I know you all haven’t heard from me a lot this year. It’s because I have been busy with my new business and focus on capping games and winning. First and foremost, in the NFL, defense win Championship, period, end of story. Just look at the Ravens and Tampa Bay with first Super Bowl wins. No offense but stellar defense. Or the NYG against the unstoppable Patriots a few years back. What’s my point? I have been reading and hearing all about how hot the 49ers are and how horrible Seahawks offense were the past few weeks. And yet the line hasn’t moved a bit when in fact majority of the bets came in so far is on the 49ers. You know what, each time I hear on TV or radio saying this red hot SF and how horrible SEA offense is, I luv it. It paints the exact picture the public saw and want to hear. As a gambler, I think different. And those who said I am homer, be it. However, being a homer I know as much about SF and SEA as anyone can. So gamblers put your thinking cap on. If you can’t think, then let me share some tips with you. Hopefully this will save some of you $ so you will be able to bet in the Super Bowl.
Everyone has been talking about how Seattle beats SF in Seattle without Crabtree in the line up? And how dominating SF has been on their 8-games winning streak. Throw all of these away. These 2 not are not only rivals but they are in the same division. So when they play each others, you can throw out all previous games vs other opponents. Just like when NE plays Baltimore or Pitt plays Cinn. All previous games do not matter because rivalries in the same division know each others too well. Yes, SF beat GB in the 2nd coldest game on record. But if only GB cornerback didn’t drop that pass from Kapernick on the last drive from SF, we wouldn’t have this conversation. So SF were lucky to get by GB. They go on to face a dominating Panthers defense and won easily. However, Panthers is only good with their 7 fronts. Their secondary ranked 6th (whereas SEA ranked #1) and GB was #27 in the league. That’s why SF was able to exploid these defenses and utilize Boldin/Crabtree combo attack, whhich is the bulk of their offense plus Vernon and Gore. So let’s just throw out these games and let’s talk about head to head match ups between SEA vs SF. And I will even throw out the 2 blowout wins SEA had against SF in at Century Link. Let’s look at the games in SF to be more fair. In both games won by SF at Candlesticks last year and this year, they were by 6 and 2 points, respectively. But let look at the best measuring stick game which was week 14 in SF. SF had all their arsenals back correct? Yet, they beat the Hawks by the smallest margin of 2 points. And if it wasn’t for Gore 51-yard break-through run in the last 2 minutes, SEA would have came out on top in that game and potentially eliminated SF from the playoff. Gore rushed 16 times for 59 yards before that last run for an average of 3.7 yrd/run...not a real big threat to the Hawks front 7. Bolding was targeted 8x for 6 receptions in that game while Crabtree was target 8x for only 4 receptions (50%). YEP, 4 catches at his own field. And Davis were targeted 3x for 2 catches of 21 yards. So all of these talks about how SF has all their weapons back for this revenge game is lunatic. If they were that poorly at their own turf, do you think they will be better on the road???? They did have all their weapons back and were play at their own field, yet SEA was winning until last 2 minutes. Let me remind you all that In the NFL, playing on the road is a total different animal. Let alone playing 4 consecutive games on the road and in one the most, if not the most, hostile environment in the NFL. Let me assured you, SEA won’t win this game with Wilson alone. So you can throw away his passing attempts/completion stats. He job is only to manage the game and not turn the ball over. And he is doing quite well at that. SEA is all about running the ball and defense. Where SEA win in this game is its defense and waiting for Kapernick to make mistakes. Which I believe he will with the noise from the 12th man. Once he does (and I believe he will make 1 or 2 interceptions in this game) SEA will have good field positions. Kapernick is not a good QB under pressured compares with Wilson. When under pressured, Kapernick looses his poise and will spiral out of control with turn overs. My prediction is that this won’t be a blowout game. However, it won’t be a 3 points win either. I predict SEA will win by 6-9 points. And it will be an OVER game. All because of a couple of turn overs by SF. One more thing not to be forgotten is how good SEA special team does both on the returns and its punting unit. They can and will put SF deep in the end zones all night long. And look for Wilson to have a few options plays in this game. My final score prediction is SEA 26-20….SEA defense will keep SF out of the end zone on their final drive this time to preserve that win. And that’s why Vegas has been keeping the line at 3.5 to entice SF backers into their trap. GL to all. Let the game begin!