🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

Fortunate Bills........now withjust under 6 mins left, typically at this stage, the team WITH the ball gets this possession plus the final one while NE will only get one...

great hedge call fubs !!  

HOME FAVS this week in NFL:

Rams lost su
Eagles lost su
   Colts won big
   Saints won
Jets lost su
Seahawks lost su
Cards lost su
Chargers lost su

Buffalo lost su

= 2 wins, 7  HOME FAV losses su 

Parity made a fairly big splash this week...

As a result I am redefining my ratings into just 3 tiers:

( M rating suggests the team is a coin-flipper just to win su in most games )

G  Lions Colts Niners Tampa Eagles Bills Packers Jags Commandos Denver

M  KC  Rams Houston Dallas  Minny  Sea  LAC  NE  Pitts  Balt  Bears Falcons

W  Saints  NYG  Bengals Browns Arizona Carolina Miami Jets Titans Raiders

NOTE: Some are rated lower than we might expect BECAUSE of current injury concerns. When these teams get various stars BACK in their lineups their respective ratings should improve.

MNF:

JAGS +7.5 -210 alt-line@B365  ....I think they keep it close but I've been wrong before

 NEXT week, week #6 is when I normally begin my NFL handicapping because it is at that starting point I feel I have sufficient data (5 full weeks) to form much stronger analysis/opinions.

I will begin week 6 early with this bet:

Lions +3.5 -170  alt-line@B365

@fubah2

     gl    

Week 06:

Colts -4 -155  alt-line@pinn

I’m gonna start tailing your alt line… yes sir….  

GL  on your MNF play *meow! @fubah2 

a bit risky but i took it          thanks fubah  

@fubah2

 GL tonight and in week 6!! 

@KellyM_1964

 Good to hear buddy.

Ive been tearing up the nfl contest ladder from like in the 1000,s spots to 500 now This is my time to shine as well i usaully wont play esrly I have a new way besides capping 4 sure but auso just a extra little nuget people can jeed just spotted it out. 

Still not you but working in it 

@Mskeets

 Dont do it always do your own research as well, understanably i look at the lrgends q,s definatly but also dont always see it But yes good idea follow him 4 sure Lesrn alot along the way

 Well in that case, I sincerely hope YOU win your bets! 

Starting with JAGS tonight....we hope!

WINNER!!!  

good call       thx for the winner !  

@fubah2

 Yes… yes… n.  Yes….my research is sorting the cappers…. I’ve 40 years of my picks are poor… hit alt play… small 10$ play… will put that 13$ now on Det alt line.   I’m a tad worried Detroit gonna take week off… but going anyway… my luck is I played Detroit large week 1… and they were unprepared… so I back off… and they cover every game after… but I leave alone after what they cost me week 1…. That’s how it goes for me…. Detroit alt line it is.    It’s all good… I stay in a budget… but you guys that seem to win at this are rare… I’ve had several cappers on here that are good in my opinion…. Lose handidly so far this season…. But most make it up in live bets etc… I don’t sit around and watch this stuff much… so I only see their plays on Thursday. … it is what it is…. I’m lucky in other aspects of life…. I’m just not a lucky gambler… I’m ok with it.    Thank you sir… appreciate your time n efforts.   

Bengals acquire QB Joe Flacco in trade with rival Browns

@fubah2

 Flacco is on a downslope you think? Was that trade anygood you expect?

Yes, of course.  Age catches up to everybody, though I think this deal and resulting effect is similar to aging Aaron Rogers.

Still, Browning wasn't working for the Bungles and something had to be done.  Who knows he may put together a few good games, although I have no idea how the other 10 offensive players on the field perform.   Given how Browning was performing I would think this is an upgrade pending how fast Flacco learns the offense...

UPDATE:

Joe Flacco was cemented as the team's new starting quarterback one day after the Bengals successfully completed a rare intradivision trade Tuesday.

I am expecting the EAGLES to win su tonight @NYG

However, the ML is far too high to risk at current odds, so this is a LEAN (possible live bet, maybe)

 I disregard team's W/L records in my capping almost completely because I find them to be irrelevant. 

What really matters is

  • the level of performance,

  • the result when breaks are accounted for,

  • the venue,

  • and against whom did they play.

In this regard, the GIANTS are better than their 1 - 4 record suggests and the EAGLES are not as good as their 4 - 1 record indicates. While I do think Philly will scrap to a win, it might not be pretty.  Giants and Dart have game, although tonight they could be hurt by missing two starting WR... If it appears their loss causes them to struggle too much I may grab EAGLES on an alt-line....  We shall see.....Watch & wait for me.... BoL with your bets, gents!