Kenrock333

Record: 60-48-3

Brewers/Braves OVER 8 -110

Milwaukee's swinging the lumber like they mean it - 5 straight wins, averaging north of 9 runs a night, and cashing overs in 7 of their last 8. Strider's name still carries weight, but the stuff hasn't been crisp lately (5 runs allowed over his last 10 IP) and the Braves' bullpen has been logging too many innings (16 over the last 3 games). Head-to-head history says runs, too - 11 of the last 14 have gone over, including 8 of 9 in this ballpark. This total's a tick too low in my book. I'm playing the Over and expecting both sides to do their part. 

Good Luck!

Record: 60-47-3

Marlins -110

Good Luck!

Record: 59-47-3

Twins/Tigers OVER 8 1/2

Good Luck!

Record: 58-47-3

Marlins -102

The Yankees have scored 4+ in 8 of their last 10, but they're still 3-7 in that stretch and missing Judge. Gil hasn't pitched in the Majors in 10 months, and he's walking into a buzzsaw. Miami's 8-2 in their last 10 and 8-1 ATS. Cabrera's holding opponents to two or fewer runs in four of his last 5 starts. This line should be Marlins -120 minimum - I'll take the value and back the hotter team at home. 

Good Luck!

Record: 58-46-3

Athletics -123

I'm usually spooked by fishy lines, as I make the A's closer to -200, but there is something wrong with Gallen and the Diamondbacks appear to be a team that has given up. The A's are playing good ball. I'm gonna roll with it, despite being spooked a bit by this line that appears to be way too low. 

Good Luck!

Record: 57-46-3

Pirates/Rockies OVER 11 1/2 

Two of the leagues biggest gas-cans meet up at Coors Field in Andrew Heaney and Antonio Senzatela. My projection for tonight's game exceeds 14 runs. 

Good Luck!

Record: 57-45-3

Rays/Yankees UNDER 8 1/2 -105

Both starters have solid back numbers against their opponents' line-up, and it doesn't hurt that the wind is blowin' in. 

Good Luck!

Record: 56-45-3

A's +1 1/2 

The A's are 5-1 over their last six games, scoring no less than 5 runs in all of those wins. Nick Kurtz has been a human wrecking ball with 12 hits in his last 21 at bats. His red hot bat could single-handedly beat the M's who are in the midst of a mini slump at the plate, averaging just 1.6 runs over their last 3 games. A's starter Springs has allowed just 2 earned runs over 11 innings against Seattle this season. I think there's tremendous value with the A's straight up today, but am betting them on the runline at +1 1/2 (-130). 

Good Luck!

Record: 55-45-3

Angels -122

Good Luck!

Record: 54-45-3

Pirates ML +110

Keller's tossed 3 straight 6-inning starts with 2 wins, and PIT's won 5 of 6. SF counters with Whisenhunt making his MLB debut after a 4.42 ERA in AAA. Giants are 2-9 in last 11 (including 0-5 streak at home), and the Bucs' pen is fresher. Value sits with the hotter team and proven arm. 

Good Luck!

Record: 54-44-3

Diamondbacks -1 1/2 (+120)

Kelly's sharp (3.32 ERA, under in last 3), Heaney's cooked (19 ER last 13.2 IP). Arizona's 17-7 ATS in last 24 at PNC, and Pitt's 3-game sweep came vs. collapsing Tigers. D-backs bats and arms both have the edge. 

Good Luck!

Record: 54-43-3

Athletics/Astros OVER 9 Even

Good Luck!

Record: 54-42-3

White Sox/Rays UNDER 9 (-110)

Cannon dealing (2.55 ERA last 3), Bradley sharp (1 ER combined last two starts). CWS cooled off last night after hot run; Under cashed 4 of last 6 meetings. Sharp money says pitchers control this one. 

Good Luck!

Record: 53-42-3

Giants ML +103

Roupp's been reliable (3.36 ERA) and already handled ATL once. Daniel's raw, Braves bats are cold, and SF's taken 3 of 4 in the series this year. Market overcorrected on a mini-slide - buy the dip. 

Good Luck!

Record: 52-42-3

Orioles/Guardians OVER 8 1/2 -105

Cleveland's lineup is cooking (7.4 runs/game last 10), Baltimore's pen is thin, and this series is 6-0-1 to the over since last year. Both starters have been shaky. Don't overthink it-over is the only side. 

Good Luck!

Record: 52-42-2

White Sox/Pirates UNDER 9 -115

Don't chase after those crooked numbers from Friday and Saturday. Civale's owned the Pirates lineup, Heaney's way tougher at home, and both teams average under 4 runs a night. The public is chasing the over after 20 runs-sharp side is under all day. 

Good Luck!

Record: 51-42-2

Reds -1 1/2 (-115)

Sometimes a quick handicap is all you need: Cincinnati's 13-2 last 15 vs. Colorado and 14-3 at home in this matchup, with the Rockies losing by 2+ in 12 of those. Gomber's a fade machine with COL losing his past four outings plus his historical .297 BAA vs. Reds bats, and Martinez eats up these Rockies (.219 BAA, .227 wOBA). Colorado's 3-14 last 17 at Great American, and they're dead last in the league against righties (2.9 runs/game on the road with a .209 BA). 

Good Luck!

Record: 51-41-2

Orioles -1 1/2 +136

Baltimore's rolling (6-1 last 7, +13 run diff) and Rogers is dialed in (0.90 ERA, 25 Ks, L20 IP). Junk has held his own on the road (4.07 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, .300 OBP), but he's still giving up nearly a run more per 9 than at home, and Baltimore mashes lefties (.278/.349/.464 last 10 vs. LHP). Miami's bats have gone cold: just 3.6 runs/game last 8 and 3-9 vs. lefties this month. O's bullpen is rested (8 IP last 3G), and they're 5-0 vs the runline in the last 5 at Camden Yards. Plus money for the hot hand-lay it, don't sweat it. 

Good Luck!

Record: 50-41-2

Red Sox ML -107

Dobbins is right at home under the Fenway lights and Boston's lineup is mashing. Rasmussen can't get deep, the Rays pen is teetering, and Tampa's recent form reeks of a team running on fumes. Sox are 9-1 last 10, cooking at the plate, and this moneyline is a gift the market is sleeping on. Ride the hot team. 

Good Luck!

Record: 50-41-2

Guardians -1 1/2 (+134)

Cleveland's won 7 straight in the series and cashed the runline in 5 of the last 7. Allen gave up one unearned in his earlier start vs. Chicago, and the Sox can't hit lefties or close games. Cannon got lit up by these same bats, and his pen's been leaking oil. We're grabbing plus money on the better team in a matchup they've owned. 

Good Luck!