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just wanted to rant about the incompetence of pitchers who wear platinum and gold while on the mound. liriano is fuckin it up........... but he looks real cool!!!! seen others do it too. santana, etc.
i come from the old school of athletes. got no problems with talking shit and wearing nice jewelry. BUT YOU DO THAT SHIT IF YOU ARE GOOD. it's really that simple. no problems with cocky. but you better be able to back it up. i'm really tired of seeing sorry ass pitchers in the bigs who come off flashy........but straight fuck it up on the mound. liriano needs to get the hell off the mound and put that jewelry away and find his game.
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bonumcanem | 2 |
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taking penny? no. dodging this game....hell yes. the phillies just plain aren't hitting like they usually do right now. happ is good, but i have a real hard betting a team who isn't hitting to win. does happ pitch a shutout?? not likely. does he pitch well. very likely. can SF win? 50% chance. 50 is not good enough to put money on. wait till the phillies are in hitting mode again and bet on them. till then, even sorry asses like penny can give a team in a brief hitting slump a problem. even if it is not highly likely by the numbers.
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FR3SH-like-UgHH | 20 |
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oh my bad. sorry to The_Ace. The_Ace, "key games" are always on your sportsbetting sheet. vegas maxx does make a good point in highlighting the fact that key games are more frequent in football. but that is because football is fixed big time. i will go out of my way to proclaim that. just see your Pittsburgh vs. San diego Chargers game last year. and many others. and i don't care about football. i am not dumb enough to bet it. that shit is for plain suckers. i do Hockey, Basketball, and Baseball .....pros..only. and i only bet around 4 times a week. it's a superconservative way to bet, but whatever, we are all different. everyone goes with what they think to be best. yeah the key games in baseball don't happen nearly as much. i have to admit though, i don't track "key games." if you guys are really that interested, i would be happy too. just trying to help. my roommate and i were just laughing about it because the last few key games we saw all had the same pattern, the favs magically lost their ass.
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bonumcanem | 26 |
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hey i'm just trying to help. do what you want with it. i can see you are the angry type and i'm not really interested in writing to you. this is the last post for me. i'm off to bellagio to play poker.
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bonumcanem | 26 |
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first of all, i didn't bet the halos on thursday, so i am not angry at all. i am very happy. i had the nats and the O's under. the fact that both sides can be bet on does not have anything to do with anything. we all cap here. we all know that the majority of the action, day in and day out, goes on the favorites. and we all know the house makes its money when the favorites lose. these are not disputable facts.
in addition, the house has its own rules in vegas, basically rules restricting how much you can bet on any game. the house only breaks those rules in two cases: 1) you are a big time gambler on the tables. 2) for "key games". don't know how it is online. magically, around 1-3 times a month, there is a "key game" where the house is so generous to the bettor that the house violates its own rules and allows the bettor to double his bet on that game. we all know the majority of the action is going on the favorite........it always does. HMMMMMMMMMMMMM.
i can't pretend to know what goes on behind the scenes. i do know this: the house will never ever ever ever ever ever break it's own rules and invite the bettor to bet more unless the house has the advantage. it's really that simple guys. they are not doing it because the game is a "close call." there are not a bunch of humanitarians running the book who "just want to give a bettor a chance to get ahead on a game." in addition, extending the chance to bet double will never mean the dog will also get the action the favorite does. even if it did guys, that would mean the house would not come out ahead. this would implicate they are extending the opportunity to bet double for no reason other than to just do it. they are breaking their own rules for a reason. they have the advantage. count on that.
two games were key games yesterday, both games the favorites lost. and i have seen this before. funny it only pops up around 1-3 times a month.
as for fixing a game, you don't need the whole team in on a fix to fix it. never have needed that. and games do get fixed. i never cry about it though.....i accept it as part of the chance a bettor takes when trying to make money off of betting. and i take pride in the fact that i pay attention and usually dodge the "stinky stuff" out there. i win on pro basketball, hockey, and baseball. i'm not a loser crying because i can't get ahead. and all i'm doing here is pointing something out so we can all get ahead. i hope this helps you guys. i sure would like you to share information you think could help me. i am always open to considering options that can help me make more money.
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bonumcanem | 26 |
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i didn't say they fixed that particular game. all i said was when a "key game" is noted, bettors should beware and dodge it. vegas simply won't offer you the chance to double your money on your bet unless it is in their interest. that is a fact.
thx for the info though, good stuff. question though: do you really think it is mere coincidence that the angels have lost to cahill 3 times now?? i don't. and i'm not hating vegas or anyone or anything. i didn't bet the game. i'm very much a realist and i say bettors need to know what games to dodge and when. i ave never cried about a "fix" ever. anyways, i won on the mets and the nats today (thursday). i don't know what goes on behind the scenes. but i don't believe aruguably the fiercest batting lineup in the league magically has a hard time with cahill 3 times in a row.......by coincidence. you saw a poor hitting effort for a reason. not coincidence.
