How to tell the home team will win after the third quarter.

Quite simple actually. Home teams leading by 7 points or more heading into the 4th quarter in the divisional round are 115-2 SU & 100-16-1 ATS s/'67.

Wow! Interesting stat! GL 

@C-70Blues

 What if they r losing 

So they gotta be up by at least 7 heading to the final quarter. In that case I would assume the SU line at that juncture would be astronomical. One would then have to maybe bet them ATS. 

Then those numbers drop dramatically.

Yup. Likely -1000 or more but depending largely on who has the ball and where on the field

Home teams that trail by 11 points or more heading into the fourth quarter of a divisional round game are 0-16 SU & ATS all-time.

What spread is that using, Pre game or 4th quarter?

@topcatt89_OLD_11887

 Pregame.

@C-70Blues

 Then how is that stat helpful if it is pregame?

am I missing something 

maybe so you can hedge/buyout?

And is the record for the game or winning the 4th q

Meaning your second stat when the home team is down 11

@nolemonasses

 Maybe math live line versus pregame and don't expect a back door cover? :Shrug:

The live wagering line on spread and ML will still be a 50/50 proposition. For the most part.

Unless if you are one of those psychopath line watchers and have 4 books open at the same time, it's hard to get any good bets in.

Also, the live lines are always juiced on the ML. For instance, pre game if a team is -7, the implied odds of the ML are -319.

If live, and winning by 7, these crooks will have that ML -340 if not more. And they'll bait you with a cheap -7.5 or expensive ass -6.5.

I myself don't live bet much at all. Once in a great while if a good middle presents itself on an existing wager.

Any who, thanks for the info C-70. Interesting stuff.

Look at the title of the thread. If you bet on any of the home teams you will have a good idea if you bet is going to hold up.

The game.