16-7-3 +14.95 units
Took me a long time to go through all my posted plays, even other people's thread on a few of them. Looking through my betting history at my books was a nightmare. I bet a lot more stuff that I didn't post here at covers. I did not post any plays through the first half of the season or so. Been trying to be super selective this year.
I had a couple player props posted that I did not include in the record above. 0-2 for -1.50 units.
Seattle -1.5(-110) *1.00/.91
Teams after playing the Bears are 2-13-1 su in their following game. The Bears play a physical brand of football where players usually come out of it banged up or hurt.
McCaffrey had a back issue develop during the game. He got a full practice in on Thursday. Kyle Juszczyk had a hip injury, got a full practice in on Thursday. Both dudes will play.
Nickel back Upton Stout suffered a concussion. He was limited all week until Thursday getting in a full practice. He had to pass protocol to play.
Ricky Pearsal has a knee and ankle injury, limited all week. He's questionable.
2 second string d linemen got banged up. Keion White dnp until Thursday where he was limited with a groin injury. And Yetur Gross Matos was limited all week but did not practice on Thursday. Doubtful.
George Kittle didn't play last week. He's been limited and questionable.
Last but not least, Trent Williams has a hamstring injury. He suffered it on Brock Purdy's pick 6 to start the game. He told reporters that he's never had a hamstring injury, so he doesn't know how it will heal. He hasn't practiced all week and doubtful.
Since the Niners bye week, they've played the Titans, Colts and Bears. Defensive dvoa rankings of 29th, 13th, and 24th.
The Seahawks D ranks #1. This is gonna be a reality check for a Niners team who is purring on offense. Especially without Trent Williams, and possibly Kittle and Pearsal.
The big giant elephant in the room for those of us who are backing Seattle, is Sam Darnold. Are we going to see the Sam "I'm seeing ghosts" Darnold? Or the regular Sam Darnold who's been in the top 10 of qbr for most of the season?
I'll go with the later, the 49ers defense is nothing to write home about.
I understand that I'm going against Brock Purdy at home, I do think that he's very good.
Just a 1 unit regular ole bet. Good luck
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