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bonumcanem | 26 |
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i live here in vegas and cap everyday. i just want to help. i'm not attempting to put anyone down or brag or whatever......and i know the game is already over.
in vegas, when i pick up a baseball sheet and see "key game" on any matchup, i know to dodge that game like wildfire. i mean run for the hills kind of shit. "key game," and i don't bet online so i don't know if you have it there, means a person can bet double the limits for the game. basically, it is vegas extending the better a warm hug and saying, "comon in and fuck off your money." i don't know whether games are fixed. i think some are, but i don't complain about it. that's life. i do know this for a fact and there is no disputing this: if vegas wants you to bet more it's because vegas has the advantage. the bettor needs to run away. in addition, the price to bet on the angels was magically kind of good. not great, but definitely not as expensive as i anticipated one of the best teams in the game vs. one of the worst teams in the game would be. i really don't think that was a coincidence. so anyways, take what you will from this, all i know is when vegas labels any game a "key game," they are looking to fuck you over. hope this helps. oh btw, colorado was a favorite today and that was also a "key game."
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bonumcanem | 26 |
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hey i don't want to kill a buzz....hell i like the buds too bud. but guthrie is not a quality pitcher. and he is capable of getting shelled tomorrow. i'm with you on blackburn, he blows too. but in a game where both pitchers suck, the better batting lineup is usually favored. with morneau back, minnesotta gets the edge at home. although realistically, neither team has enough of an edge to justify confidence. the over is the only bet here that might make some sense.
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CroatianNation | 12 |
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i like fading the white sox too. very much. and i am not just saying this because the red sox just won two in a row. i'm no braggart. i just happened to see this thread right now. the white sox have been underperforming all this year. they might have performed better against stiffer comp. last year, but they haven't shown that type of grit this year consistently. any games they have won are more the case of "blessed coincidences." i also agree with not betting on the cubs. god they suck. i could write for hours on how bad they are. good luck!! i am with you on looking for reasons to bet against the white sox.
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male escort | 64 |
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i disagree with the under and a bet on the giants. the correct answer here is "don't touch this game." find another. it's that simple. the giants and the rockies have been hitting the ball. even the sorriest of offenses will have their streaks. it's simple chance. and even the best of pitchers will have difficulty with those "hot" teams when they are in their streak. in addition, you want predictablity in a game. that is what you are betting on. there is nothing predictable about sorry offenses...more the giants than the rockies...who are hitting. they could whiff, or they could all get up and hit the shit out of the ball tomorrow. this is a "find another game" situation.
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firefighterben | 22 |
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i like your use of numbers. thanks for the response. i have a different interpretation of the numbers though. in short, some numbers reflect competence and intention......while other numbers reflect incompetence blessed by coincidence. reddings numbers are definitely the latter. numbers are funny. there are many different variables that produce them. to me, the trick is to understand whether the variables that gave rise to those numbers indicate competence or incompetence. there is not a dog gone thing competent about redding.
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bonumcanem | 13 |
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oh btw, if this game is an indicator.........redding has not pitched the phills well. the ump has given redding every possible call. redding was a chump. i have been watching the game. blue just saw fit to give him just about anything and everything as a strike. whatever, i'm just angry. the phills are back on top. but for some reason redding's strike zone was about 6 inches bigger up, down, to the left, and to the right. amazing sometimes.
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bonumcanem | 13 |
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this is fuckin dumb!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! pardon my french. but i am really sick of seeing AAA redding getting treated as if he has any skills whatsoever. and i am really sick of the "lost in space" and "i don't give a shit" look in the phillies batters eyes each time they are at the plate. i can't believe i made the mistake of betting this one.
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Madic_Isbiganov | 37 |
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i wonder. i want to believe they do. i know the numers are against the phills. but is it because of met domination? i have a real hard time believing that. this chump redding is throwing AAA ball. and the simple fact is each philly who has come to bat has a look in their eye like they are not even interested in the game. only one hit through 3? really???????????????????????
redding getting talked about on air as if he has a chance at a shutout??????? really???????????????????????
redding fucking sucks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! WHAT THE FUCK IS PHILLY DOING??? man i like the phills. this is really annoying.
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bonumcanem | 13 |
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thx Highagain. like your logo too. looks good on the cubs-dodgers under tonight....so far. gonna put some mad bananas on the phills tomorrow. good luck to you too.
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bonumcanem | 24 |
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i heard that. bradley is such a fuckin clown. pinella should just put out a hammock and sleep in the dugout. he does it anyways. god the cubs couldn't be worse. even the pirates look like overachievers next to these jokers.
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ValueforRent | 68 |
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comon man. why the heck is randy wells throwing around the bottom of the order and going 3-2 with just about everyone? now he walks wolf?? seriously?
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bonumcanem | 1 |
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ugh!! oh well, bad night for the phillies hitters. redding, not hernandez, is on the mound for the mets tomorrow. he serves up the meat like hernandez anyways. phils should take it tomorrow. good thing i bet small tonight. a small part thought this could be the one that the mets win. too bad my dumb arse didn't listen to it.
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bonumcanem | 24 |
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well, definitely getting some entertainment value out of this one!! let 's go utley!
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bonumcanem | 24 |
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ok, ibanez lead off single. now i am straight praying. hail mary, full of grace, how about 3 runs blessed mary?
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bonumcanem | 24 |
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