NCAAF/NFL YTD: +29,805 (+59.65u) 69-45-1 ATS/Totals (60.5%) 1u = $500 4u = Max Bet ($2000) 3 straight wins with Pittsburgh, Detroit and Ark St. My Bday today and I have a Max Bet for everyone. Gonna be a good night!! $2000 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 (buy the hook) The hook shouldn't matter in this case, and i'm hoping the line gets to 7, but if it doesn't im a believer in buying it. The bucs have the #1 rushing defense in ypc and 3rd best rush defense in yds/game. Minnesota wants to hand the ball off to AP. First and foremost i think the bucs will have success stopping Peterson. Although the bucs defense are one of the worst against the pass, (the reason i had the saints last week with drew brees) this isn't something that Ponder will be able to take advantage of. Ponder's success is based on the ability to run the ball effectively and use play action. He has also struggled lately with turning the ball over. So look for him with a couple of turnovers as well. The Vikings rely heavily on their defense, which has worked this year so far for the most part. This also doesn't allow them to blow teams out, and thus keeps teams in the game if they are unable to create multiple turnovers. Something I'm not willing to lay 7 points for. Their schedule has been fairly easy as well , with games against the jags, tenn, indy, and detroit. 3/4 of which were within 7 points, and 2 by a fg. Tampa has been close in every game all year but has not been able to hold on in the 4th qtr. Tampa's biggest loss is by 7. In the end, these two teams are closer than their record indicates and this game should be a close one. Minnesota has a slight edge being that they are at home and have a better secondary, but with Ponder's inability to be consistent I could also see Tampa pulling the upset tonight. $500 Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML +245 I think Tampa pulls the upset tonight Prediction: Tampa Bay 23 Minnesota 19 GOOD LUCK!!!!! |
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