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    All Forums | NHL Betting Forum

    ANYONE WILLING TO TELL ME SOME THINGS THEY LOOK FOR WHEN RESEARCHING GAMES? IVE ALWAYS SUCKED AT BETTING AND NEED SOME HELP!

    Kevinwalsh1313
    aaironworks
    TheSquare
    Lippsman
    aRoyalPhuQ
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    Kevinwalsh1313
    Kevinwalsh1313
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    Posted: Jan. 30, 2019 - 7:38 PM ET #1

    Ive been trying to bet College Basketball games for the longest time and never know what type of things to research when making bets. Please help me out!! :(sad

     

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Ive been trying to bet College Basketball games for the longest time and never know what type of things to research when making bets. Please help me out!! :(sad

     

     
    aaironworks
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    Posted: Jan. 30, 2019 - 7:53 PM ET #2

    Just pick the winners my man 
    “It’s not a lie, if you believe it”
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    Just pick the winners my man 
     
    TheSquare
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    Posted: Jan. 30, 2019 - 8:02 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by aaironworks:

    Just pick the winners my man

    You know how you make that an easier task without doing any work? Become a bookie..an_light peace_5an_drunksick People LOVE to pick losers.. an_roll_laughan_burningbag

    "Schrödinger's bet." A bet that loses when you bet it but wins when you DON'T bet it...
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    Quote Originally Posted by aaironworks:

    Just pick the winners my man

    You know how you make that an easier task without doing any work? Become a bookie..an_light peace_5an_drunksick People LOVE to pick losers.. an_roll_laughan_burningbag

     
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Jan. 30, 2019 - 10:40 PM ET #4

    First of all stay away from the bigger juice.
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    First of all stay away from the bigger juice.
     
    aRoyalPhuQ
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    Posted: Jan. 30, 2019 - 11:25 PM ET #5

    I would avoid the "Big" or Marquee games of the night. I'm not going to explain why, you probably know. Matchups are huge, a 3-pt shooting team vs small defenders, Defensive rebounds, turnovers vs turnovers caused, Free throw %. And like Lipps said Is the Squeeze WORTH the JUICE?
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    I would avoid the "Big" or Marquee games of the night. I'm not going to explain why, you probably know. Matchups are huge, a 3-pt shooting team vs small defenders, Defensive rebounds, turnovers vs turnovers caused, Free throw %. And like Lipps said Is the Squeeze WORTH the JUICE?
     
    NYBartender
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    Posted: Jan. 30, 2019 - 11:55 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by aaironworks:

    Just pick the winners my man

    And do to that at a high rate, just reverse all my well researched picks and you'll be stacking cash in no time!

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    Quote Originally Posted by aaironworks:

    Just pick the winners my man

    And do to that at a high rate, just reverse all my well researched picks and you'll be stacking cash in no time!

     
    VANBUCK
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    Posted: Jan. 31, 2019 - 12:02 AM ET #7

    Welcome to the party pal.   

    Lippsman's right stay away from the high juice and

    check out his daily thread and post your picks 

    Thurs parlay Bos and Wpg .
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    Welcome to the party pal.   

    Lippsman's right stay away from the high juice and

    check out his daily thread and post your picks 

    Thurs parlay Bos and Wpg .
     
    AJMay
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    Posted: Jan. 31, 2019 - 9:53 AM ET #8

    Stats aren't everything. Think about possible motivation factors (rematch, rivalry, etc.) and scheduling (b2b, 3rd in 4, etc.). I also take into consideration if a team is playing well but losing vs a team that is not playing well but winning. You can get good odds on betting the former or fading the latter.

    Recently I've started looking at scoring chance%, high danger scoring chance%, and goal% associated with each. Mostly from naturalstattrick.com because it's the easiest for me to compare stats from last 10 games, last 25 games, and for the season. They also have a Corsi game flow for each game so you can see (even live) relative possession over the course of the game. 

