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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Floatin Week 1 NFL

    FloatinPicks
    Sickness
    D-Town
    TBLbolts
    usikbasterd
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 1078
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    FloatinPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2026 - 2:14 PM ET #1

    Hey sup guys, i'm a saints fan, who 'Dat say we ain't gonna make some money

    Steelers -3.5 :I like the Steelers to beat the Falcons by 7 points because Pittsburgh has the better overall matchup. The Falcons have a shaky quarterback situation with Tua Tagovailoa starting while Michael Penix Jr. is still recovering from his injury, which could make it hard for Atlanta to stay consistent. I also like the Steelers’ run defense to slow down Atlanta and make them depend more on their quarterback. Pittsburgh has another big advantage with Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy getting back together. They already know each other from their time in Green Bay, and that could help Rodgers feel more comfortable in the offense. To me, the Steelers and Falcons are almost complete opposites right now: Pittsburgh has a veteran quarterback and a strong defense, while Atlanta has more questions at quarterback. I think the Steelers control the game and win by about 7 points.

     

    JAX -8 : I like the Jaguars to beat the Browns by 17 points because Jacksonville has a big advantage at quarterback with Trevor Lawrence. Lawrence is coming off a great 2025 season, throwing for over 4,000 yards and 29 touchdowns while leading the Jaguars to 13 wins and the AFC South title. Cleveland has a lot more questions at quarterback with Deshaun Watson, and I don’t trust him to keep up with Lawrence in this matchup. The Browns also went just 5–12 last season, while Jacksonville showed that it can play at a playoff level. I think the Jaguars have the better offense, the better quarterback, and more confidence coming into this game. Jacksonville is at home, and I expect Lawrence to have a good game while the Browns struggle to score. That is why I like the Jaguars to win by 17 points or more.

    Over 49.5 Lions/Saints : I like the Over 49.5 in Lions vs. Saints because I think both teams can do enough on offense to get this game into the 50s. The Lions are favored by 6.5 to 7 points and have an implied team total around 28 points, which shows how much the market expects Detroit to score. Detroit has playmakers like Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Sam LaPorta, while the Saints are coming off a 6–11 season but have some optimism around quarterback Tyler Shough. I think the Lions will move the ball at home, but I also think the Saints can score enough to help push this game over the number. My final score is Lions 27, Saints 24, which gives us 51 total points and gets the Over 49.5

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    Hey sup guys, i'm a saints fan, who 'Dat say we ain't gonna make some money

    Steelers -3.5 :I like the Steelers to beat the Falcons by 7 points because Pittsburgh has the better overall matchup. The Falcons have a shaky quarterback situation with Tua Tagovailoa starting while Michael Penix Jr. is still recovering from his injury, which could make it hard for Atlanta to stay consistent. I also like the Steelers’ run defense to slow down Atlanta and make them depend more on their quarterback. Pittsburgh has another big advantage with Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy getting back together. They already know each other from their time in Green Bay, and that could help Rodgers feel more comfortable in the offense. To me, the Steelers and Falcons are almost complete opposites right now: Pittsburgh has a veteran quarterback and a strong defense, while Atlanta has more questions at quarterback. I think the Steelers control the game and win by about 7 points.

     

    JAX -8 : I like the Jaguars to beat the Browns by 17 points because Jacksonville has a big advantage at quarterback with Trevor Lawrence. Lawrence is coming off a great 2025 season, throwing for over 4,000 yards and 29 touchdowns while leading the Jaguars to 13 wins and the AFC South title. Cleveland has a lot more questions at quarterback with Deshaun Watson, and I don’t trust him to keep up with Lawrence in this matchup. The Browns also went just 5–12 last season, while Jacksonville showed that it can play at a playoff level. I think the Jaguars have the better offense, the better quarterback, and more confidence coming into this game. Jacksonville is at home, and I expect Lawrence to have a good game while the Browns struggle to score. That is why I like the Jaguars to win by 17 points or more.

    Over 49.5 Lions/Saints : I like the Over 49.5 in Lions vs. Saints because I think both teams can do enough on offense to get this game into the 50s. The Lions are favored by 6.5 to 7 points and have an implied team total around 28 points, which shows how much the market expects Detroit to score. Detroit has playmakers like Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Sam LaPorta, while the Saints are coming off a 6–11 season but have some optimism around quarterback Tyler Shough. I think the Lions will move the ball at home, but I also think the Saints can score enough to help push this game over the number. My final score is Lions 27, Saints 24, which gives us 51 total points and gets the Over 49.5

     
    Sickness
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2026 - 7:16 AM ET #2

    I thought the Falcons we're the best road dog on the board.

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    I thought the Falcons we're the best road dog on the board.

     
    D-Town
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2026 - 7:50 AM ET #3

    Good luck FP.  an_cheers

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    Good luck FP.  an_cheers

     
    FloatinPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2026 - 2:01 PM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by Sickness:

    I thought the Falcons we're the best road dog on the board.

    Thats interesting, at first glance it may seem that way, but I have watched week 1 with a passion for years. The steel city week 1 is not fun place to be for opposing teams, especially one's with questions at QB, seriously. im not trying to win an argument, I'm reporting what i have seen over the years

    Road Dogs:

    49ers+3.5

    Pats +3.5

    Browns +8.5

    Bucs +3.5

    Falcons +3.5

    Jets +1.5

    Saints +7

    Cards +9.5

    Dolphins +3.5

    Wash +5.5

    Broncos +3

     

    Looks like Jets are the best road dog, history and line movement say so, Cards also looks like Covers

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sickness:

    I thought the Falcons we're the best road dog on the board.

