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I’m sorry but MLB betting is a JOKE...

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Posted: #1

I went on a lil tear in the beginning of the year.. but the fact of the matter is.. wayy too many variables.. too much juice.. just flip a fxckin coin with your buddies for the same action.. I’m just plain sick of it. I built my stack on college basketball and NBA. Besides my play on the Magic been killing it these playoffs. And quite frankly will always end up on top in basketball. All have and always will. gL to you major leaguers, I’m sticking to my roots. Blessings

 
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Posted: #2

in the long run you will lose with basketball too...all sports will dry out your money

 
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Posted: #3

Beg to differ on that one. Playing basketball through college and understand the ins n outs of the game may have helped though 

 
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Posted: #4

how long you been betting for..cant be that long...I guarantee you dont have records over the time you been betting...would love to talk to your book

 
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Posted: #5

Quote Originally Posted by HigherPlane:

I went on a lil tear in the beginning of the year.. but the fact of the matter is.. wayy too many variables.. too much juice.. just flip a fxckin coin with your buddies for the same action.. I’m just plain sick of it. I built my stack on college basketball and NBA. Besides my play on the Magic been killing it these playoffs. And quite frankly will always end up on top in basketball. All have and always will. gL to you major leaguers, I’m sticking to my roots. Blessings
an_lightan_lightan_light

 
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Posted: #6

Quote Originally Posted by mikebdb:

how long you been betting for..cant be that long...I guarantee you dont have records over the time you been betting...would love to talk to your book
He

 
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Posted: #7

Quote Originally Posted by LogCottage:

Quote Originally Posted by mikebdb:

how long you been betting for..cant be that long...I guarantee you dont have records over the time you been betting...would love to talk to your book
He
How long have YOU been betting MLB, Captain Mike? If you think you’ll make $ on this sport, you’re incredibly delusional.

 
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Posted: #8
You will be sorely missed   Should of cashed out when you were up!   "Pigs get fat Hogs get slaughtered" ............... 
 
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Posted: #9

Im still up an incredible amount for the year my man. A total blessing in fact. But this MLB crap is HORRIBLE. Like I said go flip a coin.. better yet have a beer at a blackjack table and enjoy yourself. A lot more fun then capping this bs. I love baseball don’t get me wrong but I will no longer by betting it. You want a great bet from a basketball player? Punch that Jazz ML right now while they are down 3 at the end of the 3rd. clover

 
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Posted: #10
 
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Posted: #11

Quote Originally Posted by LogCottage:

Quote Originally Posted by LogCottage:

Quote Originally Posted by mikebdb:

how long you been betting for..cant be that long...I guarantee you dont have records over the time you been betting...would love to talk to your book
He
How long have YOU been betting MLB, Captain Mike? If you think you’ll make $ on this sport, you’re incredibly delusional.

bingo

 
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Posted: #12

Quote Originally Posted by GTD:

GTD.. If I had the time I would lay out 5 solid reasons the Jazz will not lose this game tonight.. according to my MLB record on here I wouldn’t have listened to me either.... but this isn’t MLB buddy.

jazz win this and Its a $2100 swing for me. It’s coming. clover

 
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Posted: #13
Bookmakers would not hesitate to put a line up on anything that
is likely to entice those who are not sophisticated at wagering and /
or especially risk management to put their capital at risk.

A bettors ONLY edge against an oddsmaker is a demonstrated
ability to consistently find and accurately quantify value in a betting
line. Those who have the ability to do this consistently are quite .
rare.Those who have a demonstrated ability to do this over 
multiple sports is almost impossible to calculate.

The bettors edge not only requires knowledge and skill of the
sport to be wagered on , but a thorough understanding of risk
management and the discipline to only put capital at risk on
wagers where you have a known win probability.. This is your
edge. If you are unable to do these things , the bookmaker is the
one who has the edge in every wager you make..

Once you have mastered these items, you WILL be one of the
few who are successful at Sports betting over their career.

Good Luck ..As many try , but few are willing to make the time
and effort to succeed.



Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #14

Very well said wiseguy. You really did hit the nail on the head. And exactly the reason why after NBA, I’m collecting my winnings and will not be back until NFL. (In my opinion easiest sport to cap)

NFL, NCAA, and NBA to the top. Excited for this journey with y’all clover

 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by HigherPlane:

Very well said wiseguy. You really did hit the nail on the head. And exactly the reason why after NBA, I’m collecting my winnings and will not be back until NFL. (In my opinion easiest sport to cap)

NFL, NCAA, and NBA to the top. Excited for this journey with y’all clover



I started out 37 years ago to learn to cap NCAAF.  After all these
years I actually now compete against my previous season's results
every year to improve my performance in the skills that I referred
to. If a bettor can continue to improve their skills, they will always
have an edge over any Bookmaker.

Good Luck to you Bud  


Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by HigherPlane:

Very well said wiseguy. You really did hit the nail on the head. And exactly the reason why after NBA, I’m collecting my winnings and will not be back until NFL. (In my opinion easiest sport to cap)

NFL, NCAA, and NBA to the top. Excited for this journey with y’all clover




For me , as far as MLB goes , I treat it far differently than my work
in NCAAF. I can accurately measure my proficiency in establishing
value , win probability and risk in College Football , and I have a
database of 35 years to draw on. In MLB , I do not have the same
advantage , and therefore risk in a wager is quite different and is
calculated accordingly.

Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #17

Yep. There’s no database to draw on when you now have Single-A players wearing Major League uniforms....

 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by LogCottage:

Yep. There’s no database to draw on when you now have Single-A players wearing Major League uniforms....





Many MLB players that are motivated tend to lack skill and ability.

Those that possess skill and ability tend to lack motivation.

It's hard for me to watch MLB.  
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #19

I can no longer watch it either. Can’t believe how diluted the talent has become....peace_5

 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by LogCottage:

Yep. There’s no database to draw on when you now have Single-A players wearing Major League uniforms....



It's interesting that you mention this as a similar situation is
occurring in NCAAF as well. In 2019 , 135 players have opted to
forego their remaining eligibility and enter the NFL draft.
The NCAA has also made it a lot easier for players to enter the
transfer portal and change teams This makes the  ability to
quantify production capability ( early season ) much more difficult.
For Bettors , the knowledge of the fact that all sports are in a
constant evolution process as teams seek to gain an edge on
their opponents is a critical component of the capping process.
Bettors need to have an understanding of just how any change will
affect their ability to measure production capability.


Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by LogCottage:

I can no longer watch it either. Can’t believe how diluted the talent has become....peace_5

So then you will no longer post about how you hate the game, the players suck, the game itself is pitiful,  etc.,  etc.,  etc  ??  
 
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Posted: #22

Quote Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

Quote Originally Posted by LogCottage:

Yep. There’s no database to draw on when you now have Single-A players wearing Major League uniforms....
Many MLB players that are motivated tend to lack skill and ability.Those that possess skill and ability tend to lack motivation.It's hard for me to watch MLB.

Boom!

 
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Posted: #23

I don’t have nearly close to the database in MLB as either of you guys. Wish you both the best of luck when capping this brutal game. Come say hi in the NBA forum. Only have a few more weeks of winners left til football for me clover. Much love 

 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by HoustonSports:

So then you will no longer post about how you hate the game, the players suck, the game itself is pitiful,  etc.,  etc.,  etc  ??  
no way. misery loves company
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
 
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Posted: #25

I agree sometimes u gotta win 2 bets just to make money cause of juice its. Jokeee

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