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Thursday Night Thunder & "Moon" Lightning PLAY!!!!!!!!

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Posted: #1
The Dolphinians of Little Cuba +9
The Dolphinians of Little Cuba ML +310

Look guys, I don't like betting against Brady and the boys either.  But this is as good a spot as any.
Short week for starters.......Dolphins rolled last week and are riding high on the coaching and philosophy change.  Confidence is a big factor in performance, and finally the Fins have some.  They should be able to run the ball some, but the 2 tight end sets should open up some big plays.  Landry may shine once again out of the slot. 
The Pats are the Pats.  But they did play a tough game last week against the hard hitting Jets.  Short week and at 6-0 the motivation could be lacking in this one.  Hopefully Lewis does not play.  They should struggle to run the ball and if they get off to a sluggish start, the Dolphins will take this game outright.




 
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Posted: #2
Quote Originally Posted by St2ee:

The Dolphinians of Little Cuba +9
The Dolphinians of Little Cuba ML +310

Look guys, I don't like betting against Brady and the boys either.  But this is as good a spot as any.
Short week for starters.......Dolphins rolled last week and are riding high on the coaching and philosophy change.  Confidence is a big factor in performance, and finally the Fins have some.  They should be able to run the ball some, but the 2 tight end sets should open up some big plays.  Landry may shine once again out of the slot. 
The Pats are the Pats.  But they did play a tough game last week against the hard hitting Jets.  Short week and at 6-0 the motivation could be lacking in this one.  Hopefully Lewis does not play.  They should struggle to run the ball and if they get off to a sluggish start, the Dolphins will take this game outright.





Always enjoy reading your thoughts bud.
 
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Posted: #3
I will wait when the Pats visit Miami ... as their 2-3 SU 3-2 ATS last 5 games at Miami shows ...

Think this one belongs to NE ... Brady 8-0 SU in TNF ... Like Pats chances to cover ... 4-1 ATS last 5 at Foxborough ...

GL!!!
 
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Posted: #4
The Dan Campbell train stops tomorrow. The Phins haven't played on synthetic turf this season and will be in a disadvantage. They have played only on natural grass all season long so far. Also Tom Brady doesn't lose 3 ATS's in a row. The play tomorrow is to throw the kitchen sink on the Pats up to -10. Pats win by at least 2 TD's especially on prime-time.
 
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Posted: #5
 
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Posted: #6

BOL Eazy ee. 

Not sure on this one.  I'm taking over and will probably tease Miami + the 9. 

 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by No_FUN_League:


Always enjoy reading your thoughts bud.
Cheers my man 
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by alecboyh:

I will wait when the Pats visit Miami ... as their 2-3 SU 3-2 ATS last 5 games at Miami shows ...

Think this one belongs to NE ... Brady 8-0 SU in TNF ... Like Pats chances to cover ... 4-1 ATS last 5 at Foxborough ...

GL!!!
Pats D is venerable, and the Fins are hot.  if Miami wins this game does your bet go out the window?  Or you thinking sweep?
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by unirobber:

The Dan Campbell train stops tomorrow. The Phins haven't played on synthetic turf this season and will be in a disadvantage. They have played only on natural grass all season long so far. Also Tom Brady doesn't lose 3 ATS's in a row. The play tomorrow is to throw the kitchen sink on the Pats up to -10. Pats win by at least 2 TD's especially on prime-time.
Synthetic Turf? I am trying not to laugh.  Look, there may be some effect on a team that plays on old school astro turf and then suddenly moves to grass(may slow them down a bit) but moving from grass to poly-turf???? Not a chance in hell that has any negative effect.  If anything it will help their speed guys like Landry 

As for Brady losing 3 ats in a row?.....Means nothing to him, not even a thought in that pretty little head full of championship dreams and Brazilian women.
 
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by alecboyh:

I will wait when the Pats visit Miami ... as their 2-3 SU 3-2 ATS last 5 games at Miami shows ...

