week 3

4-7 STD....-7.55 units

Obviously not a great start....we'll give this one or two more weeks for things to turn around.

  a)  A week 3 winless underdog since 2009 that is playing a 1 win team who will be an underdog their next game......31-13 ATS (+4.3), 21-23 straight up (-1.8)....ON Texans, Bears, Saints, Panthers (careful with Panthers as Falcons are right on the line of being a favorite or dog next game).

t:wins=0 and t:losses=2 and line>0  and season>2009 and o:wins=1 and week=3

  b)  A divisional home favorite of less than 7 points before week 8 that won their two previous games, both on the road....9-17-1 against the spread (-2.7), 16-11 SU, (+1.1), VERSUS 49ers

p:AW and pp:AW and HF and line>-7 and DIV and week<8 

  c)  A week 3 away dog whose present opponent will be an underdog their next two games.....49-24-3 ATS (+4.6), 41-34 (+0.5)....ON Saints, Texans

  d)  A week 3 away underdog who will be a favorite their next two games....58-33-1 (+5.0), 49-48-1 (+0.8)....ON Rams, Lions, Cardinals

  e)  AFC West teams as away dogs in the first five weeks of the season playing in the Eastern time zone....47-31 ATS....ON Raiders

  f)  A week 3/4 home favorite off an away loss,...89-147-9 ATS (-2.2).....VERSUS Jaguars, Commies.............. (and Dolphins week 4).....this moves to 34-71-6 ATS in week 3 if their present opponent has less than two wins....and to 10-30 ATS if their opponent will be favored next week.....VERSUS Jaguars, Commanders

  g)  A week 3 away dog that has an average scoring margin or -5/game or worse, playing a team that will be a home dog 10-0 ATS (+11.2), 9-1 straight up (+7.5)....ON Jets

Plays all for 1.5 units:

1)  Panthers +5'

2)  Jets +6'

3)  Texans +105

4)  Raiders +3'

5)  Saints +7'

6)  Cardinals +3, -120

7)  Patriots +105

Thx for these.............................gl

btw: what is query text for (g)?  TIA

Killersports has this at 9-1 ATS, while gimmethedog has it at 10-0 ATS.....I just ran it on killersports....of the two I would trust the killersports results more.

  g)  week and tA(margin, N=2) < -5 and AD and on:HD 

Good luck Indigo.  

Gl indi

Good fortune on Sunday....

Public dogs went 3-4 today (games between FBS opponents with a line between -20 and +20)......Illinois, Stanford, Air Force, Idaho, Maryland, Syracuse, NC State,............with Hawaii pending.

Sunday public dogs (>50% of bettors on them) went 0-2 week 1.....with the Lions and the Dolphins unable to cover.

Those teams with equal or less than 35% of the public on them, which are almost always underdogs, have gone 5-2 ATS the first two Sundays.....those teams qualifying as of Saturday night,  week 3 are....

  a)  Rams

  b)  Panthers 

  c)  Broncos

  d)  Bears

  e)  Jets

  f)  Saints

  g)  Titans

  h)  Browns

Texans are a public dog, so I am cancelling my Texans bet.....

Plays:

1)  Raiders +3'

2)  Panthers +5'

3)  Jets +6'

4)  Saints +7'

5)  Cardinals +3, -120

6)  Patriots +2'....got a better line at  a different book than what was listed previously.

Texans CANCELLED as they are a public dog.

GL tomorrow Indigo!  Hammer 'em buddy!  

9