Playoff SOY

First of all, anyone who has known me for years know I'm not a service; I'm just a guy who enjoys capping NFL games & using sdql to find gold.  Second of all, those same people know I can go on a losing streak but when I find a game I can really sink my teeth into, I tear into it until there's nothing left.  And tonight is one of those nights.

When this line first came out I had a lot of questions but the biggest was:  "Why in the h*ll are the Texans a -3'pt fav @ Pitt?"

And then I went to work & did my homework.

Sports media has been pimpin' the Steelers record at home on Monday nights.  They're 24-2 s/u since 1990.  How in the h*ll can you bet against that?  Especially after beating the Ravens as a home dog last week?  And the Texans barely beat the Colts as a DD fav & allowed 30pts for the first time all season?

Taking the Texans-3 looks scary as h*ll & taking the Steelers looks great, right?  Well hold your horses.  Here we go...

Since 2018 & after week 3, the Texans not a dog of more than +6 on the road w/a total range of 34 to 41', on less than 14 days rest & opp on less than 10 days rest:

11-0 s/u & ats

as a fav:  s/u by 34, 24 & 20

ahh, but this is the playoffs you say.  Okay, I give you 3 scores for road teams in the WC round:

30-0

30-7

27-9

Now then I ask you:  Does Pitt+3 look so good now?

Playoff Side of the Year

Texans-3

Alternates:  Texans-6, -9, -12, -15 & if you're feelin' Xtra ballsy:  Texans-18, Texans-21

Feast

@Riderx

 Texan beat Balt 44-10 when Balt at home compare to Pitt at home beat Balt 

Good luck!

I just need Pit to win 1H after that you can have it...

@Riderx

@bbe_bb_2006

 Cooper Rush

Pittsburg didn't beat Baltimore,  Baltimore's kicker lost it for Baltimore. 

Rough start in playoffs 

Rams Packers and Chargers are losses for ya

GL tonight 

Yep...like I said...once I sink my teeth into one game...

I have so much stuff either on the Texans- or against Steelers+ I had to get out a new legal pad to write. And I just scratched the surface on what I posted.

SDQL'ers, run this:

playoffs=1

p:playoffs=0

line>1

rest<10

total<40

Sum(W@team and H, N=9)>4

And then run this:

tA(o:points@team)<20

playoffs=1

p:playoffs=0

AF

line<=-3

34<=total<=41

conference=AFC

Like your angles. Good luck

Okay, I'll put another system in layman's terms...

WC road favs between -2 & -4' w/a total less than 41, team avg's more than 1.0 takeaways on the road their last 8 games:

the same three games

30-0

30-7

27-9

if they avg more than 1.5 takeaways:

30-0

Do you still like Pitt+3???

Have to go either the Texans, playoffs are about defense and you get the best in the league with the Texans.