LIVE BET late-1Q, 7 - 0, LAC ball: LAC -225 game
LIVE hedge BET, late-3Q, 13 - 12, LAC moving deep: KC +175
So, 20 - 12 now....a one possession game for KC to stage a comeback...
So, 20 - 12 now....a one possession game for KC to stage a comeback...
Could've, but they missed the 2 pt conversion.
And now they are down 2 scores with only 5 mins left.
LAC wins SU
Could've, but they missed the 2 pt conversion.
And now they are down 2 scores with only 5 mins left.
LAC wins SU
W LIVE BET late-1Q, 7 - 0, LAC ball: LAC -225 game
L LIVE hedge BET, late-3Q, 13 - 12, LAC moving deep: KC +175
Split 1 - 1 tonight for 0.00u
W LIVE BET late-1Q, 7 - 0, LAC ball: LAC -225 game
L LIVE hedge BET, late-3Q, 13 - 12, LAC moving deep: KC +175
Split 1 - 1 tonight for 0.00u
Favorable sched for the CHIEFS:
9 true home games
7 true road games
1 neutral in Brazil
The entire AFC gets one extra HOME game this year, but KC gets 2
Favorable sched for the CHIEFS:
9 true home games
7 true road games
1 neutral in Brazil
The entire AFC gets one extra HOME game this year, but KC gets 2
@shadowmagic808
Hello shadowmagic and welcome to my season-long NFL thread!
Feel free to post comments as you wish.
@shadowmagic808
Hello shadowmagic and welcome to my season-long NFL thread!
Feel free to post comments as you wish.
Last year results:
123 - 49 71.5% ...juice from 49 losses just -7,949
[*Best Bets: 39 - 13 75.0%]
My capping method requires cumulative and sufficient stats/results before considering a bet (other than LIVE bets) Typically this means observing/analyzing September games before beginning in earnest in October (usually week 6 has been my best starting line) This "patient delay" is common for all my sports/leagues - and it has improved my annual bottom line profits significantly.
Ergo, Week 1 is a crapshoot!
All we can do is make "guesses" based on last year's results, off-season personnel changes, and current injury status of key players. And like all guessing, some win, some lose.
I will not force pre-game bets in my first few weeks, as I would be operating without stats/results that are needed to support my bet. (ie, roulette wheel guessing)
However, to determine if my capping logic and "educated guesses" are at least LEANING in a positive direction I have circled several teams/lines as LEANS (ie, could be promising, but not enough to warrant a pregame bet)
These are my anticipated mismatches that I have "circled" for Week 01 LEANS, which may or may not become LIVE bets: (no particular order)
Tampa, Miami, Wash ml, Cinci ml, Seattle, Denver ml, Rams, Buffy, Minny
Last year results:
123 - 49 71.5% ...juice from 49 losses just -7,949
[*Best Bets: 39 - 13 75.0%]
My capping method requires cumulative and sufficient stats/results before considering a bet (other than LIVE bets) Typically this means observing/analyzing September games before beginning in earnest in October (usually week 6 has been my best starting line) This "patient delay" is common for all my sports/leagues - and it has improved my annual bottom line profits significantly.
Ergo, Week 1 is a crapshoot!
All we can do is make "guesses" based on last year's results, off-season personnel changes, and current injury status of key players. And like all guessing, some win, some lose.
I will not force pre-game bets in my first few weeks, as I would be operating without stats/results that are needed to support my bet. (ie, roulette wheel guessing)
However, to determine if my capping logic and "educated guesses" are at least LEANING in a positive direction I have circled several teams/lines as LEANS (ie, could be promising, but not enough to warrant a pregame bet)
These are my anticipated mismatches that I have "circled" for Week 01 LEANS, which may or may not become LIVE bets: (no particular order)
Tampa, Miami, Wash ml, Cinci ml, Seattle, Denver ml, Rams, Buffy, Minny
2024 NFL: 123 - 49 71.5% ...juice from 49 losses just -7,949
2023 NFL: 303 - 140 68.4%
2024 NFL: 123 - 49 71.5% ...juice from 49 losses just -7,949
2023 NFL: 303 - 140 68.4%
Posted by fubah2 My LEAN to Dolphins looks like a writeoff! Go look at the lopsided HT stats! sure was looking at live colts but not closely watching... did notice 2 turnovers so thought i would wait and see... am kind a set for the day and mind is little foggy... good luck rest the way .....
Posted by fubah2 My LEAN to Dolphins looks like a writeoff! Go look at the lopsided HT stats! sure was looking at live colts but not closely watching... did notice 2 turnovers so thought i would wait and see... am kind a set for the day and mind is little foggy... good luck rest the way .....
30 - 0 early 4Q....
Are the COLTS that good? ...or are the DOLPHINS really this BAD??
30 - 0 early 4Q....
Are the COLTS that good? ...or are the DOLPHINS really this BAD??
HUGE LUCKY BREAK for Steelers gaining a fumble rec on a KO...then score again for the second TD in 50 seconds....
Can the mighty Jets respond?
HUGE LUCKY BREAK for Steelers gaining a fumble rec on a KO...then score again for the second TD in 50 seconds....
Can the mighty Jets respond?
Bad beat loss.......It happens...
Bad beat loss.......It happens...
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