Think this one belongs to NE ... Brady 8-0 SU in TNF ... Like Pats chances to cover ... 4-1 ATS last 5 at Foxborough ...

GL!!!

 

Agree  Pats cover at home

 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by alecboyh:

I will wait when the Pats visit Miami ... as their 2-3 SU 3-2 ATS last 5 games at Miami shows ...

Think this one belongs to NE ... Brady 8-0 SU in TNF ... Like Pats chances to cover ... 4-1 ATS last 5 at Foxborough ...

GL!!!


But only 8-9 ATS at home better than a TD favorite since 2012 season.
 
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Posted: #12
Not a chance in hell Dolphins win tonight
 
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Posted: #13
 
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The Dolphins have the highest DVOA rank variance. In other words their statistical #'s vary the most week to week. This is mostly attributed to the coaching change.

Cappers should try to disregard #'s from weeks 1-5 under Philbin, this is a revitalized team.

Devil's advocate, this spread was pegged Pats-10 before the season started. 

BOL tonight
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by St2ee:

The Dolphinians of Little Cuba +9 The Dolphinians of Little Cuba ML +310 Look guys, I don't like betting against Brady and the boys either.  But this is as good a spot as any.Short week for starters.......Dolphins rolled last week and are riding high on the coaching and philosophy change.  Confidence is a big factor in performance, and finally the Fins have some.  They should be able to run the ball some, but the 2 tight end sets should open up some big plays.  Landry may shine once again out of the slot.  The Pats are the Pats.  But they did play a tough game last week against the hard hitting Jets.  Short week and at 6-0 the motivation could be lacking in this one.  Hopefully Lewis does not play.  They should struggle to run the ball and if they get off to a sluggish start, the Dolphins will take this game outright.

Miami's D starting to play up to capabilities. They have a running game to compliment their underrated QB, and wrs(very good, Landry and Matthews). They've actually got the whole package, save for a shut down #1 corner. I'm away from this one. Gl.
 
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Posted: #16

St2ee - big follower here and you've been great thus far this year. Thanks for all the

A few things to remember:

*It's a short week for the Dolphins too!

*Pats at home = enough said (delete that ML play ASAP!)

*Pats are still on their "KILL EVERYBODY"  tour because of Deflategate.

*I agree it'll be closer than a 9 point game as the Pats/Brady/BB don't care about the score, only wins.

BOL ATS tonight - Pats win by 7 IMO

 

 

 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

Melosssss Buddy!!!!! 
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by Dogjimbo:

BOL Eazy ee. 

Not sure on this one.  I'm taking over and will probably tease Miami + the 9. 

Best of luck in whatever you choose to do Dog my man 
 
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Posted: #19
St2ee good luck today. Dolphins!!
 
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Posted: #20
GL St2ee

Go Flipper!
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:



But only 8-9 ATS at home better than a TD favorite since 2012 season.
 The Claw.......You are wise.  
People tend to look at the surface stats featured on trends by Covers.  We must dig much much deeper to get a true picture of value
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by Christoph17:

Not a chance in hell Dolphins win tonight
 you may just wake up to the devil
 
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Posted: #23
Ballzee bet ML on Flipper...  BOL  
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

The Dolphins have the highest DVOA rank variance. In other words their statistical #'s vary the most week to week. This is mostly attributed to the coaching change.

Cappers should try to disregard #'s from weeks 1-5 under Philbin, this is a revitalized team.

Devil's advocate, this spread was pegged Pats-10 before the season started. 


BOL tonight
Revitalized 
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by Igglez:


Miami's D starting to play up to capabilities. They have a running game to compliment their underrated QB, and wrs(very good, Landry and Matthews). They've actually got the whole package, save for a shut down #1 corner. I'm away from this one. Gl.
if Parker could ever get on the field, I think he could also make a few big plays. Kid is going to be a stud one day
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