    For example, Penguins won 4-2 over the Lightning last game, but the Lightning seemingly dominated the first 30-ish minutes of the game, yet were down 3-0. It evened out after that. I might attribute that to the Lightning being rusty not being able to find the back of the net and they should be fine next game (I like them to win vs the Islanders).
    AJMay
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    Stats aren't everything. Think about possible motivation factors (rematch, rivalry, etc.) and scheduling (b2b, 3rd in 4, etc.). I also take into consideration if a team is playing well but losing vs a team that is not playing well but winning. You can get good odds on betting the former or fading the latter.

    Recently I've started looking at scoring chance%, high danger scoring chance%, and goal% associated with each. Mostly from naturalstattrick.com because it's the easiest for me to compare stats from last 10 games, last 25 games, and for the season. They also have a Corsi game flow for each game so you can see (even live) relative possession over the course of the game. 

    For example, Penguins won 4-2 over the Lightning last game, but the Lightning seemingly dominated the first 30-ish minutes of the game, yet were down 3-0. It evened out after that. I might attribute that to the Lightning being rusty not being able to find the back of the net and they should be fine next game (I like them to win vs the Islanders).
     
    aaironworks
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    Posted: Jan. 31, 2019 - 10:21 AM ET #9

    Lol... agreed on staying away from big juice .... dogs are the way to go ! 
    “It’s not a lie, if you believe it”
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    Lol... agreed on staying away from big juice .... dogs are the way to go ! 
     
    ramboo
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    Posted: Jan. 31, 2019 - 10:32 AM ET #10

    Team stats don't really mean much to be honest .. a lot of it is situational and, like other have mentioned, finding ways to limit the juice you pay for favs. There are a lot of weird things in hockey like certain teams simply being unable to beat other teams regardless of their record / recent play. For example, Caps have beaten the Bruins like 15 times in a row (I forget the actual number but it's close). I would check each starting goalies' numbers vs the team they're playing as each goalie seems to excel and suck against certain teams for whatever reason. Hockey is hard due to the influence of luck on the game and, in my opinion, you have to limit the number of plays you make to come out on top in the long run. Good luck

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    Team stats don't really mean much to be honest .. a lot of it is situational and, like other have mentioned, finding ways to limit the juice you pay for favs. There are a lot of weird things in hockey like certain teams simply being unable to beat other teams regardless of their record / recent play. For example, Caps have beaten the Bruins like 15 times in a row (I forget the actual number but it's close). I would check each starting goalies' numbers vs the team they're playing as each goalie seems to excel and suck against certain teams for whatever reason. Hockey is hard due to the influence of luck on the game and, in my opinion, you have to limit the number of plays you make to come out on top in the long run. Good luck

     
    ramboo
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    Posted: Jan. 31, 2019 - 10:35 AM ET #11

    Analytics are more useful when predicting playoff series winners or if you're looking to make a couple future bets on conference / cup winners where luck plays less of a factor over a longer sample size 

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    Analytics are more useful when predicting playoff series winners or if you're looking to make a couple future bets on conference / cup winners where luck plays less of a factor over a longer sample size 

     
    Atp11
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    Posted: Jan. 31, 2019 - 11:22 AM ET #12

    Hockey i try to stay away from teams that play back to back nights. 

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    Hockey i try to stay away from teams that play back to back nights. 

     
    LuckyGuy
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    Posted: Jan. 31, 2019 - 12:18 PM ET #13

    Learn how to read the lines peace_5

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    Learn how to read the lines peace_5

     
    Shauwig
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    Posted: Jan. 31, 2019 - 1:15 PM ET #14

    The first advice I got when I started out on capping games was:

    Goaltending is 50% and go from there.


    Since then Ive lowered it a bit on average, but its still the biggest factor. Doesn't matter how good your team is, if your netminder is a pile of flaming poop 
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    The first advice I got when I started out on capping games was:

    Goaltending is 50% and go from there.


    Since then Ive lowered it a bit on average, but its still the biggest factor. Doesn't matter how good your team is, if your netminder is a pile of flaming poop 
     
     
    BostonEagle
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    Posted: Jan. 31, 2019 - 3:19 PM ET #15

    First tip.  Look at what I play and go the other way.  Make a fortune.

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    First tip.  Look at what I play and go the other way.  Make a fortune.

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