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🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

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Posted: #6501

Grabbed some Bills at +5.5 live -127 

 

 

i had under 64.5 lined up and settled for 63.5 -110 

 

let’s go bills make history tonight! GL on your wagers brotha. win

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Posted: #6502

Quote Originally Posted by JJWoods:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: And now it's time to turn attention to the Conference Finals... hoping for some great finishes…   Have an awesome Sunday my man  For me, and I’m a poor NFL capper, so grain of salt….it seems, why would i mess with the Reid/Mahomes tandem, a KC home crowd, and Spagnolia with that talented defense? History has a way of repeating itself.. im leaning strong to KC (no play yet).  James Cook should hit a prop or two, I think Butker does as well.

@JJWoods

JJ, if you took some JAMES COOK props you should be doing OK! an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #6503

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by JJWoods: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: And now it's time to turn attention to the Conference Finals... hoping for some great finishes…   Have an awesome Sunday my man  For me, and I’m a poor NFL capper, so grain of salt….it seems, why would i mess with the Reid/Mahomes tandem, a KC home crowd, and Spagnolia with that talented defense? History has a way of repeating itself.. im leaning strong to KC (no play yet).  James Cook should hit a prop or two, I think Butker does as well. @JJWoods JJ, if you took some JAMES COOK props you should be doing OK!

@fubah2

 Yes sir cool

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Posted: #6504

WOW!  That VERY CONTROVERSIAL 4th down replay review call might have just handed the CHIEFS the AFC Championship at home.

 

AGAIN.

 
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Posted: #6505

Divisionals:

7 - 3    [3 - 1 *Best Bets]   (Losers: +105 hedge; +215 hedge; *Det -375)

               ^Note: Gained +280 hedge bet win on Washy, end of 1Q, down 3 - 7 

WildCards:

4 - 1      [1 - 1 *Best Bets]   (Loser: *Vikes -135)

 

Playoffs:  11 - 4   an_2drinks  [ 4 - 2 *BB ]

 

* pending....Bills  +12.5 -250 alt-line

 

 
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Posted: #6506

Funah, Nice win Bills +12.5. moneyeyes

 
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Posted: #6507

an_cheers

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #6508

Quote Originally Posted by JJWoods:

Grabbed some Bills at +5.5 live -127     

i had under 64.5 lined up and settled for 63.5 -110   

let’s go bills make history tonight! GL on your wagers brotha.

JJ  WINNERS!    an_clap

 
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Posted: #6509

Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:

I got KC -1 Large  Hard to beat a good team twice angle . KC has a better defense and they are at home .

cool  Another WINNER!  an_clap

 
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Posted: #6510

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Funah, Nice win Bills +12.5.

TY, Europa!  peace_5

 

 

Now we have to wait two weeks to watch the EAGLES avenge their narrow loss from 2 years ago.

 
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Posted: #6511

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Chiefs lead 7 - 0 early....mid 1Q, BUFFY ball....

LIVE BET: Bills +12.5 -250 alt

an_happydude

 
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Posted: #6512

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Funah, Nice win Bills +12.5. TY, Europa!      Now we have to wait two weeks to watch the EAGLES avenge their narrow loss from 2 years ago.

Two weeks are pretty needed for Eagles' banged up key players, like center Cam Jurgens and Jalen Hurts..., to get rested and healed. On the flip side, I have some concerns over kicker Jake Elliott, his record on 50+ yard field goal isn't very impressive. But overall, Eagles might look good to go. 

 
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Posted: #6513

Give Andy Reid 2 weeks to prepare and…well, you’re screwed.  an_popcorn Initial lean to KC… although Eagles were impressive today for a change. 

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Posted: #6514

I had this KC -1…looks like it’s KC -2.  Injury shakedown will be interesting. Some wild conference championships! 

Go get em Fubah peace_5

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Posted: #6515

Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333:

an_cheers

Thanks, PG!

 

Conferences:

1 - 0

 

Divisionals:

7 - 3     [3 - 1 *Best Bets]   (Losers: +105 hedge; +215 hedge; *Det -375)

               ^Note: Gained +280 hedge bet win on Washy, end of 1Q, down 3 - 7 

WildCards:

4 - 1      [1 - 1 *Best Bets]   (Loser: *Vikes -135)

 

cool Playoffs:  12 - 4    75%   [ 4 - 2 *BB ]

 

 
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Posted: #6516

an_worship  an_worship  an_worship

 
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Posted: #6517

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Funah, Nice win Bills +12.5. TY, Europa!      Now we have to wait two weeks to watch the EAGLES avenge their narrow loss from 2 years ago. Two weeks are pretty needed for Eagles' banged up key players, like center Cam Jurgens and Jalen Hurts..., to get rested and healed. On the flip side, I have some concerns over kicker Jake Elliott, his record on 50+ yard field goal isn't very impressive. But overall, Eagles might look good to go.

