Calling the shot

Game #1...Texans/Chiefs

Home teams in the playoffs off a bye, team played in 3 playoff games before the SB previous season:

0-3 s/u & 0-3 ats & 3-0 o/u...against the Chiefs-8'

Texans+8'

Texans+360 m/l

AFC playofff dogs between 7.5 & 9.5 w/a total between 35 & 54.5 vs opp off a bye:

4-0 s/u & 4-0 ats

Texans+8'

Texans+360 m/l

Big shot caller! Did you bet last week? How did you do? Of all the games fading the Chiefs must be the most interesting one this weekend 

I did terrible...2-6.  I'm hit or miss.  Just having a bad season but I do find some good sh*t, especially when all I've heard, seen & read this week is 'Ain't no way the Chiefs lose' & 'Chiefs win in a blowout' & the dreaded 'Chiefs are a lock to cover'.  I love that sh*t & so do the books but don't ask me because numbers don't lie & those are actual games above since the '02 re-align.  I would advise anyone on the Chiefs-8', -2' in a tease or m/l to hedge.

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Forgot to add what is posted above:

Texans/Chiefs Over 41'

Game #2...Commanches/Lions

Home favs of -8 or more w/a total 50+ off a bye in the playoffs, team played in 3 playoff games before the SB previous season:

3-0 s/u & 0-3 ats & 1-2 o/u

Wash+9

with a total >50:

0-2 o/u

Wash/Det Under 55'

sh*t...that very first one is also supposed to say: "vs opp off a home game'

AFC home favs between -3.5 & -9.5 off a bye in the playoffs on Sat. vs opp off a home game & game is not at night:

0-3 s/u & 0-3 ats...against KC-8'

Texans+8'

Texans m/l

if their opp is on 6 days rest:

0-2 o/u

I'm going to have to re-think that Over

Also, all 3 of their opp's made it to the SB...

@Riderx

 GL

Better chance of seeing Tupac riding in a UFO with Bigfoot than the Texans ML hitting. Chiefs on a mission 

Last 18 playoff games favorites of 7 or more 18-0 SU.  Longest streak ever in SB era.  

Not strictly in the Divisional Round:  see '19 14-2 Ravens-9' at Home vs Titans...Lost s/u 12-28

Texans? No shot brotha I’m sorry 

I just saw Tupac riding in a UFO with Bigfoot.  I gave them a bump, a blunt, a bourbon & a beer.  And went to the strip club, then Waffle house.

@Riderx

 Not strictly in the Divisional Round:  see '19 14-2 Ravens-9' at Home vs Titans...Lost s/u 12-28

That was before the current 18 game streak, correct.  The current streak goes back to the 2019 season.  

@kcblitzkrieg

GL 

My guess is vegas will bank in on the Over plays like last week. Public is heavy on wash/hou to the point where i'd be ok going with the favorites (im staying away and playing totals only).  

Okay...I've finalized my plays.  But first there's this:  Road teams in the playoffs on 6 days rest off a home game they allowed <14pts vs opp in the same div as opp & opp off a bye:

4-0 s/u & ats...Texans m/l

but I also have home favs in a specific scoring avg at home L4 & 4-0 at home L4:

0-3 s/u, 0-3 ats & 0-3 o/u...against Chiefs s/u

scores of 10-27, 15-16 & 17-23

Finalized plays on the 1st game:

Houston+8'

Under 41' Hou/KC

Houston m/l

Houston+ 1st-Half

Joe Mixon rush TD:  Yes

Hoping for a 24-17 type of game for Hou vs KC. GL 

Div Rd Home Favs that were in 4 playoff games & won the SB the previous season are:  0-3 s/u & ats...against the Chiefs s/u

& something else for all you sdql'rs:

tpS(playoffs=1)=2 and A(margin@team and A and playoffs=1, N=1)<-10 and A and p:playoffs=1 and op:week=o:week-2

2-0 s/u...24-13 & 24-21

Texans+9 & Texans +400 m/l

game #2...Wash/Det...going with simplicity:  Home teams in the playoffs with 14+ wins & a bye vs opp off road dog win & 5 days rest:

2-0 s/u & 2-0 ats & 0-2 o/u

38-7 & 20-3

Det-8', Under 55'

avg 1st-half:  22.5 vs 1.5

Det- 1st-half

Wash Under TT

@Riderx

 Yikes