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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    **NO FUN LEAGUE PLAY OF THE WEEK**

    HERMES
    Sutty
    BOSSELINI
    Gordon Gekko
    BKosar
    ...
    Participants:
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    HERMES
    HERMES
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 11:55 AM ET #1

    NFL YTD 29-15-2

    TODAY:

    Colt McCoy bounced back from his lackluster showing as a passer vs. Seattle (20/35 for 178 yards, zero TDs and one interception) to toss 22/34 for 241 yards, one TD and one interception at San Francisco last week. However, he had four fumbles at San Francisco (losing one) and he's been all over the place in completion percentage over the recent past (46.7% at Oakland, 57.1% vs. Seattle, and 64.7% last week) while compiling 63/114 for 634 yards, three TDs and two interceptions during the past three games. Greg Little leads the team in targets by far during that three week span, with 30 for 15/131/0, while Ben Watson (15 for 7/104/0), Josh Cribbs (14 for 5/95/1) and Chris Ogbonnaya (13 for 10/67/0) are the other players with double-digit chances over those three games. Little is the guy to watch as he is getting a lions' share of targets these days, but unfortunately he hasn't been able to translate that into jaw-dropping numbers yet (4/28/0 receiving at San Francisco last week out of 11 targets, for example).

    The Texans' pass D is currently fifth in the NFL averaging 189.4 net yards allowed per game, and they've generated more interceptions (10, sixth-most in the NFL) than TDs allowed to date (nine). The team has also put up 20 sacks (ninth in the NFL) - any way you slice it, the Texans have an elite pass D this year. Jacksonville posted 10/32 for 90 net yards, one TD and two interceptions at Houston last week; Tennessee's group had a mere 15/31 for 95 net yards, one TD and two interceptions passing vs. Houston two weeks ago.

    Matt Schaub has been playing very well over the past three games, with 55/90 for 741 yards, four TDs and zero interceptions passing despite doing without his number one receiver, Andre Johnson, for that entire span of time. Kevin Walter (21 targets for 14/157/0), Arian Foster (20 for 12/183/1), Jacoby Jones (16 for 9/162/1), Owen Daniels (14 for 10/144/0) and Joel Dreessen (six for 4/50/2) have done a fine job keeping the Texans' offense humming along while Johnson recuperates.

    The Browns' pass D ranks second in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game, averaging 171.9 net yards per contest, with nine passing scores given up vs. four interceptions and 18 sacks generated to date (25th- and 12th-ranked in the latter two categories this year). Alex Smith was right on the Browns' usual pace last week with 15/24 for 174 yards, one TD and zero interceptions thrown; Charlie Whitehurst looked awful at Cleveland two weeks ago with 12/30 for 69 net yards, zero TDs and one interception passing.

    Arian Foster throttled back a tad vs. Jacksonville, but he still threw down for 33/112/1 rushing and 1/12/0 receiving, one week after destroying Tennessee with 25/115/2 rushing and 5/119/1 receiving. 

    The Browns' rush D is in the bottom tier of the NFL in terms of yards allowed per game, with 127.3 per contest allowed on average (26th in the NFL), but they do get stubborn at the goal line with just three rushing scores allowed to date. However, Frank Gore and company just demolished the Browns for 39/174/1 rushing last week, one week after the Marshawn Lynch-deprived Seahawks could only get 16/68/0 from their backups at Cleveland.

    The Browns signed free agent RB Thomas Clayton on Tuesday to bolster depth at the RB position. He joins recent arrival Chris Ogbonnaya as the replacements for Hillis and Hardesty. Ogbonnaya has posted 14/52/0 rushing with 13 targets for 10/67/0 receiving over the lat three weeks (two games played with Cleveland), and he figures to be the lead back until Hillis and/or Hardesty get well enough to play again.

