! IND 94 - WAS 99 (WAS +6.5 AND UNDER 200) BOS 92 - MIL 105 (MIL -3.5 AND UNDER 199.5) LAC 97 - NO 90 (LAC -4 AND OVER 181) GS 102 - HOU 102 (GS +7.5 AND OVER 196) UTA 100 - SAC 104 (SAC -2 AND UNDER 211.5) MEM 100 - POR 94 (MEM -1 AND UNDER 194.5) Best of Luck to everyone today! |
nguyen7421 | 16 |
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Recap for Predictions Today
CHI 96 - TOR 96 (Tor/Over) 0-2
NY 101 - PHI 96 (Ny/Over) 1-1 PHX 98 - ORL 95 (Phx/Over) 1-1 WAS 95 - NJ 97 (Was/Under) 2-0 CLE 99 - ATL 93 (Cle/over) 2-0 GS 99 - NO 91 (Gs/Over) 2-0 LAC 98 - OKC 102 (Lac/Over) 1-1 MIN 104 - SA 104 (Min/Over) 1-1 DET 96 - DEN 102 (Det/Under) 1-1 LAL 100 - DAL 100 (Lal/Over) 2-0 My system if I placed an even bet on everything I would've hit 13 miss 7... so if I bet $100 I'd be up $1300 mins $770 (at 10% juice) for a grand total of $530 on the day... gamblerdevil911 not bad for a system right bro?
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nguyen7421 | 14 |
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