Kenny Golladay over 33.5 yards -115 (I like all three starting WRs for the Lions, but with how much ball control the Bears are likely to play, I don't trust either other guy to hit more significant lines. Golladay is a major upgrade on TJ Jones though, and 33.5 is particularly a joke of a line.)
Ryan Fitzpatrick over 21.5 completions -130
Ryan Fitzpatrick over 250.5 passing yards -115
Ryan Fitzpatrick over 1.5 passing TDs EV (I continue fading the Fins passing defense. I don't care that they've been crushed on the ground too the last couple weeks. Doug Martin sucks this year, and their line can't run block for their lives. It's still easier to crush them through the air. Fitz with Evans back is going to take advantage)
Evans over 70.5 yards -115
DJax over 54.5 yards -115
Jarvis Landry over 5.5 recs -130
Jarvis Landry over 58.5 yards -115 (He's got BY FAR the best matchup today of any Miami player. Cutler has proven he'll throw to him a ton, with double digit targets in all but two games this year. If he gets 10 targets, I see almost no way he misses 6/60 in this matchup)
Mike Wallace over 34.5 yards -115
Jeremy Maclin over 53.5 yards -115 (These lines are nuts. The Packers have one of the top rushing defenses in the league, and some of the worst CBs in the league. I don't trust the Flacco lines, even though I do like him today. The lines are unreasonably high though. Wallace and Maclin have the best chance to produce of anyone on the field, and these lines are wildly reasonable.)
Randall Cobb over 35.5 yards -115 (The Ravens are disgustingly good against outside WRs and Cobb has been either the top or second best receiver at any position all three weeks since Hundley took over. This is an exceedingly reasonable line, considering they don't even have the two best RBs on the field. Hundley is going to have to do something, and Cobb has been his most reliable option, and has the best matchup. I wouldn't be shocked to see 75+ yards from him.)
Todd Gurley over 70.5 rushing yards -115
Todd Gurley over 35.5 receiving yards -115 (I'm only annoyed his TD prop is -130. I'm just avoiding negative lines on TD props as a principle. Gurley is the center of their offense, and has only not hit this rushing line in one game where he wasn't pulled early in a blowout, which I can't imagine happening today. And he's gotten 5.5 targets per game, and 8.45 yards per TARGET. He's incredible. And their line is dominant. Vikings are average against RBs)
Blaine Gabbert over 19.5 completions -120
Baline Gabbert over 225.5 yards-120
Blaine Gabbert over 1.5 TD passes +170 (I'm sorry to ask you to back Gabbert, but I can't help it. Houston is still elite against the run, even after losing JJ and Mercilus. AP will get touches, but he's proven unable to take over a game against legit defenses. The Texans are still terrible against the air attack. I don't know who in the world Gabbert is going to favor, even though Fitz being a candidate for GOAT makes him the most likely. I'm just not betting on it. Other than Peterson, the Cards defense has been weak af. Gabbvert is going to have to throw and Arians will back him as he backed all the bad QBs they've had.)
Marqise Lee under 4.5 recs +125
Marqise Lee under 62.5 yards -115 (There's every reason to believe that McCourty will be his shadow. McCourty is ELITE. He held Green to 2/31 and Nuk to 2/19 when Watson was his QB, and is only rated behind Lattimore in coverage.)
Crowder over 56.5 yards -115
VD over 50.5 yards -130 (Reed is out. With Doctson facing Lattimore either most of the time or all of the time, you just have to believe that Crowder and VD will see a ton of targets. Considering they're likely to be playing from behind almost all day, I have no problem backing these two guys. I think they both get there, but only injury will stop at least one of them from hitting.)
TD Props to follow