Week 1: 5-7 -3.05u
Locking this in early as the spread keeps on moving not on my favor.
BILLS -4.5 -105
Lions are 46-50-2 on TNF. Under Dan Campbell they are 5-4 all time, and 2-2 SU on the road on short week and true Thursday Night Football Schedule. Teams coming off an overtime win and playing on TNF having a "short week" are 3-21 SU all time. When Lions are a 4.0 points or more underdog on a Thursday they are 1-13 SU and 4-10 ATS all time.
Bills are 7-3 SU on their last 10 home opener games and 6-2 SU on home opener games when Josh Allen is their starting QB. Caveat: this can be tricky - Despite their dominant straight-up record, Allen's lifetime record as a betting favorite sits right at 49-48-3 ATS. Also the Bills are debuting on national television their $2.2billion stadium - so the energy on this game from the "Bills Mafia" will be electrifying. Jared Goff is not an outdoor qb since he is used to playing in a dome so I expect some regression on his performance. He wasn't even impressive on week 1, they were lucky they won that game against the Saints.
Sean Mcdermont and the Bills are 17-5 SU against NFC opponents at home.
good luck! .
Hot Forum Topics
