ANALYSIS: LINDENWOOD LIONS @ LITTLE ROCK TROJANS, Odds: Lindenwood -105 | Little Rock -105
The Stakes:
A critical OVC clash with significant implications for the crowded middle of the conference standings. Lindenwood (14-10, 8-5) sits in a tie for 5th, just 2.5 games out of first. Little Rock (9-14, 6-6) is two games back, fighting to stay in the top half. The rematch factor is paramount: Little Rock secured an 82-74 road victory in Saint Charles on January 10th. Lindenwood seeks revenge on the Trojans' home floor to solidify their position and halt a recent skid (1-1 in last two, coming off a loss). The perfectly balanced odds reflect the complexity: can the Lions' superior offensive system overcome road woes and avenge an earlier defeat?
Deep Dive: Team Styles & Current Form
Biggest Strength: Versatile, Multi-Pronged Scoring & Rebounding. They are not reliant on one player. Anias Futrell (17.2 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 37.5% 3PT) is the volume scorer. Jadis Jones (16.8 PPG, 7.9 RPG, 64.6% FG) is an ultra-efficient force inside. Dontrez Williams (15.3 PPG, 2.7 STL) provides slashing and elite defense. They lead the OVC in assists, emphasizing team play.
Fatal Flaw: Three-Point Defense & Inconsistency. Ranking 341st in 3PT% allowed is a recipe for disaster, especially against a team like Little Rock that shoots it well. They can also have offensive lulls where the ball movement stalls.
Recent Form: Mixed. Impressive road wins at Southern Indiana and Morehead State show capability, but a home loss to SIU Edwardsville last time out raises questions about focus.
Biggest Strength: Perimeter Scoring & Taking Care of the Ball. The trio of Johnathan Lawson (16.3 PPG, 4.0 APG, 37.4% 3PT), Braxton Bayless (10.4 PPG, 3.3 APG, 38.6% 3PT), and Kachi Nzeh (11.3 PPG, 42.7% 3PT) provides multiple capable shooters. They play at one of the slowest paces in the country, limiting possessions and keeping games close.
Recent Form: Struggling. Have lost 4 of their last 5 games, including a tough 55-52 defensive battle at UT Martin. The offense has sputtered, failing to reach 70 points in three of those losses.
Game Flow & Key Matchups
Pace War: This is the ultimate clash of styles. Lindenwood wants to run, create chaos with steals (9.5 pg), and score in transition. Little Rock will walk it up, run deep into the shot clock, and make it a half-court execution game. The team that controls tempo controls the game.
Prediction & Pick: ...
The full analysis for this game and others is on my website:
victorypicks.eu
And today... a fantastic NCAAB trivia contest (the last one this month) with amazing prizes!
Established in 1995,
Hot Forum Topics
