Den +8.5, Jets +7.5. Very low totals potentially enhance statistical significance of additional pts. Road dogs add theoretical teaser value also, according to recent results. Jets have seen an influx of money since placing. Den pushed down off opening key 3. Moving up thru key nos 3 and 7, where pts could be at a premium. Thank you John Ferguson aka Stanford Wong. Fascinating story, life
Also,of interest, Mahomes did not play a single snap preseason. Thus,would certainly expect some first half rust, timing issues,etc. Yet,Den is capturing over 80% of the handle ,as reported by various outlets. If one puts much faith,veracity in these nos. Seeing these reported much more often now,eg on X. Frankly,I am skeptical . What would motivate major books to reveal such ? Unless,one considers a different potential angle. ??
You could b right re Jets. Sagarin has them and TN pretty close though. I like seeing the money come in on them now. Probably would have been wiser for me to tease Jax down to 2.5. Just one wager among many forthcoming. No major risk...just enjoy the teaser challenge. Books making it harder.
Seeing both games this morn,majority of the handles are on the Under. Fewer the pts,the better. With both nos coming down accordingly I believe.
In another light,being here in the South, Falcons look potentially interesting with Steelers capturing 87% of purported handle. If this were the Cooper Rush I remember a few yrs back winning four straight or so for the Cowboys, I'd be on it. Alot of weapons still. Other backup played great preseason I understand. Strand ? Yet,still the bumbling Falcons. Hoping Matt Ryan can help straighten this cf out.
I just opened an account on heritage this week after getting limited last season on another book for teasers. My first bet was a 500 dollar sign up bonus free play and triggered their risk management flags and now teasers are variable odds instead of -120. Before i ever had one bet even graded they limited my account. Won't even let me place a 2 dollar parlay now. Live chat said go screw and my account is no longer allowed any promos. What's funny is an account manager called me a few days ago after my deposit and told me they will reload my account if i blew it within 30 days. My teaser was a nickel on jags/hou and it payed out. Prob going to cash out entirely cause fk them. Any other books still paying -120 on wong teasers? I think betonline might but haven't tried yet
Had nice success of late going back to the Playoffs. All posted. Frankly,I feel these,with the appropriate discipline, do give us a theoretical edge that can b profitable over a large sample size. Inspite of the higher vig. And other insidious fookery that is implicit in the Natl Entertainment League. Just my opinion. And experience. Understand Ferguson wrote an acclaimed book on Sports Betting,among other. Blackjack too. Obviously, the man is brilliant to arrive at such insights many yrs ago. And wealthy.
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