Biggest favorite EVER for team with 4-3 record (data goes back 25 years)
Seattle Super at home
Russell Wilson at QB: 19-2 SU at home (15-6 ATS)
Seattle laying over TD at home: 18-6-1 ATS (since 2005)
Zero Win Teams add zeros to your winnings!
(Oakland) NFL winless underdogs (week 6 or later): 63% ATS (97-57-5 since 1992)
***OTHER
Oakland’s worst start to a season since 1962 (started that season 0-13)
Oakland has scored more than 14 points ONLY ONCE this season
Raiders outgained Browns by 81 yards but Raiders were down 23-6 until Oakland TD with 7 seconds left in game.
(Oakland) NFL road dogs off road loss: 62% ATS (164-99-3 since 2003)
Seattle (starting in 2005): 68% ATS at home (54-25-2) On road during same period: 41% (33-48-1) If simply play on at home, against on road: 102-58-3 (64% winners)
Biggest favorite EVER for team with 4-3 record (data goes back 25 years)
Seattle Super at home
Russell Wilson at QB: 19-2 SU at home (15-6 ATS)
Seattle laying over TD at home: 18-6-1 ATS (since 2005)
Zero Win Teams add zeros to your winnings!
(Oakland) NFL winless underdogs (week 6 or later): 63% ATS (97-57-5 since 1992)
***OTHER
Oakland’s worst start to a season since 1962 (started that season 0-13)
Oakland has scored more than 14 points ONLY ONCE this season
Raiders outgained Browns by 81 yards but Raiders were down 23-6 until Oakland TD with 7 seconds left in game.
(Oakland) NFL road dogs off road loss: 62% ATS (164-99-3 since 2003)
Seattle (starting in 2005): 68% ATS at home (54-25-2) On road during same period: 41% (33-48-1) If simply play on at home, against on road: 102-58-3 (64% winners)
Baltimore’s 24 points given up last week most this season by Ravens. Baltimore scoring defense: #2
Ravens have given up 7 TD passes this season – least in NFL
CB Jimmy Smith OUT
Smith was on his way to a likely Pro Bowl appearance, and now joins Asa
Jackson on the sidelines from that position. Unless someone is signed
this week, the rotation is down to Lardarius Webb, still not back to
form following a back injury; Dominique Franks, who re-signed on October
7 after being cut back in August; and Chykie Brown, who has been
inactive the last two weeks (via Pregame.com’s David Malinsky)
Ravens: 4th road game in last 5
Steelers gained 639 yards of offense last week Colts did have key DB injuries during game. Steelers own DBs struggled. Big questions in Pitt secondary.
(Pitt) NFL teams playing 3rd straight home game, going for 3rd straight win: 36% ATS (31-56-1 since 1990)
(Pitt) NFL teams off win as home underdog: 42% ATS (230-314-17 since 1994)
Baltimore’s 24 points given up last week most this season by Ravens. Baltimore scoring defense: #2
Ravens have given up 7 TD passes this season – least in NFL
CB Jimmy Smith OUT
Smith was on his way to a likely Pro Bowl appearance, and now joins Asa
Jackson on the sidelines from that position. Unless someone is signed
this week, the rotation is down to Lardarius Webb, still not back to
form following a back injury; Dominique Franks, who re-signed on October
7 after being cut back in August; and Chykie Brown, who has been
inactive the last two weeks (via Pregame.com’s David Malinsky)
Ravens: 4th road game in last 5
Steelers gained 639 yards of offense last week Colts did have key DB injuries during game. Steelers own DBs struggled. Big questions in Pitt secondary.
(Pitt) NFL teams playing 3rd straight home game, going for 3rd straight win: 36% ATS (31-56-1 since 1990)
(Pitt) NFL teams off win as home underdog: 42% ATS (230-314-17 since 1994)
NY GIANTS: Victor Cruz ... This is
a tough blow for an offense that was already struggling. Cruz was the
only WR that could stretch the field, averaging 14.7 on his 23
receptions, so not only is there the downgrade at his particular
position, but the fact that defenses can also squat more on Reuben
Randle. Rookie Odell Beckham has some potential, but a hamstring injury
kept him out of training camp, so his learning curve is a steep one.
Preston Parker has limited upside. Corey Washington is another rookie,
from a small school (Newberry), and has yet to catch a pass. Kevin
Ogletree was signed yesterday, but he is a journeyman now wearing his
fourth different uniform in three seasons, and is not much more than a
limited patch. The absence of Cruz may mean more here than his overall
abilities would call for, because the pieces are not there to replace
him. (via David Malinsky)
*** OTHER
(Giants) Since 2001, NFL Monday Night Home underdogs: 32-46 ATS
Much better at home over Luck’s career (reg season and playoffs) Won 17-4 SU (15-6 ATS) at home; 11-11 SU on road (12-10 ATS)
Andrew Luck: 26-14 ATS during regular season in his career
Dave Malinksy feels as if Andrew Luck has played better than any QB in the NFL this season.
(Colts) NFL teams favored week after playing Mike Tomlin’s Steelers: 16-37 against the spread.
Colts rushing before last week seemed OK,
but Colts had not trailed since September 15, a span of 307:47 of game
time … vs. Pittsburgh (behind most of the game) only 7 rushing attempts
from RBs.
Colts CB Vontae David is expected to play
(was hurt last week vs. Pitt). Pregame Pro and injury expert Stephen
Nover believes Davis is the most important player on Indy’s defense, and
considers him better than Darrelle Revis!
NY GIANTS: Victor Cruz ... This is
a tough blow for an offense that was already struggling. Cruz was the
only WR that could stretch the field, averaging 14.7 on his 23
receptions, so not only is there the downgrade at his particular
position, but the fact that defenses can also squat more on Reuben
Randle. Rookie Odell Beckham has some potential, but a hamstring injury
kept him out of training camp, so his learning curve is a steep one.
Preston Parker has limited upside. Corey Washington is another rookie,
from a small school (Newberry), and has yet to catch a pass. Kevin
Ogletree was signed yesterday, but he is a journeyman now wearing his
fourth different uniform in three seasons, and is not much more than a
limited patch. The absence of Cruz may mean more here than his overall
abilities would call for, because the pieces are not there to replace
him. (via David Malinsky)
*** OTHER
(Giants) Since 2001, NFL Monday Night Home underdogs: 32-46 ATS
Much better at home over Luck’s career (reg season and playoffs) Won 17-4 SU (15-6 ATS) at home; 11-11 SU on road (12-10 ATS)
Andrew Luck: 26-14 ATS during regular season in his career
Dave Malinksy feels as if Andrew Luck has played better than any QB in the NFL this season.
(Colts) NFL teams favored week after playing Mike Tomlin’s Steelers: 16-37 against the spread.
Colts rushing before last week seemed OK,
but Colts had not trailed since September 15, a span of 307:47 of game
time … vs. Pittsburgh (behind most of the game) only 7 rushing attempts
from RBs.
Colts CB Vontae David is expected to play
(was hurt last week vs. Pitt). Pregame Pro and injury expert Stephen
Nover believes Davis is the most important player on Indy’s defense, and
considers him better than Darrelle Revis!
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