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Question

There is a 56.1% chance that Edmonton wins this contest, per the moneyline. In 67 games with moneyline oddds shorter than -128, the Oilers have 43 wins. Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games played in June. Edmonton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: Edmonton (-128)

RLeith35 · Answer

There is a 56.1% chance that Edmonton wins this contest, per the moneyline. In 67 games with moneyline oddds shorter than -128, the Oilers have 43 wins. Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games played in June. Edmonton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: Edmonton (-128)

sandique · Answer

Oilers are 13-2 their last 15 played. Of their 2 losses:

(1) 4-3 loss to Vegas at home: Vegas scored with 1 second left in regulation.

(2) 6-3 loss to Dallas on the road: trailing 1-3 after 2, Dallas scored 5 goals in the 3rd on the back of starting the period with b2b2b PP within the first 5 mins, scoring in all 3.

Short of two 'black swan' events (how many teams wins with last sec goals? How many teams start any period quickly being given 3 consecutive PPs let alone score in all of them?), the Oilers could easily be 15 out of 15. Few teams have ever had hotter playoff runs, and explains why Florida's 31-0 record when leading after 2 got trashed in game 1. They ran into a buzz saw.

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