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    Saturday simpilicity

    Riderx
    Europa
    Fuse
    D-Town
    Coloneljim
    ...
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    Posts: 13
     
    Riderx
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2025 - 12:38 AM ET #1

    simple basic stuff...

     

    after week 13, 11-win favs of more than -14 w/a total less than 45:  4-0 ats & 0-3-1 o/u

    after week 14:  0-3 o/u

    Balty-20, Under 41

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    10-win teams on a 3-game losing streak, off a home game...D or F, H or A:

    3-0 s/u & ats

    Pitt+2 on the m/l

    *****teams avg'd 176.7 ry/gm & 0 TO's...look for Pitt to get back to basics & pound the rock

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    parlay, tease, round-robin, whatever

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    simple basic stuff...

     

    after week 13, 11-win favs of more than -14 w/a total less than 45:  4-0 ats & 0-3-1 o/u

    after week 14:  0-3 o/u

    Balty-20, Under 41

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    10-win teams on a 3-game losing streak, off a home game...D or F, H or A:

    3-0 s/u & ats

    Pitt+2 on the m/l

    *****teams avg'd 176.7 ry/gm & 0 TO's...look for Pitt to get back to basics & pound the rock

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    parlay, tease, round-robin, whatever

     
    Europa
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2025 - 12:53 AM ET #2

    Quote Originally Posted by Riderx:

    simple basic stuff...   after week 13, 11-win favs of more than -14 w/a total less than 45:  4-0 ats & 0-3-1 o/u after week 14:  0-3 o/u Balty-20, Under 41 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10-win teams on a 3-game losing streak, off a home game...D or F, H or A: 3-0 s/u & ats Pitt+2 on the m/l *****teams avg'd 176.7 ry/gm & 0 TO's...look for Pitt to get back to basics & pound the rock --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- parlay, tease, round-robin, whatever

    You meant Pitt +2 and the m/l? 

    I have PIT +11.5 pts and CIN +9 in two separate teasers, would like to see Pittsburgh winning less than nine points.   

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    Quote Originally Posted by Riderx:

    simple basic stuff...   after week 13, 11-win favs of more than -14 w/a total less than 45:  4-0 ats & 0-3-1 o/u after week 14:  0-3 o/u Balty-20, Under 41 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10-win teams on a 3-game losing streak, off a home game...D or F, H or A: 3-0 s/u & ats Pitt+2 on the m/l *****teams avg'd 176.7 ry/gm & 0 TO's...look for Pitt to get back to basics & pound the rock --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- parlay, tease, round-robin, whatever

    You meant Pitt +2 and the m/l? 

    I have PIT +11.5 pts and CIN +9 in two separate teasers, would like to see Pittsburgh winning less than nine points.   

     
    Riderx
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2025 - 2:14 AM ET #3

    @Europa

     Cincy+9 might not be good & this might clarify it all.  First, Tomlin & Pitt do not want to go into the playoffs on a 4-game losing streak, all they have to do is point to Philly last year.  And second, I just came up with this:

    No matter what the line, road teams w/a total more than 42 off an OT game had TOP more than 40min & between 30 & 39 FD's:

    0-3 s/u, 0-3 ats & 0-3 o/u

    s/ulosses by -12, -23 & -17

    home teams (Pitt) avg'd 181 ry/gm & 0.3 vs 2.0 to/gm

    Pitt+2, Pitt m/l, Under 48

    Pitt alt lines -1, -4, -7, -10

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    @Europa

     Cincy+9 might not be good & this might clarify it all.  First, Tomlin & Pitt do not want to go into the playoffs on a 4-game losing streak, all they have to do is point to Philly last year.  And second, I just came up with this:

    No matter what the line, road teams w/a total more than 42 off an OT game had TOP more than 40min & between 30 & 39 FD's:

    0-3 s/u, 0-3 ats & 0-3 o/u

    s/ulosses by -12, -23 & -17

    home teams (Pitt) avg'd 181 ry/gm & 0.3 vs 2.0 to/gm

    Pitt+2, Pitt m/l, Under 48

    Pitt alt lines -1, -4, -7, -10

     
    Europa
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2025 - 2:31 AM ET #4

    @Riderx

    I have the window of Cincy +9/Pittsburgh +11.5 for two teasers, think i take my 20.5 points of window. Thanks though and good luck.  

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    @Riderx

    I have the window of Cincy +9/Pittsburgh +11.5 for two teasers, think i take my 20.5 points of window. Thanks though and good luck.  

     
    Riderx
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2025 - 2:36 AM ET #5

    @Europa

     clover

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    @Europa

     clover

     
    Fuse
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2025 - 5:50 AM ET #6

    peaceclover

    Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
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    peaceclover

     
    D-Town
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2025 - 6:44 AM ET #7

    clover

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    clover

     
    Coloneljim
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2025 - 10:18 AM ET #8

    @Riderx

     peace_5  clover

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    @Riderx

     peace_5  clover

     
    Riderx
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2025 - 3:08 AM ET #9

    Hm...might have the Cin/Pitt total wrong:  Pitt at home on a 3-game losing streak & not favored by -3 or more:

    3-0 s/u, 3-0 ats, 3-0 o/u

    Over 48

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    Hm...might have the Cin/Pitt total wrong:  Pitt at home on a 3-game losing streak & not favored by -3 or more:

    3-0 s/u, 3-0 ats, 3-0 o/u

    Over 48

     
    Riderx
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2025 - 3:22 AM ET #10

    Umm...did anybody notice div home favs of more than -18 all made it to the SB & they all lost?

    '07 Pats

    '01 Rams

    '92 Bills

    '91 Bills

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    Umm...did anybody notice div home favs of more than -18 all made it to the SB & they all lost?

    '07 Pats

    '01 Rams

    '92 Bills

    '91 Bills

     
    yvesxiaoyu
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2025 - 5:11 AM ET #11

    " Cincinnati (8-8), which has won four straight games, needs to beat Pittsburgh and have the Denver Broncos and Miami Dolphins lose their respective games "

    Denver is a -10,5pt fav playing at home, and Miami a PK even odds, do Cincinnati players really believe they can win AND have both other teams lose? Odds of those 3 events occuring is like +1400 and i am pretty sure players know it.

    I'll take Pittsburgh.

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    " Cincinnati (8-8), which has won four straight games, needs to beat Pittsburgh and have the Denver Broncos and Miami Dolphins lose their respective games "

    Denver is a -10,5pt fav playing at home, and Miami a PK even odds, do Cincinnati players really believe they can win AND have both other teams lose? Odds of those 3 events occuring is like +1400 and i am pretty sure players know it.

    I'll take Pittsburgh.

     
    MP2056
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2025 - 7:54 AM ET #12

    BOLclover Riderx

     

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    BOLclover Riderx

     

     
     
    Riderx
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2025 - 11:34 AM ET #13

    One more thing on Pitt...

    AFC home dogs vs conf opp, off a home game vs KC, line is less than/equal to prev line, opp no bye:

    4-0 s/u & ats...s/u wins by 1, 3, 4 & 3

    Pitt m/l

    you're safe Europa

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    One more thing on Pitt...

    AFC home dogs vs conf opp, off a home game vs KC, line is less than/equal to prev line, opp no bye:

    4-0 s/u & ats...s/u wins by 1, 3, 4 & 3

    Pitt m/l

    you're safe Europa

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