Nov 20

4-5  down a couple units.  Me and Salami are no longer friends.  Nor is my buddy Stoli.  Fucking feel like shit and have to go into office later.  

Buffalo is just God awful.  Feel bad for all you fans having to watch that shit-show of a team every year. 

Onto tonight...

Isles head to Joe Louis Arena to try and earn their Red Wings.  Isles handed them a beatdown of 7-2 just a few weeks ago, so that factors in.  Isles are blistering on this Roadie, going 5-1 with only loss to Avs (who are also red hot).  Wings have gotten 7 of 8 possible points in their last 4, so tough one to call, but like the Revenge beatdown angle here a li'l...

Habs host Craps are and are Faves .  Craps smoked Oil last night, so they are on B2B, but Habs have been struggling mightily lately.  Line value with Craps but situation favors Habs.  Habs have a little Revenge angle of their own as this is first meeting since Craps knocked them out of Cup playoffs 1st Round last year.  Problem is that does not seem to matter much, as I have not seen that many Wins by the eliminated team in the new season when facing that foe.  Might be a Pass.  OVer might be worth further examination, as Habs will trot out Monty, and Wash is on B2B and playing Chaz Lindgren.

Satans head to Sunrise to face Cats.  Not much here to like.  Satans did beat them a month ago 3-1, but other than that, the line is right.  Jersey is off bad 5-1 loss to Bolts, but they have too many injuries of their own to make them a play IMO.  Under is about only thing I'd be interested in, and I did so well with Unders last night... 

Blues Gritties just screams Pass to me.  Be curious what anyone else on the Forum sees in this game.  I could talk myself into Bloos b/c they are dogs, but Gritties have had lots of past success in the H2H matchup recently.

Leaning Over with Loafs Blow Jobs if I can find 6 Flat.  Loafs are slight dogs at home which I find a bit surprising, but only a bit...

Oil head to the Bay of Tampons, and the situation favors Bolts - Oil on B2B, 3 in 4 and 4 in 6 and all OTR.  Gonna be on Bolts prolly and maybe Over, as Oil are 3-0-1 to the Over on 2nd of B2B this year.

GL dy, waiting for a 6 as well in TOR, maybe live. GL with work today. Stoli is ok, ever hear of recipe 21 vodka? It's from Rochester NY, clean and cheap, I've switched grey goose and tito drinkers over. $15 for a 1.75 or 1.5, what ever the size - the BIG bottle.

Get something with hot sauce in you, that'll clear you up a bit, breakfast burrito maybe.

GL dy, waiting for a 6 as well in TOR, maybe live. GL with work today. Stoli is ok, ever hear of recipe 21 vodka? It's from Rochester NY, clean and cheap, I've switched grey goose and tito drinkers over. $15 for a 1.75 or 1.5, what ever the size - the BIG bottle.

Get something with hot sauce in you, that'll clear you up a bit, breakfast burrito maybe.

If you don't mind, will add here. 

Oil are now 0-4 in b2b situations this year and in each second half, they have given up 4, 4, 4 and 5. Plus Oil will beam in Capt. Pickard to the net where in his last 6 games, he has given up 5, 5, 3, 4, 5 and 4. Hmmmm...not the brightest fellow, but does this not scream either over or Tampa tt over? 

Good Luck!!

@Crazy_Train  Don't think they sell that around here, but I'll look.  Can't do the spicy - plumbing will not allow it without severe penalties later on... 

@GASportsDoc  Yeah those numbers amount to a screeching Over bet.  Already put it in. 

@GGGaming  same to you GG 

Hawks of Color look like a solid play as well as Under 6 against Kraken.  I will be on them for sure.

Don't see much of an edge in Vegas Utah.  Under appears tempting.

Love Avs at Home hosting Ragdolls.  Rags cant score and Quebec can.  

Sharks of Color host the LA Queers at the Tank.  Last season, Over was 3-0-1 with a whopping 31 Goals scored in 4 contests.  However, both teams are strong to the Under in recent games, so has me hesitant.  Guppies at +150 is tempting.

Watch out Toronto, there's a new Over Sheriff in town.  Meet the Vancougar Nuks.  10 straight to the Over and 15-4-2 on season.  Stars 6-3 to Over last 9 games, so expect some fireworks.  Lean DAL here OTR as well.

