Posted:
#1
I've only started posting my plays on the forums the past two weeks, going 9-4. I know lots of people on here love to chirp without proof, and so be it, but I've had a fantastic run so far this year, going 57-26 ATS. Now unfortunately, it hasn't amounted to much profit, because I'm a student and just don't have the bankroll to make individual bets. Instead I've been making parlays, and I think we all know how those generally turn out. Nonetheless, pretty tough week this week, but here are my plays. Would love to get the discussion going. Best of luck to everybody
Denver -7.5
Coming off two straight losses, I just don't see Denver coming out and laying an egg. Manning is probably steamin' hot looking for vengeance. Miami's pass rush is fantastic, but Peyton has only taken 11 sacks this year, due in large part to the fact that he gets the ball out so fast, generally negating even the best pass rushes. Ryan Tannehill and his dink and dunk offense won't be able to keep up with the Broncos explosive plays, especially in the cold weather that they're not used to playing in. This is a strong play for me.
San Fran +8
Utter disarray in the Redskins locker room. RG3 acting like a clown, calling out his teammates publicly after playing horribly, coach calling out the QB to the media, just can't see how these guys can be playing cohesively. Can't see 100 percent effort from all 22 guys on the field for an entire game given the current state of the team. San Fran somehow covered last week with just an atrocious offensive performance. When your D gets 5 picks, you should win in a landslide, not a goal line stand due to some of the worst offensive playcalling you'd ever witness from the other team. Nonetheless, with Seattle playing Arizona, this is a big spot for San Fran. They know that one of their divisional rivals, with whom they are competing for a playoff spot is almost assured a loss (barring the extremely rare tie) so a win would go a long way in helping their playoff and division title hopes. Washington, who seems to be mailing it in vs. the 49ers whose defense is starting to turn it on, and an offense (while inconsistent) that is loaded with game breaking talent in a contest with massive implications for the home team? Give me the 49ers in a complete dismantling on both sides of the ball.
Those are the only two picks that I would feel extremely confident in, but on a four team parlay give me the Jets +4.5 and the Eagles -11 as well. Good luck everybody!
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