    The Texans' rush D is playing solid football this year, currently ranking sixth in the NFL averaging 97.4 yards allowed per game, with six rushing scores given up over eight games played. Jacksonville was limited to 25/84/1 rushing last week; Tennessee eked out 15/53/0 rushing vs. Houston two weeks ago. These guys are playing very well indeed as of November first.


    MY PREDICTION: The Cleveland Browns despite the lack of talent on the roster are a well coached team. Colt McCoy has been getting better week to week and I believe we will see a great game from him today. Ogbonnaya is playing against his former team and he will run possessed. I forsee Houston's offense taking a step back against the league's # 2 pass defense. Cleveland is stout in the secondary and against the run they play bend but don't break only allowing 3 rushing td's all year. Houston yes on paper looks to be the better team however 10.5 points is alot to be covering against the Brownies who are hungry for a big win.

    CLEVELAND BROWNS +10.5




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    NFL YTD 29-15-2

    TODAY:

    Colt McCoy bounced back from his lackluster showing as a passer vs. Seattle (20/35 for 178 yards, zero TDs and one interception) to toss 22/34 for 241 yards, one TD and one interception at San Francisco last week. However, he had four fumbles at San Francisco (losing one) and he's been all over the place in completion percentage over the recent past (46.7% at Oakland, 57.1% vs. Seattle, and 64.7% last week) while compiling 63/114 for 634 yards, three TDs and two interceptions during the past three games. Greg Little leads the team in targets by far during that three week span, with 30 for 15/131/0, while Ben Watson (15 for 7/104/0), Josh Cribbs (14 for 5/95/1) and Chris Ogbonnaya (13 for 10/67/0) are the other players with double-digit chances over those three games. Little is the guy to watch as he is getting a lions' share of targets these days, but unfortunately he hasn't been able to translate that into jaw-dropping numbers yet (4/28/0 receiving at San Francisco last week out of 11 targets, for example).

    The Texans' pass D is currently fifth in the NFL averaging 189.4 net yards allowed per game, and they've generated more interceptions (10, sixth-most in the NFL) than TDs allowed to date (nine). The team has also put up 20 sacks (ninth in the NFL) - any way you slice it, the Texans have an elite pass D this year. Jacksonville posted 10/32 for 90 net yards, one TD and two interceptions at Houston last week; Tennessee's group had a mere 15/31 for 95 net yards, one TD and two interceptions passing vs. Houston two weeks ago.

    Matt Schaub has been playing very well over the past three games, with 55/90 for 741 yards, four TDs and zero interceptions passing despite doing without his number one receiver, Andre Johnson, for that entire span of time. Kevin Walter (21 targets for 14/157/0), Arian Foster (20 for 12/183/1), Jacoby Jones (16 for 9/162/1), Owen Daniels (14 for 10/144/0) and Joel Dreessen (six for 4/50/2) have done a fine job keeping the Texans' offense humming along while Johnson recuperates.

    The Browns' pass D ranks second in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game, averaging 171.9 net yards per contest, with nine passing scores given up vs. four interceptions and 18 sacks generated to date (25th- and 12th-ranked in the latter two categories this year). Alex Smith was right on the Browns' usual pace last week with 15/24 for 174 yards, one TD and zero interceptions thrown; Charlie Whitehurst looked awful at Cleveland two weeks ago with 12/30 for 69 net yards, zero TDs and one interception passing.

    Arian Foster throttled back a tad vs. Jacksonville, but he still threw down for 33/112/1 rushing and 1/12/0 receiving, one week after destroying Tennessee with 25/115/2 rushing and 5/119/1 receiving. 

    The Browns' rush D is in the bottom tier of the NFL in terms of yards allowed per game, with 127.3 per contest allowed on average (26th in the NFL), but they do get stubborn at the goal line with just three rushing scores allowed to date. However, Frank Gore and company just demolished the Browns for 39/174/1 rushing last week, one week after the Marshawn Lynch-deprived Seahawks could only get 16/68/0 from their backups at Cleveland.