His replacement was hobbling badly too.

I wonder if they try to entice retired Eagles center, KELCE, back for one more game against his brother and a chance to to even the score!

 
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Posted: #6518

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Funah, Nice win Bills +12.5. TY, Europa!      Now we have to wait two weeks to watch the EAGLES avenge their narrow loss from 2 years ago. Two weeks are pretty needed for Eagles' banged up key players, like center Cam Jurgens and Jalen Hurts..., to get rested and healed. On the flip side, I have some concerns over kicker Jake Elliott, his record on 50+ yard field goal isn't very impressive. But overall, Eagles might look good to go. His replacement was hobbling badly too. I wonder if they try to entice retired Eagles center, KELCE, back for one more game against his brother and a chance to to even the score!

Jason? Dude is probably so rusty in doing all those TV commercials.

Joking aside Fubah, would you rather take +1.5 at -110 vigorish, or money line at +115?  

 
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Posted: #6519

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 

His replacement was hobbling badly too. I wonder if they try to entice retired Eagles center, KELCE, back for one more game against his brother and a chance to to even the score!

Jason? Dude is probably so rusty in doing all those TV commercials. Joking aside Fubah, would you rather take +1.5 at -110 vigorish, or money line at +115?

@Europa

cool Hi, Europa!

Opinions on that will vary, but personally, I have found more success/profit going for a winning bet, rather than chasing the "plus money" IOW when I play dogs I want the points to give me a greater shot at a winning bet.  And in this particular case, because it is a bonafide COIN-FLIPPER regardless what anyone else says, I will in all probability buy points to make it even stronger - likely at +3 or even +4.....but I am curious to see how the public moves the line and if waiting for more money to come in on KC can give me cheaper juice on a +3 alt-line.....we shall see...

BoL whatever you decide! an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #6520

@fubah2

 Brother, looks like you are leaning towards Eagles then is that right? 

 
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Posted: #6521

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

@Europa  Hi, Europa! Opinions on that will vary, but personally, I have found more success/profit going for a winning bet, rather than chasing the "plus money" IOW when I play dogs I want the points to give me a greater shot at a winning bet.  And in this particular case, because it is a bonafide COIN-FLIPPER regardless what anyone else says, I will in all probability buy points to make it even stronger - likely at +3 or even +4.....but I am curious to see how the public moves the line and if waiting for more money to come in on KC can give me cheaper juice on a +3 alt-line.....we shall see... BoL whatever you decide!

Fubah, I can see your types of betting which are very profitable for you, congrats. But I don't do those kind of risking high juice alt-line or in-game plays as you have been doing. Thanks for your reply, as majority of early money is coming for the KC spread. Good luck on your bets! 

 
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Posted: #6522

cool Super-Duper Bowl

 

For ME personally, here are some key stats I favor:

 

Eagles

17 - 3 .850 win pct
+210 net pt diff    an_clap(+10.5 mean avg!!!)

 

9 - 2 vs ALL TEAMS with winning records (ytd)
an_light      **only 5 of those 11 were HOME games
+99 pts diff vs ALL TEAMS with winning records (ytd)

 

 


KC Chiefs

17 - 2 .895 win pct
+101 net pt diff (+5.3 mean avg) *I shaved off -30 from meaningless 38 pt loss at Denver

 

10 - 2 vs ALL TEAMS with winning records (ytd)
          **but 8 of those 12 were HOME games!an_lightening
+47 pts diff vs ALL TEAMS with winning records (ytd)

 

 
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Posted: #6523

cool Here are more key stats I favor:

 

Eagles

4 - 2   @teams with a winning record (ytd) - includes a neutral win
+27 pts diff @teams with a winning record (ytd) - includes a neutral win

 

KC Chiefs

an_speechless only 2 - 2  @teams with a winning record (ytd)
only +9 pts diff @teams with a winning record (ytd)

 

 
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Posted: #6524

Quote Originally Posted by Tailer187:

@fubah2  Brother, looks like you are leaning towards Eagles then is that right?

@Tailer187

cool Yes, that is correct (EAGLES) although NOT NOW....I believe the line on KC is likely to rise a bit and I am waiting for a slightly better dog line (pts)....at which point I will still pay a bit more juice to move it up to +3 or maybe even +4.....but all that is later.  We have almost 2 weeks. No rush.

 
 
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Posted: #6525

@fubah2

 Appreciate you as always brother! Will keep an eye on you an_wink

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