Suns only lost by 30 last year to Melbourne at the G. Suns with the points and SU or Melbourne 1-39. Although really can't trust Suns at the G and can't trust Melbourne anywhere, but they can lift at the G.
Would reckon a lot of the Demons players start pulling their finger out to risk being de-listed at seasons end too.
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Suns only lost by 30 last year to Melbourne at the G. Suns with the points and SU or Melbourne 1-39. Although really can't trust Suns at the G and can't trust Melbourne anywhere, but they can lift at the G.
Would reckon a lot of the Demons players start pulling their finger out to risk being de-listed at seasons end too.
I really liked gws but it's getting high as 50 now , worries me a bit . Tigers have a great record against lions and should lift after a dismal last 3 weeks. Hawks look value at the line and 1-39 . Not touching anything else
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I really liked gws but it's getting high as 50 now , worries me a bit . Tigers have a great record against lions and should lift after a dismal last 3 weeks. Hawks look value at the line and 1-39 . Not touching anything else
Port struggled to put away Melbourne, I'm liking that the line is moving in GWS's favour, especially before the teams are out. The likely reason it's moving is because it's dole day in Port Adelaide. This is not a game/line that would attract sharp money mid week.
HoH: Where you at son?
I've got some Old Virginia Bourbon, aged 6 years, it was a few bucks more than Beam, from what I can e-ascertain, it's made in Kentucky for some French grog company mostly for the French and Russian markets. Smoky like Jack but a lot smoother, touch of vanilla like Irish Whiskey. I actually went to buy a bottle of Jack but it wasn't on special, decided to "ghetto" it, try something new and save a tenner. Was a gamble that paid off
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Port struggled to put away Melbourne, I'm liking that the line is moving in GWS's favour, especially before the teams are out. The likely reason it's moving is because it's dole day in Port Adelaide. This is not a game/line that would attract sharp money mid week.
HoH: Where you at son?
I've got some Old Virginia Bourbon, aged 6 years, it was a few bucks more than Beam, from what I can e-ascertain, it's made in Kentucky for some French grog company mostly for the French and Russian markets. Smoky like Jack but a lot smoother, touch of vanilla like Irish Whiskey. I actually went to buy a bottle of Jack but it wasn't on special, decided to "ghetto" it, try something new and save a tenner. Was a gamble that paid off
tempted to play NM. Dallhaus and Cross out for WB leaving a very inexperienced and pretty low quality midfield. If NM win big and Essendon and Geelong lose they could move ahead of them to sixth if they crank their percentage so they have motivation to crush them. WB have had their measure more often than not lately but this is probably the chimpiest side WB have fielded in five years +.
GWS first half maybe then tend to fall away.
maybe fremantle ATS.
Brisbane seem to not be far off their best team, not too sure why Richmond are favoured given their ability to pretty much lose from anywhere. Brisbane ATS appeals.
Like GC ATS and probably play 1-39 also.
dunno about the rest.
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thinking hawthorn 1-39.
tempted to play NM. Dallhaus and Cross out for WB leaving a very inexperienced and pretty low quality midfield. If NM win big and Essendon and Geelong lose they could move ahead of them to sixth if they crank their percentage so they have motivation to crush them. WB have had their measure more often than not lately but this is probably the chimpiest side WB have fielded in five years +.
GWS first half maybe then tend to fall away.
maybe fremantle ATS.
Brisbane seem to not be far off their best team, not too sure why Richmond are favoured given their ability to pretty much lose from anywhere. Brisbane ATS appeals.
Why would you take the GC 1-39? The ML is 3.50'ish the 1-39 is $4 If GWS win it will likely be close, but say Melbourne tank or shit the bed in style and GC win by 40-42 points or a bizzaro draw is it really worth an extra 50 cents when you're already getting over 3/1 on a su win?
The 1-39's make sense on faves when the ML is too short and the line is too high to cover or isn't high enough to take the underdog with points. Other than that I learned to stay away from getting too cute. Especially on a game like this where a team like Melbourne could easily flop seems risky.
GC with points, ML and smaller on a reverse line like -10.5 at 5/1, 25+ or 40+ if you wanna be fancy pants imo
Good point on GWS first half. They have Brogan and Cornes back, as well as those gun Kennedy and Coniglio kids. Folau dropped to an emergency. Think they are taking this serious and Mark Williams isn't going to want to lose to Port. Giants should come out hard.
I don't think Freo have firepower to outscore Eagles, Eagles to cover, maybe 1-39 but I don't have much confidence in Freo aside making it a boring game or they get thrashed. Eagles lose Glass and Rosa and Cox and Kerr aren't at 100%
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I hope you didn't play that 1-39 bino
Why would you take the GC 1-39? The ML is 3.50'ish the 1-39 is $4 If GWS win it will likely be close, but say Melbourne tank or shit the bed in style and GC win by 40-42 points or a bizzaro draw is it really worth an extra 50 cents when you're already getting over 3/1 on a su win?
The 1-39's make sense on faves when the ML is too short and the line is too high to cover or isn't high enough to take the underdog with points. Other than that I learned to stay away from getting too cute. Especially on a game like this where a team like Melbourne could easily flop seems risky.
GC with points, ML and smaller on a reverse line like -10.5 at 5/1, 25+ or 40+ if you wanna be fancy pants imo
Good point on GWS first half. They have Brogan and Cornes back, as well as those gun Kennedy and Coniglio kids. Folau dropped to an emergency. Think they are taking this serious and Mark Williams isn't going to want to lose to Port. Giants should come out hard.
I don't think Freo have firepower to outscore Eagles, Eagles to cover, maybe 1-39 but I don't have much confidence in Freo aside making it a boring game or they get thrashed. Eagles lose Glass and Rosa and Cox and Kerr aren't at 100%
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