Staring straight at the end of the barrel

This might be one of the sketchiest TNF game this season. Both team's season are on the line, if you just do a little digging for both teams you will get a lot of stats that will convince you to favor them and take them for this game and that will lead to some biases for your own brain. We all know the stat of Campbell and Goff are 14-0 SU coming off a loss, and you also have teams winnings against KC Chiefs that goes on the road after are 1-13 SU just this two stats can immediately convince you to take Lions ML. But where is the value at -165? Also Lions defense are part of the bottom 15 of the league, they allowed total of 75pts last 3 home games and against the Cowboys who scored total of 87pts last 3 games against superbowl contenders. Could be an easy over right? or Cowboys +3.5 might be the sharp play? Recency bias will lead you to Cowboys +3.5 easily.

But this is not the league we live in - everything we see is a lie. 

Also when was the last time you see the public going against the Lions at home? I cant even remember. 75% of the bets are on the Cowboys +3 or +3.5 and the missing piece to complete the puzzle is Shawn Hochuli. His officiating will greatly affect this game's outcome. 

Shawn Hochuli the head official whenever he is officiating spreads with 50% or more of the public bets are 11-20 ATS or 37% and when this team is on the road this goes down to 4-17 ATS or 19%. His career when officiating is 54-40-2 total score going under and since 2023 he is 10-6 favoring the under. He is 43-50-3 ATS and 48-44 SU for home teams.

My play is Lions -3.5 and under 54.5. Watch how suddenly Lions defense wakes up and this game goes back and forth punting or reaching the red zone but fails to convert for a touchdown. Backdoor cover for the Lions 28-24. Leaning heavily on Cowboys +1.5 1H and will look for value on Lions ML live play. The streak for Campbell will live on after tonight. 

Locking in:
Lions -3.5 
under 54.5
Cowboys +1.5 1H
under 27.5 1H (this is too high for a first half imo, you get 2 scoreless possessions and then the 1h goes under.) 1h can be 14-10 cowboys.


Good luck! 

The Hochuli under angle is for real, that is where im at on this game

Cowboys +3 is being boosted now on some books, BetMGM is offering it at +100. begging everyone to put more stacks on the visiting Cowboys. Yikes. 

Shawn’s father, Ed, was widely regarded as one of the most corrupt officials the sport has ever seen.

By the end, he couldn’t even hide it anymore.

Then, almost immediately after Ed retired in 2017, Shawn was promoted to head referee in 2018.

That wasn’t a coincidence, it was a calculated move to keep the same corruption alive!

  thanks for the write up W2G BOL on the plays 

Last 6 road games of the cowboys went 6-0 over for the 1H. I say its about time.

Much appreciated Way2Good 

teams winnings against KC Chiefs that goes on the road after are 1-13 SU

i feel like this trend isnt relevant anymore. the chiefs are having a down year, same with lions. time will tell. GL on ur play 

over is the only play indoors both teams lack defence and they will go for it on 4th down if they are at mid field welcome to the knew NFL 38-31 type score

A backdoor cover is when a team scores late to cover the spread as an underdog. Not as a favorite!

Are you saying Ed and Shawn Hochuli  masterminded the twin tower attacks?

@CravinMorehead

 There were no planes, only the illusion of planes projected through CGI technology.

Upon "impact" the explosives were detonated.

Hochuli's son 

@SportsIntuition

 Damn you smoking dat  good shit

@GolfPro23

 Covering a spread can be applied to both underdogs or favorites. A backdoor cover can either be done by any of the two. Is it your first time betting? 

@SportsIntuition

 Pass it next to me brother. I need a hit.

Amon Ra St. Brown is active tonight!!!!