NFL 2025 Picks

Back at er

Season long tracking thread, goal is to finish in the black

2021   11-12 -3.65 units

2022   24-14 +6.92 units

2023   11-14 -1.725 units

2024   23-20 +0.175 units

GL all!

Week 1 Leans

tb -2.0 @1.92...dont trust atl

lv/ne u43.5 @1.92...2 decent D, worried about chip kelly pace

pit/nyj u38.5 @1.92...should be a slugfest

irving o69.5 rush yards @1.80...good matchup vs atl D

conner o66.5 rush yards @1.90...potential ari blowout...slight worry he splits more carries with benson, gotta see how ari shares the carries

ward o13.5 rush yards @1.80...den secondary should force him to scramble

conner o15.5 rush att @1.85...potential ari blowout

mcconkey o5.5 rec @1.75...herbert safety blanket...worried with keenan allen back though

bowers o5.5 rec @1.60...wonder about chemistry with new QB and if Gonzo covers him

nabers o6.5 rec @2.00...wonder about chemistry with new QB...apparently not 100% healthy

mcbride o6.5 rec @2.10...kylers safety blanket

puka o6.5 rec @2.15... tough matchup, stingley 2nd best corner in the league...stafford not 100%

bowers o63.5 rec yards @1.80...new QB chemistry and does gonzo cover him

nabers o72.5 rec yards @1.85...new QB chemistry

mcbride o62.5 rec yards @1.90...should be good for 5/50 at minimum in this spot...blowout might fuck it if they pull him for backups

hill o69.5 rec yards @1.80...could get this on 2-3 receptions but he might not be same player he once was..apparently not 100% healthy

puka o71.5 rec yards @1.85...tough matchup vs stingley and stafford apparently not 100%...hes staffords main target tho

gibbs o20.5 rec yards @1.85...had 11 and 30 vs GB last year, potential for some check downs early in season as offenses normally sluggish

2 locked in

Mcbride o62.5 rec yards @1.90  0.5 to win 0.45

over this in 5 of 8 road games last year

kylers safety blanket, should find him week 1

slight worry its a blowout and he gets rest late, or ari goes run heavy

expecting 6-7+ targets here

expect him to be good for 5/50 at minimum so ill take chance on 63+

Ward o13.5 rush yards @1.80  0.5 to win 0.4

only went over this in 5 of 13 college games last year

had 3+ runs in 11 of 13 college games last year

expect denver to have him scrambling for his life on some plays, denver defense could be elite this year

could get this number on 1-2 scrambles/broken plays

expect him to get 10+ rush yards so ill take chance on 14+

GL all

Hope ya have a good season buddy