    Thats interesting, at first glance it may seem that way, but I have watched week 1 with a passion for years. The steel city week 1 is not fun place to be for opposing teams, especially one's with questions at QB, seriously. im not trying to win an argument, I'm reporting what i have seen over the years

    Road Dogs:

    49ers+3.5

    Pats +3.5

    Browns +8.5

    Bucs +3.5

    Falcons +3.5

    Jets +1.5

    Saints +7

    Cards +9.5

    Dolphins +3.5

    Wash +5.5

    Broncos +3

     

    Looks like Jets are the best road dog, history and line movement say so, Cards also looks like Covers

     

     
    TBLbolts
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2026 - 2:13 PM ET #5

    @FloatinPicks

     What happened to you in CFB this past weekend?

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    @FloatinPicks

     What happened to you in CFB this past weekend?

     
    FloatinPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2026 - 3:09 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by TBLbolts:

    @FloatinPicks  What happened to you in CFB this past weekend?

    4-1-1 ATS, i missed 3 teamer thanks to OK st yuk

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    Quote Originally Posted by TBLbolts:

    @FloatinPicks  What happened to you in CFB this past weekend?

    4-1-1 ATS, i missed 3 teamer thanks to OK st yuk

     
    FloatinPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2026 - 3:10 PM ET #7

    AM i the only one who likes the seahawks to win tomorrow?

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    AM i the only one who likes the seahawks to win tomorrow?

     
    FloatinPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2026 - 3:09 PM ET #8

    Im Taking Seahawks ML 1 unit, i dont see them losing this game at home. if you do, why? do you know how many teams go to Seattle and come away with L's. As a former player, its in your head when you get blown out, that mess kust dont go away because you got AJ brown

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    Im Taking Seahawks ML 1 unit, i dont see them losing this game at home. if you do, why? do you know how many teams go to Seattle and come away with L's. As a former player, its in your head when you get blown out, that mess kust dont go away because you got AJ brown

     
    FloatinPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2026 - 3:12 PM ET #9

    I feel like all you guys on Covers Taking the Patriots don't know football, your just looking at the number going why is the spread so low. i think thats a dumb way to look at this game matchup 

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    I feel like all you guys on Covers Taking the Patriots don't know football, your just looking at the number going why is the spread so low. i think thats a dumb way to look at this game matchup 

     
    usikbasterd
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2026 - 3:19 PM ET #10

    i see all my favorite covers posters are taking NE +3.5....i got seattle ml/ rams ml/ cowboys ml parlay....im 50/50 on considering cashing it out 

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    i see all my favorite covers posters are taking NE +3.5....i got seattle ml/ rams ml/ cowboys ml parlay....im 50/50 on considering cashing it out 

     
    FloatinPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2026 - 4:02 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by usikbasterd:

    i see all my favorite covers posters are taking NE +3.5....i got seattle ml/ rams ml/ cowboys ml parlay....im 50/50 on considering cashing it out

    Nice parlay bro, kinda hard to complete  passes on your back if you're the 93ers lol

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    Quote Originally Posted by usikbasterd:

    i see all my favorite covers posters are taking NE +3.5....i got seattle ml/ rams ml/ cowboys ml parlay....im 50/50 on considering cashing it out

    Nice parlay bro, kinda hard to complete  passes on your back if you're the 93ers lol

     
    FloatinPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2026 - 4:05 PM ET #12

    MY 3 team dream parlay

    JAX -9

    ARZ +10

    Un 49.5 Ravens/Colts

    an_popcorn

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    MY 3 team dream parlay

    JAX -9

    ARZ +10

    Un 49.5 Ravens/Colts

    an_popcorn

     
    WilliamMunny
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2026 - 4:11 PM ET #13

    Like both picks. I just bet NO over 7.5 wins. I think you guys are going to have a nice year. Any thoughts? 

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    Like both picks. I just bet NO over 7.5 wins. I think you guys are going to have a nice year. Any thoughts? 

     
    nmgolf57
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2026 - 4:16 PM ET #14

    @FloatinPicks

    Definitely not.  The Vegas line thinks this game would be pretty even on a neutral field, but I find that hard to believe.  Even so, Seattle's home field advantage is certainly higher than 2.5-3 points.  I realize NE should be an improved team, but Sea is still an excellent team.  I imagine the same people who thought NE would give SEA a run for their money in the SB are pretty much the same people thinking that again this year.  NE may have improved in the 2nd half of the season last year, but they didn't play anyone close to the caliber of the seahawks.  I suppose another reason for picking NE is due to the magic number 3.

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    @FloatinPicks

    Definitely not.  The Vegas line thinks this game would be pretty even on a neutral field, but I find that hard to believe.  Even so, Seattle's home field advantage is certainly higher than 2.5-3 points.  I realize NE should be an improved team, but Sea is still an excellent team.  I imagine the same people who thought NE would give SEA a run for their money in the SB are pretty much the same people thinking that again this year.  NE may have improved in the 2nd half of the season last year, but they didn't play anyone close to the caliber of the seahawks.  I suppose another reason for picking NE is due to the magic number 3.

     
    FloatinPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2026 - 8:50 PM ET #15

    OMG Sea QB Darnold goes down hip inj

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    OMG Sea QB Darnold goes down hip inj

     
     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2026 - 6:35 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by FloatinPicks:

    I feel like all you guys on Covers Taking the Patriots don't know football, your just looking at the number going why is the spread so low. i think thats a dumb way to look at this game matchup
    You probably shouldn't suggest that those who bet the opposite of your choice " don't know football " besides it hurt my feelings.  clover

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    Quote Originally Posted by FloatinPicks:

    I feel like all you guys on Covers Taking the Patriots don't know football, your just looking at the number going why is the spread so low. i think thats a dumb way to look at this game matchup
    You probably shouldn't suggest that those who bet the opposite of your choice " don't know football " besides it hurt my feelings.  clover

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