    The Browns signed free agent RB Thomas Clayton on Tuesday to bolster depth at the RB position. He joins recent arrival Chris Ogbonnaya as the replacements for Hillis and Hardesty. Ogbonnaya has posted 14/52/0 rushing with 13 targets for 10/67/0 receiving over the lat three weeks (two games played with Cleveland), and he figures to be the lead back until Hillis and/or Hardesty get well enough to play again.

    The Texans' rush D is playing solid football this year, currently ranking sixth in the NFL averaging 97.4 yards allowed per game, with six rushing scores given up over eight games played. Jacksonville was limited to 25/84/1 rushing last week; Tennessee eked out 15/53/0 rushing vs. Houston two weeks ago. These guys are playing very well indeed as of November first.


    MY PREDICTION: The Cleveland Browns despite the lack of talent on the roster are a well coached team. Colt McCoy has been getting better week to week and I believe we will see a great game from him today. Ogbonnaya is playing against his former team and he will run possessed. I forsee Houston's offense taking a step back against the league's # 2 pass defense. Cleveland is stout in the secondary and against the run they play bend but don't break only allowing 3 rushing td's all year. Houston yes on paper looks to be the better team however 10.5 points is alot to be covering against the Brownies who are hungry for a big win.

    CLEVELAND BROWNS +10.5




     
    Sutty
    Sutty
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 12:05 PM ET #2

    I look for your write-ups. I am genuinely surprised by this game selection.
    I gave the Brownies a quick glance. 10.5 seemed like a reach for Houstan to cover.
    No play for me.
    BOL HERMES
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    I look for your write-ups. I am genuinely surprised by this game selection.
    I gave the Brownies a quick glance. 10.5 seemed like a reach for Houstan to cover.
    No play for me.
    BOL HERMES
     
    BOSSELINI
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 12:12 PM ET #3

    GL BIG HERM!

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    GL BIG HERM!

     
    Gordon Gekko
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 12:12 PM ET #4

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    BKosar
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 12:14 PM ET #5

    GL Hermes! I hope you're on the right side. My boys need a W today!
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    GL Hermes! I hope you're on the right side. My boys need a W today!
     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 12:18 PM ET #6

    GL hoss i went against cw with an over here.
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    GL hoss i went against cw with an over here.
     
    YouWish
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 12:27 PM ET #7

    That's a lot of words.  I'll take it.  A good side to take on a game NO ONE is talking about..
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    That's a lot of words.  I'll take it.  A good side to take on a game NO ONE is talking about..
     
    Ktrain
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 12:28 PM ET #8

    What about the under? Both of these D's rank in the top 5 for yards against. 
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    What about the under? Both of these D's rank in the top 5 for yards against. 
     
    HERMES
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 12:32 PM ET #9

    Ktrain: i usually dont play totals
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    Ktrain: i usually dont play totals
     
    mannyfrisco
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 12:33 PM ET #10

    Good write-up and good choice but I'm on the other side.  Houston had a let down game against Jacksonville.....they missed too many opportunities to run up the score.  Turnovers and missed chances kept the game close.....I don't see a repeat of that....team should be more focused....should be a good game......I agree,  I also like games that no one is talking about.....
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    Good write-up and good choice but I'm on the other side.  Houston had a let down game against Jacksonville.....they missed too many opportunities to run up the score.  Turnovers and missed chances kept the game close.....I don't see a repeat of that....team should be more focused....should be a good game......I agree,  I also like games that no one is talking about.....
     
    Ktrain
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 12:42 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by HERMES:

    Ktrain: i usually dont play totals

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    Quote Originally Posted by HERMES:

    Ktrain: i usually dont play totals

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 1:04 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    GL hoss i went against cw with an over here.
    Shit i misspoke, i do not have this!. Once again GL Hermes.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    GL hoss i went against cw with an over here.
    Shit i misspoke, i do not have this!. Once again GL Hermes.
     
     
    FlipsideRM
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2011 - 1:34 PM ET #13

    Cleveland getting blown out
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    Cleveland getting blown out
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