Quacks of Color are solid at Home this year sporting a 7-1 record, and the Sens come into the Pond, and Sens are 2-6-2 OTR.  Ducks are also a dog, and a solid play tonight.

BOL today and on the write ups 

BOL today 

@dyamarik

BOL tonight dyamarik! Love the write-ups!

Is that Senators game a trap? I’m thinking “BOOKS” want money on DUCKS…I’m thinking OTTAWA might be the play here?  What do I know?

TIP

@Gainsford  

@Raiders22  

@TIPOF-THE-SWORD  Never really look at games as "Traps".  Vegas wants action two ways so they clean up on the Vigorish.  I know people on Covers try to identify trap games, btu I think it is to just help them reinforce their Confirmation Bias that they used to decide on a pick.

I just noticed that Ducks played last night with a 4-3 W over Broons, so that explains the line more so than any other reason.  Off the Ducks for now.  Might take Sens.

2 Plays Locked in so far...

Oilers Bolts Over 6  -120  3/4u

3LP:  Loafs & BJ's BTTS 2+   &   TB TT Over 2.5   &   Quebec Nordiques TT Over 2.5   +180  1/2u

Hawks -110  1/2u

Bolts  Reg  -110  1/2u

Avs PL +130  3/8u

Avs ML & Under 6.5 parlay  +160  1/8u  

Avs ML & Under 6 parlay  +200  1/8u

Bolts & Avs ML parlay  +140  1/2u

Habs ML -130  1/4u

Stars Over 6.5 even  1/4u

Habs ML and Stars Over 6 parlay +200  1/2u

Wings & Sens ML parlay  +220  1/4u

Wings Reg +120 1/8u   PL  +190  1/10u

Sens Reg  +120 1/8u   PL  +220 1/10u

Pickleball with the cougars - BOL everyone  

Everyone on the Habs, I am confused or maybe Frienemy has hypnotized. Like the Wingdings pick.

Enjoy the Cougars 

Gl d. Like that oil/tb over

@dyamarik

Thanks dyamarik! Just asking a question, not trying to get you off Ducks!

TIP

Just wanted to chirp in and thank @dyamarik for their analysis and writeups for the games each day. Your commitment to this thread is second to none, and your picks are profitable to those who actually take the time to do additional research. As a lurker who stops by covers once and a while, I always make sure I stop by here and check in on a few cappers and read their thread. No need "to feel like shit" based on a nights group of picks, you owe nobody anything. Hold your head high my friend, there are people too full of themselves to understand a man of character who actually carry some credibility in life. 

Ooof...  Fucking Card is on Fire...  in a bad way...

Oilers Bolts Over 6  -120  3/4u

3LP:  Loafs & BJ's BTTS 2+   &   TB TT Over 2.5   &   Quebec Nordiques TT Over 2.5   +180  1/2u

Hawks -110  1/2u

Bolts  Reg  -110  1/2u

Avs PL +130  3/8u

Avs ML & Under 6.5 parlay  +160  1/8u  

Avs ML & Under 6 parlay  +200  1/8u

Bolts & Avs ML parlay  +140  1/2u

Habs ML -130  1/4u

Stars Over 6.5 even  1/4u

Habs ML and Stars Over 6 parlay +200  1/2u

Wings & Sens ML parlay  +220  1/4u

Wings Reg +120 1/8u   PL  +190  1/10u

Sens Reg  +120 1/8u   PL  +220 1/10u

@GASportsDoc  supposed to be a good situational spot for Montreal.  I should have listened to myself, as they are playing like pure shit recently.

@dubz4dummyz  unreal - did not watch game, but the numbers and situation all fit for a high scoring game.  That is gambling for ya. 

@TIPOF-THE-SWORD  all good TIP - except my picks last night 

@mr_armchair_qb  appreciate the kind words armchair.  Too much negativity in the world today.  Just trying to generate some positive convo's and vibes on the games, and help us all beat the books.  There once was a great man who would post "Puck Talk" daily in this Forum.  Unfortunately, the Big Man upstairs needed his help handicapping NHL so he recalled him from the Covers Minor League to go play in the afterlife.  Doc, myself, and a few others just try to carry that Mantle once in a while, so he not forgotten.  RIP Lippsman.

I may need to hit the bench - too many negative unit nights here.