Posted:
#1
Welcome to those of you who know me from the Tradesports Forum where I never lost a single sports pick in over FOUR years of posting.
That's right. Not one. In fact, ought of 45 plays I only lost 3 (all political.)
I've decided to introduce my new statistical analysis approach here at covers. These NFL picks are discovered by mixing Big Daddy's knack for handicapping the games with hard core high level mathematical analysis which includes, but is not limited to the following:
Defensive Efficiency
SackS
Penalty Rates.
Running vs Passing Efficiencies
I need a few weeks worth of data before I can get a handle on how accurate this model is. I thought I would wait a couple more weeks, but this model (combined with Big Daddy's phenomenal handicapping magic) produced such good results, that I decided to release them for Week Five.
Keep in mind, there's never a fee for these picks. They will always be fresh, free and hopefully very, very, accurate.
There are two types of plays: Dogs and Faves
Here are Big Daddy's Double Diamond Dogs for Week 5
Note: Odds obtained from scoresandodds and current as of timestamp of my posts
CAR + 3
SEA + 6
SF +3
Now comes Big Daddy's Double Diamond FAVORITES for Week 5
JAX - 2
DEN - 1
NOTE: Wait a day to see if you can get even better odds on Denver as a result of Travis Henry situation.
Remember, these picks are derived used high level mathematics and probability paradigms that most of you are not smart enough to understand. They are not conceived in the crucible of masturbatory shame fueled by an unholy mix of internet porn and too much Jack Daniels as are most of the other picks posted here.
These WILL win.
You can put them in parlays, round robins, whatever.
Big Daddy
Ps I'm testing one other hypothesis for the day games. If it pans out, I should have a Sunday Night Pick (Bears vs Packers) prior to kickoff.
That's right. Not one. In fact, ought of 45 plays I only lost 3 (all political.)
I've decided to introduce my new statistical analysis approach here at covers. These NFL picks are discovered by mixing Big Daddy's knack for handicapping the games with hard core high level mathematical analysis which includes, but is not limited to the following:
Defensive Efficiency
SackS
Penalty Rates.
Running vs Passing Efficiencies
I need a few weeks worth of data before I can get a handle on how accurate this model is. I thought I would wait a couple more weeks, but this model (combined with Big Daddy's phenomenal handicapping magic) produced such good results, that I decided to release them for Week Five.
Keep in mind, there's never a fee for these picks. They will always be fresh, free and hopefully very, very, accurate.
There are two types of plays: Dogs and Faves
Here are Big Daddy's Double Diamond Dogs for Week 5
Note: Odds obtained from scoresandodds and current as of timestamp of my posts
CAR + 3
SEA + 6
SF +3
Now comes Big Daddy's Double Diamond FAVORITES for Week 5
JAX - 2
DEN - 1
NOTE: Wait a day to see if you can get even better odds on Denver as a result of Travis Henry situation.
Remember, these picks are derived used high level mathematics and probability paradigms that most of you are not smart enough to understand. They are not conceived in the crucible of masturbatory shame fueled by an unholy mix of internet porn and too much Jack Daniels as are most of the other picks posted here.
These WILL win.
You can put them in parlays, round robins, whatever.
Big Daddy
Ps I'm testing one other hypothesis for the day games. If it pans out, I should have a Sunday Night Pick (Bears vs Packers) prior to kickoff.
0
good luck 
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